Next Xbox will be Ten times more powerful (Maybe), Due in a couple of years

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balfe1990

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#1 balfe1990
Member since 2009 • 6747 Posts

Granted, it's essentially just a guess but John Carmack knows what he's talking about, this is no Peter Molyneux.

Discuss etc.

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paradigm68

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#2 paradigm68
Member since 2003 • 5588 Posts
Ten times sounds a bit large of a jump, but whatever.
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Danm_999

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#3 Danm_999
Member since 2003 • 13924 Posts
Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.
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StealthMonkey4

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#4 StealthMonkey4
Member since 2009 • 7434 Posts

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

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#5 blue_hazy_basic  Moderator
Member since 2002 • 30854 Posts
x10 seems a bit hopeful but we'll see.
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SecretPolice

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#6 SecretPolice
Member since 2007 • 44313 Posts

Sold !!! :P

Though MS needs, needs to launch this thing holiday 2012 with Halo 4 as the Biggie.!!! :D

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C_Rule

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#7 C_Rule
Member since 2008 • 9816 Posts
Sony reckon the PS3 is going to be their offering for another 4 years? :lol: Why don't they just re-release the PS3 with decent hardware and call it PS4. I don't see a problem with that.
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#8 blue_hazy_basic  Moderator
Member since 2002 • 30854 Posts

Sold !!! :P

Though MS needs, needs to launch this thing holiday 2012 with Halo 4 as the Biggie.!!! :D

SecretPolice

I agree, they also need a GREAT launch lineup. Kinect and maybe a halo game won't cut it for me.

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Heil68

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#9 Heil68
Member since 2004 • 60723 Posts
Can't wait to see Sesame Street in HD. :o
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#10 TreyoftheDead
Member since 2007 • 7982 Posts

So, I'm guessing another 399 at launch console.

Not again, MS. Not again. Gaming rigs have spoiled me. ;P

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savagetwinkie

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#11 savagetwinkie
Member since 2008 • 7981 Posts

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

StealthMonkey4
i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3
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C_Rule

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#12 C_Rule
Member since 2008 • 9816 Posts
[QUOTE="StealthMonkey4"]

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

savagetwinkie
i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3

Doubt it. This is Nintendo...
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blue_hazy_basic

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#13 blue_hazy_basic  Moderator
Member since 2002 • 30854 Posts
Can't wait to see Sesame Street in HD. :oHeil68
:lol: me either!
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SecretPolice

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#14 SecretPolice
Member since 2007 • 44313 Posts

[QUOTE="SecretPolice"]

Sold !!! :P

Though MS needs, needs to launch this thing holiday 2012 with Halo 4 as the Biggie.!!! :D

blue_hazy_basic

I agree, they also need a GREAT launch lineup. Kinect and maybe a halo game won't cut it for me.

Hear ya, howzabout... Halo 4, Conker, BC, PGR5 and TOR as a wait for it... console exclusive ? :o

I know, I'm such a dreamer !!! :P

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DragonfireXZ95

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#15 DragonfireXZ95
Member since 2005 • 26652 Posts
[QUOTE="Danm_999"]Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.

It's even more interesting that the technology just keeps growing at a faster rate. The consoles will likely be rendered obsolete even faster next time around.
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Lto_thaG

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#16 Lto_thaG
Member since 2006 • 22611 Posts

We'll see.

And get more exclusives,MS.
I'm not buying your next console if you only have a handful of worthwhile exclusives.

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MFDOOM1983

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#17 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts

[QUOTE="savagetwinkie"][QUOTE="StealthMonkey4"]

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

C_Rule

i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3

Doubt it. This is Nintendo...

Looks just like 360 games in SD.:lol: WiiU will probably be in the same position as wii when it comes to 3rd party support 2 years after it launches.

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HaloinventedFPS

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#18 HaloinventedFPS
Member since 2010 • 4738 Posts

[QUOTE="Danm_999"]Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.DragonfireXZ95
It's even more interesting that the technology just keeps growing at a faster rate. The consoles will likely be rendered obsolete even faster next time around.

how come nothing has topped Crysis in 4 years then?

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MFDOOM1983

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#19 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts

[QUOTE="DragonfireXZ95"][QUOTE="Danm_999"]Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.HaloinventedFPS

It's even more interesting that the technology just keeps growing at a faster rate. The consoles will likely be rendered obsolete even faster next time around.

how come nothing has topped Crysis in 4 years then?

Depends on your perspective. Some people say shogun 2 is technically superior to crysis.
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call_of_duty_10

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#20 call_of_duty_10
Member since 2009 • 4954 Posts

If that happens,the WiiU is finished.

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BigBoss255

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#21 BigBoss255
Member since 2010 • 3539 Posts
Sony need to launch at the same time as MS or surrender more market share.
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#22 ShuichiChamp24
Member since 2009 • 5014 Posts

[QUOTE="savagetwinkie"][QUOTE="StealthMonkey4"]

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

C_Rule

i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3

Doubt it. This is Nintendo...

