Will PS4 reach 35 million by the end of the year?

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TigerSuperman

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Poll Will PS4 reach 35 million by the end of the year? (62 votes)

Yes 60%
Maybe 40%

PS4 has been doing very good but I'm wondering if the PS4 will reach 35 million by the end of the year. Here's a look at what they have that makes me believe they probably will.

Now if things go well, especially outside of NA, the PS4 will be at 25 million sold by august. This give the PS4 only a 10 million gap to reach 35 million by the end of the year.

Now last year, Sony sold 4.1 million in November and December World-Wise. It moved 1.5 million in between Sept and October thanks to Destiny. I do not recall what they did in August but it was under 1 million WW.

Ignoring august, that's 5.6 million units. That was with Destiny and a meh Holiday season.

However some changes is that inAugust, the PS4 will be ramping things up toward another Destiny DLC, and MGSV, especially for Europe which will have a bundle. Gamescom will also have an effect.

If things are played right September, and it's after fall in October, along with a couple of games releasing then as well, will easily be over 3 million WW (that's all countries PS4 is released in.)

Then with that momentum, with a price drop (regardless if 50$E or 100) You have a couple more games coming out, marketing deals, and bundles of big name games and smaller franchises, along with the announcements and paris game week, The starwars movie, and the PSX event which will be teased and revel even more games.

I see at least almost/near almost double the 4.1 million of last year for the holiday season. I'm expecting at least 6-7 million Between November and December.

This would give PS4 sales during that 5 month period 10-11+ million starting from August. That would easily put it at 35-37 area.

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freedomfreak

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#1 freedomfreak  Online
Member since 2004 • 52426 Posts

I've been talking a lot with my inside sources, and the bundles Sony got coming with other sweet promotions, which I won't talk about now.. Yeah, most definitely.

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lostrib

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#2 lostrib
Member since 2009 • 49999 Posts

But who will win NPD!

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360ru13r

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#3 360ru13r
Member since 2008 • 1856 Posts

It wouldn't surprise me if it did. The system sells like hotcakes and something tells me SFV may help with that if the game turns out as half a decent as the promotional videos look.

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playharderfool

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#4 playharderfool
Member since 2009 • 2085 Posts

All of your predictions are 99.99999991% wrong so I am going to say no. PS4 will reach that number around April next year tho.

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BobRossPerm

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#5 BobRossPerm
Member since 2015 • 2886 Posts

Don't see why not, until TigerSuperman tells me why that is.

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QuadKnight

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#6 QuadKnight
Member since 2015 • 12916 Posts

Yes, it's selling like hot cakes.

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Salt_The_Fries

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#7 Salt_The_Fries
Member since 2008 • 12480 Posts

Nothing will stop it from doing so.

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davem1992

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#8  Edited By davem1992
Member since 2009 • 4068 Posts

Where's the "No" option?

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TigerSuperman

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#9  Edited By TigerSuperman
Member since 2013 • 4331 Posts

@davem1992 said:

Where's the "No" option?

Why do you think it won't reach 35 million with no chance?

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davem1992

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#10  Edited By davem1992
Member since 2009 • 4068 Posts

@TigerSuperman said:
@davem1992 said:

Where's the "No" option?

Why do you think it won't reach 35 million with no chance?

because it took a year and a half to reach 22 million, no way till it get another 13 in the span of a few months.

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DaVillain

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#11  Edited By DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56094 Posts

I say around $32 million. At least.

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Ant_17

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#12 Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

By the end of the year 35mill? No.

By Febuary 2016? Maybe 32mill.

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TigerSuperman

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#13  Edited By TigerSuperman
Member since 2013 • 4331 Posts

@davem1992 said:
@TigerSuperman said:
@davem1992 said:

Where's the "No" option?

Why do you think it won't reach 35 million with no chance?

because it took a year and a half to reach 22 million, no way till it get another 13 in the span of a few months.

Sony sold 5.6 million between September at January 1st.

Sony will be at 25 million by august at some time and some change.

