But your forgetting two important factors...
1) PS3 currently has no must-have games. Sony's first party is very strong and all it takes is a few of those titles (GoW, Wipeout, R&C, GT5, etc) to release and that is without a doubt going to change the tide of the current war. Whether or not it will put Sony in the lead is undetermined now, but it will ease the mind of many casuals and along with a pricedrop make their desicion easier. So in the future I expect both platforms to have a superb library.
Sorry to break it to you, but those title mentioned are not system sellers, they are gems for gamers who already invested in the Sony console. Sony's first party lineup is good but not great, it cannot solely support a system (i.e. Nintendo). The Playstation brand was built from third-party hits and the first party lineup compliments the third party exclusives.
2) Blu-ray is winning for the movie format war as of now. This is totally relevant because should it win, all it would take is pricecut of the PS3 to be a an affordable FUTUREPROOF blu-ray player (that happens to play games, which standalones cannot). So, should blu-ray win you can expect a major boost in PS3 sales somewhere down the line.
Once again you are misinformed, Blu-ray winning the format war has little to do with the PS3 being successful as a gaming console. As you previously mention the PS3 has no must have games which is severely hurting the PS3 at the moment. The Blu-ray player installed in the PS3 is just a marketing ploy to create the illusion the attachment rate for Blu-ray movies sold = PS3 sales which is false. So by Sony boasting numbers that "x amount of PS3s equals x amount of movies sold" Blu-ray seems to be winning the format war. Until you walk into a Walmart and see a Blu-ray player for less than $200, then you can say the format has won. Also if the format does win, the general public (non-gamers) will not buy a PS3 for its player, they will buy a standalone player, thus PS3 sales will remain the same.
The devs will keep these things in mind, as well as watching third party multiplats going to 360. It works both ways, and the one fact that nobody should deny is that it's too early to make any drastic assumption now. Give it another year or two to let the dust settle in.
As a seasoned gamer I have witnessed several market leaders and the shift of powers dealing with third party devs. Once the industry shifts its positon during a console generation, it remains that way until the next generation comes around. So with the industry giving Sony the cold shoulder this gen, dont expect the shift of power to change in favor of the PS3. Sony and its PS3 is the only console that doesnt seem to understand that the console gen started back in 2005 and that the industry wont wait for anyone to start making money. With Sony missing its opportunity to squash MS and Ninty before they got started, they assumed the industry would remain loyal to them....they were wrong! Business is business and it all boils down to what console can generate the greatest profit.
Once the smoke and mirrors campaign of the PS3 was over, the gaming community now knows that the console for gaming is the 360 which is why it is gaining the PS3s most treasured third-party franchises. One would be naive to not see the drastic third-party shift from the Sony platform this gen and while the PS3 may not "fail", dont expect it to reinvent itself this gen....This console race may not be over, but contrary to fanboy belief, Sony is still at the starting gate trying to figure out a stategy to save face this gen.
oldskooler79
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