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

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Dibdibdobdobo

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#23 Dibdibdobdobo
Member since 2008 • 6683 Posts

[QUOTE="savagetwinkie"][QUOTE="StealthMonkey4"]

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

C_Rule

i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3

Doubt it. This is Nintendo...

Why do you doubt when history has shown Nintendo have put good specs in all its consoles but the Wii.

No point in judging something by its immediate history instead of its overall history.

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markop2003

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#24 markop2003
Member since 2005 • 29917 Posts
Ten times sounds a bit large of a jump, but whatever.paradigm68
With the advancements in graphics technologies it is certainly possible. Since stream processors have been introduced raw processing capacity has gone through the roof.
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#25 DragonfireXZ95
Member since 2005 • 26652 Posts

[QUOTE="DragonfireXZ95"][QUOTE="Danm_999"]Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.HaloinventedFPS

It's even more interesting that the technology just keeps growing at a faster rate. The consoles will likely be rendered obsolete even faster next time around.

how come nothing has topped Crysis in 4 years then?

The consoles became obsolete when Crysis came out, funny that you should mention that. Besides just Crysis though, there were a ton of high graphical fidelity games: Shogun 2, Metro 2033, The Witcher 2, Shattered Horizon, Stalker series(mods+), etc.
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MFDOOM1983

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#26 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts

[QUOTE="C_Rule"][QUOTE="savagetwinkie"] i highly doubt they maxed out the wii U with a demo and some launch games, likely the wii U has a lot of room above the 360/ps3ShuichiChamp24

Doubt it. This is Nintendo...

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

TBF it's their most successful console to date.
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#27 C_Rule
Member since 2008 • 9816 Posts
[QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

[QUOTE="C_Rule"] Doubt it. This is Nintendo... MFDOOM1983

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|
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MFDOOM1983

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#28 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts

[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

C_Rule

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

Paper weight sales were up in that time frame.:P

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blue_hazy_basic

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#29 blue_hazy_basic  Moderator
Member since 2002 • 30854 Posts

Hear ya, howzabout... Halo 4, Conker, BC, PGR5 and TOR as a wait for it... console exclusive ? :o

I know, I'm such a dreamer !!! :P

SecretPolice

TOR & BC? meh to conker & PGR. Besides Halo Reach the only other console game I've bought recently was the massively disappointing LA Noire. Give me something new MS! (Hint: An RPG (NOT ******* FABLE) though and I'll be a day one buyer! :P )

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#30 DragonfireXZ95
Member since 2005 • 26652 Posts

[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

C_Rule

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

Why do you think MS and Sony moved into the motion territory? It's cheap and it creates a very large revenue. ;)

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#31 Dibdibdobdobo
Member since 2008 • 6683 Posts

[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

C_Rule

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

Yet again a unfactual fact from you. Give some hard facts rather than a bad opinion. Because something doesnt appeal to you doesnt mean its bad nor the worst.

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MFDOOM1983

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#32 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts

[QUOTE="C_Rule"][QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"] TBF it's their most successful console to date. Dibdibdobdobo

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

Yet again a unfactual fact from you. Give some hard facts rather than a bad opinion. Because something doesnt appeal to you doesnt mean its bad nor the worst.

 :?

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#33 Mozelleple112
Member since 2011 • 11293 Posts
Ten times sounds a bit large of a jump, but whatever.paradigm68
The PS3 was 20 something times more powerful than a PS2.
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#34 SecretPolice
Member since 2007 • 44313 Posts

[QUOTE="SecretPolice"]

Hear ya, howzabout... Halo 4, Conker, BC, PGR5 and TOR as a wait for it... console exclusive ? :o

I know, I'm such a dreamer !!! :P

blue_hazy_basic

TOR & BC? meh to conker & PGR. Besides Halo Reach the only other console game I've bought recently was the massively disappointing LA Noire. Give me something new MS! (Hint: An RPG (NOT ******* FABLE) though and I'll be a day one buyer! :P )

The KOTOR MMO, The Old Republic and Lionheads ill fated BC for the old Xbox looked & sounded absolutely awesome but they quit on it when it looked as though they were nearly finished. :cry:

I may be alone on this but for me, a saweet MS flight sim at launch would seal the deal. :D

Oh and don't look now But I think it's Conker holding up one finger ? Eh, he probably just indicating he thinks your #1, I dunno. :P

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Wasdie

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#35 Wasdie  Moderator
Member since 2003 • 53622 Posts

I think you're all overesitmating this 10x as powerful. A current GTX 580 is roughly 10x the strengh of an 8800gts. Graphics have a little thing call law of diminishing returns. We've got to a point where you need to roughly double the power of a card to see a bit of a performance boost.