September has more Destiny MGSV and a bundle in europe for the later. October starts the marketing deal spree that goes on through December, along with 2 events during that time which may or may not include a price drop increments unkown if they do, along with the Uncharted collection on top of that.

Do you think they won't do more than 4.1 million from Nov and December.

Do you think they will do less than 1.5 million between august and October?

WW?

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DaVillain

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#14 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56094 Posts

@TigerSuperman: Better question, does Sony have anything coming out this holiday season AAA game to back that up? If not, then there's no way PS4 will reach $35 million.

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Heil68

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#15 Heil68
Member since 2004 • 60713 Posts

By golly it's possible!!!!

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emgesp

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#16  Edited By emgesp
Member since 2004 • 7848 Posts

Easily, especially if they drop the price this year.

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TheRealBigRich

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#17 TheRealBigRich
Member since 2010 • 784 Posts

I'll say this if they are at 25 million now they will go over 30 million by the end of the year but I don't think they will hit 35 million .

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TigerSuperman

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#18  Edited By TigerSuperman
Member since 2013 • 4331 Posts

@davillain- said:

@TigerSuperman: Better question, does Sony have anything coming out this holiday season AAA game to back that up? If not, then there's no way PS4 will reach $35 million.

They have more than they have last year, starting this month. They did 5.6 million Possibly 6 if you include all of august, till the end of the year.

They'; be at 25 million by august, so 25+6 would be 31, they would only need to sell 3 million and some change next to that 3, in order to be able to make it to 35.

They have a ton of marketing deals WW, Uncharted Collection, and a potential price drop.

IF MS has a chance to get over 20, then Sony would have to easily beat them otherwise, you're saying the XB will close the gap WW (not just NA) this next 5 month strip.

Last year during the holidays MS, did over 3 million. Over 4 million including the same months. PS4 sold over 2 million more WW during that stretch. Yeah the big push in NA helped that.

But now PS4's has an even bigger presence, with tons of game marketing, Xbox One will probably easily do 5 + million this 5 month strip if not more, PS4 has to be ahead, why do you think it won't be 35 million unless Sony actually gets a penalty for not having games in NA so much that NA almost alone, combied with RTW passes the PS4?

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NyaDC

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#19 NyaDC
Member since 2014 • 8006 Posts

No, peaking the 30 million mark probably.

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chessmaster1989

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#20 chessmaster1989
Member since 2008 • 30203 Posts

I predict the opposite of what TC predicts

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TheRealBigRich

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#21 TheRealBigRich
Member since 2010 • 784 Posts

@TigerSuperman said:
@davillain- said:

@TigerSuperman: Better question, does Sony have anything coming out this holiday season AAA game to back that up? If not, then there's no way PS4 will reach $35 million.

They have more than they have last year, starting this month. They did 5.6 million Possibly 6 if you include all of august, till the end of the year.

They'; be at 25 million by august, so 25+6 would be 31, they would only need to sell 3 million and some change next to that 3, in order to be able to make it to 35.

They have a ton of marketing deals WW, Uncharted Collection, and a potential price drop.

IF MS has a chance to get over 20, then Sony would have to easily beat them otherwise, you're saying the XB will close the gap WW (not just NA) this next 5 month strip.

Last year during the holidays MS, did over 3 million. Over 4 million including the same months. PS4 sold over 2 million more WW during that stretch. Yeah the big push in NA helped that.

But now PS4's has an even bigger presence, with tons of game marketing, Xbox One will probably easily do 5 + million this 5 month strip if not more, PS4 has to be ahead, why do you think it won't be 35 million unless Sony actually gets a penalty for not having games in NA so much that NA almost alone, combied with RTW passes the PS4?

Who brought up Xbox one and them getting over 20 million though just curious how that came up

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SolidTy

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#22  Edited By SolidTy
Member since 2005 • 49991 Posts

Who cares?

*What a terrible poll.

