30 pct sounds like a bit too high. My 360 hasnt died on me and ive had it since march 2006 and no one i know irl has had their 360 break as well.But of course the hardware failures are a real situation, but i would suppose the max failure rate would be 10-20 pct.
All i can say is when you buy your 360, buy a warrantee, smartest 50 bucks you'll ever spend
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