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deactivated-58abb194ab6fb

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#23 deactivated-58abb194ab6fb
Member since 2010 • 3984 Posts

I don't think they'll sell that many PS4's by the end of this year. You talking about them selling close to 10 million for the rest of the year when we are in the middle of the summer drought? Don't think so at all.

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mprince131

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#24 mprince131
Member since 2006 • 406 Posts

Makes a "poll" asking a question, doesn't provide an option for "no" That's as stupid as it gets. Don't ask question if you're not going to allow an answer.

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UltimateImp

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#25 UltimateImp
Member since 2015 • 1192 Posts

It is very likely.

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ni6htmare01

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#26 ni6htmare01
Member since 2005 • 3984 Posts

TigerSuperman. I thought that you only care about NPD..

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TigerSuperman

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#27 TigerSuperman
Member since 2013 • 4331 Posts

@TheRealBigRich said:
@TigerSuperman said:
@davillain- said:

@TigerSuperman: Better question, does Sony have anything coming out this holiday season AAA game to back that up? If not, then there's no way PS4 will reach $35 million.

They have more than they have last year, starting this month. They did 5.6 million Possibly 6 if you include all of august, till the end of the year.

They'; be at 25 million by august, so 25+6 would be 31, they would only need to sell 3 million and some change next to that 3, in order to be able to make it to 35.

They have a ton of marketing deals WW, Uncharted Collection, and a potential price drop.

IF MS has a chance to get over 20, then Sony would have to easily beat them otherwise, you're saying the XB will close the gap WW (not just NA) this next 5 month strip.

Last year during the holidays MS, did over 3 million. Over 4 million including the same months. PS4 sold over 2 million more WW during that stretch. Yeah the big push in NA helped that.

But now PS4's has an even bigger presence, with tons of game marketing, Xbox One will probably easily do 5 + million this 5 month strip if not more, PS4 has to be ahead, why do you think it won't be 35 million unless Sony actually gets a penalty for not having games in NA so much that NA almost alone, combied with RTW passes the PS4?

Who brought up Xbox one and them getting over 20 million though just curious how that came up

Well it's a theory that does make sense.

Last year the Xbox One had no momentum at all in terms of big sales until November, in november, and December WW over 3 million alone. and including August to October possibly another million. I can see almost double that number this year, especially since the gears are shifting starting at the end of this month.

@BigShotSmoov007 said:

I don't think they'll sell that many PS4's by the end of this year. You talking about them selling close to 10 million for the rest of the year when we are in the middle of the summer drought? Don't think so at all.

Last year from September to December they sold around 5.6 million minimum. Possibly they reached 6. This year they have marketing for the big games, Uncharted collection, two events, and a possible price drop of some number.

We are looking at 25 million by august with still august left. You have a possible stronger september than last year, and that will spill into october with other games. I'm am certain that they will sell more between sept and october, than the 1.5 or so million last year. Maybe even double that, and that's all they will need. Because they won't even need anything more than a high 6 million to reach 35+.

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StrongBlackVine

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#28 StrongBlackVine
Member since 2012 • 13262 Posts

If they drop the price to $299 absolutely. If they drop the price to $349 then maybe. $399 it won't happen.

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#29 AgentA-Mi6
Member since 2006 • 16713 Posts

It's outselling the xbox one worldwide, that's all that really matters.

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#30  Edited By Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

Kind of off topic but i see Tiger is slow today.

http://www.gamespot.com/articles/xbox-sales-rising-as-minecraft-continues-to-perfor/1100-6429074/

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silversix_

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#31 silversix_
Member since 2010 • 26347 Posts

Not at $399

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deactivated-58bd60b980002

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#32 deactivated-58bd60b980002
Member since 2004 • 2016 Posts

Well I doubt it because there is no exclusive that is comming out this holyday that can move a lot of consol and not at the price it is right now ...

You forgot that the Xbox will have Halo 5 and Gears Of War on top of backward compatible ... so it is a very agressive move right there.

Also y'know ... I live in Canada and since the beginning of the year our money took a huge drop and so now the PS4 is more expensive that it was originally ... something similar can happen in other counrtries too.

I think it will be close to 30 million but it won't surpass it.

It will have a huge bump once Final Fantasy VII remake will come out, that is for sure. It may also help if they do a bundle with Final Fantasy XV when it comes out. but still, it won't top the 30 million

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#33 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

It's slowed down a fair bit in recent months. I imagine it will be closer to 30 million than 35 million.

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RTUUMM

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#34 RTUUMM
Member since 2008 • 4859 Posts

Probably reach 35 million by the summer of 2016

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#35  Edited By jsmoke03
Member since 2004 • 13717 Posts

why is there not a "no"option?

im thinking they fall short by at least a million or two. and xb1 takes the holidays

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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#36  Edited By deactivated-58ce94803a170
Member since 2015 • 8822 Posts

I think they will reach close to 28 million by the end of the year.

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#37 X_CAPCOM_X
Member since 2004 • 9552 Posts

Nothing personal, but I'm not gonna go with your predictions.

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Dire_Weasel

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#38  Edited By Dire_Weasel
Member since 2002 • 16681 Posts

A poll with only "yes" and "maybe" answers. This shitpost should be locked.

Whatever you predict is wrong, Tiger. Everyone knows this by now.

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#39 tushar172787
Member since 2015 • 2561 Posts

30 mil is a realistic possibility.. and your poll is shit as usual.

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#40 soulitane
Member since 2010 • 15091 Posts

Let's put it this way, no, but it has more of a chance than the Xbox One

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#41  Edited By PAL360
Member since 2007 • 30570 Posts

I would say 32 million.

Just out of curiosity, do you guys know the numbers of other major consoles (Snes, Megadrive, Saturn, N64, PS1, Dreamcast, Gamecube, PS2, PS3, 360...) when they were two years in the market?

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#42 pankar94
Member since 2014 • 251 Posts

It has call of duty dlc exclusivity so yes.

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FoxbatAlpha

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#43 FoxbatAlpha
Member since 2009 • 10669 Posts

That is a no.

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#44  Edited By rrjim1
Member since 2005 • 1983 Posts

I really hope not! I made the big mistake, I hope others don't also!

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TigerSuperman

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#45 TigerSuperman
Member since 2013 • 4331 Posts

@charizard1605 said:

It's slowed down a fair bit in recent months. I imagine it will be closer to 30 million than 35 million.

What does this have to do with the last quesrter of the year which is never effected by slowdown earlier in the year?

@PAL360 said:

I would say 32 million.

Just out of curiosity, do you guys know the numbers of other major consoles (Snes, Megadrive, Saturn, N64, PS1, Dreamcast, Gamecube, PS2, PS3, 360...) when they were two years in the market?

All I know is:

Jaguar: estimate 100,000

CD32: 200,000

3DO: 1.5 million

Saturn: ~2.5 million

N64 ~3.5+ million

PSX: ~6+ million

For second year on market numbers. (these are WW numbers sans Jaguar which only it's full LTD is the WW number, this is U.S. only.)(Estimates)



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#46  Edited By Dire_Weasel
Member since 2002 • 16681 Posts

@TigerSuperman said:

Now if things go well, especially outside of NA, the PS4 will be at 25 million sold by august. This give the PS4 only a 10 million gap to reach 35 million by the end of the year.

Lol Tiger. "PS4 will be at 25 million sold by August".

25.3 Million Playstation 4s were sold by June 30th.

Hilariously wrong, as always.

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Ant_17

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#47 Ant_17
Member since 2005 • 13634 Posts

You know , with todays news , i think they might be able to reach 35mill.

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#48 APiranhaAteMyVa
Member since 2011 • 4160 Posts

PS4 holiday season is pretty weak, so I expect it to reach 30mil, still great numbers though.

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Shewgenja

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#49 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

Man, this place will be nuts if it does break 35M.

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#50 Lionheart08
Member since 2005 • 15814 Posts

I doubt it.