Don't think a 10x improvement over the Xbox 360 and PS3 is like going from a PS1 to a PS3, it's not. You'll notice the difference. Standard of 1080p at 30fps (because really 60fps for most console games is absolute overkill and you would rather have better graphics), more vareity in the textures, larger levels, things that the puny 512mbs of ram just can't handle right now.

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#36 NukaNuked
Member since 2011 • 973 Posts

[QUOTE="Dibdibdobdobo"]

[QUOTE="C_Rule"] Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|MFDOOM1983

Yet again a unfactual fact from you. Give some hard facts rather than a bad opinion. Because something doesnt appeal to you doesnt mean its bad nor the worst.

 :?

Well, I'm not average.....

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VendettaRed07

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#37 VendettaRed07
Member since 2007 • 14012 Posts

10 times more powerful does not mean games will look ten times better

Honestly for all we know the WiiU is ten times more powerful than the 360

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#38 SapSacPrime
Member since 2004 • 8925 Posts

I knew the PS3 and 360 would both see huge graphical jumps, but Wii U is just starting to get graphics able to compete with PS3 and 360, sadly.

StealthMonkey4
I read the gpu was based off a 4850 in which case it will be one hell of a leap from current hardware, I would trust Microsoft/Sony's hype about power as much as I do Nintendo's revolutionary new ways of interacting.
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#39 Sparky04
Member since 2006 • 3390 Posts

the basic principle of Moore's law is that the strength of hardware will double every 18 months to two years with no increase in price. So it came out in 2005, by 2007 new hardware should be twice as strong, in 2009, new hardware should be 4 times as strong, in 2011, hardware should be eight times as strong and in 2013 it should be 16 times as strong. This estimate of ten times seems to be on the conservative side, remember the original xbox was only 4 years old when the 360, a machine with 10 times as much ram, a processor that is dramatically better in every way, and a massively improved graphics card, came out.

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#40 SapSacPrime
Member since 2004 • 8925 Posts

I think you're all overesitmating this 10x as powerful. A current GTX 580 is roughly 10x the strengh of an 8800gts. Graphics have a little thing call law of diminishing returns. We've got to a point where you need to roughly double the power of a card to see a bit of a performance boost.

Don't think a 10x improvement over the Xbox 360 and PS3 is like going from a PS1 to a PS3, it's not. You'll notice the difference. Standard of 1080p at 30fps (because really 60fps for most console games is absolute overkill and you would rather have better graphics), more vareity in the textures, larger levels, things that the puny 512mbs of ram just can't handle right now.

Wasdie

Well said and nice to see common sense applied but it will probably get overlooked. Each subsequent gen we have had less of a leap from the gen before too which is also something to bear in mind, we may well not see the true potential of any new hardware until we start getting second/third generation games that are truly optimised.

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soapandbubbles

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#42 soapandbubbles
Member since 2010 • 3412 Posts

[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

C_Rule

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

you haven't followed developer comments have you? hardware isn't even fully made...it's so early. the console will be above the PS3..just not by that much

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#43 SecretPolice
Member since 2007 • 44313 Posts

[QUOTE="Wasdie"]

I think you're all overesitmating this 10x as powerful. A current GTX 580 is roughly 10x the strengh of an 8800gts. Graphics have a little thing call law of diminishing returns. We've got to a point where you need to roughly double the power of a card to see a bit of a performance boost.

Don't think a 10x improvement over the Xbox 360 and PS3 is like going from a PS1 to a PS3, it's not. You'll notice the difference. Standard of 1080p at 30fps (because really 60fps for most console games is absolute overkill and you would rather have better graphics), more vareity in the textures, larger levels, things that the puny 512mbs of ram just can't handle right now.

SapSacPrime

Well said and nice to see common sense applied but it will probably get overlooked. Each subsequent gen we have had less of a leap from the gen before too which is also something to bear in mind, we may well not see the true potential of any new hardware until we start getting second/third generation games that are truly optimised.

I'm not saying I disagree or anything but.... Kameo, a launch game for 360 still holds up well today, and Gears came out, I dunno, mid 2006 ? So, just sayin. What I'm sayin ? I dunno. :P

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Dark_man123

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#44 Dark_man123
Member since 2005 • 4012 Posts

From what i have been seeing, I personally thing the jump between current gen and next gen consolesare not going to be as dynamic as peopleare hoping for.Crysis has set the par for graphics, I cant see a game looking a gen ahead of that for a while. Honestly whatI want to see next Gen is more open enviroment, the advancement of A.I in games and alot more things happening on screen.

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Inconsistancy

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#45 Inconsistancy
Member since 2004 • 8094 Posts

From what i have been seeing, I personally thing the jump between current gen and next gen consolesare not going to be as dynamic as peopleare hoping for.Crysis has set the par for graphics, I cant see a game looking a gen ahead of that for a while. Honestly whatI want to see next Gen is more open enviroment, the advancement of A.I in games and alot more things happening on screen.

Dark_man123
I want them to look like that Samaritan demo :D, that's next gen compared to Crysis methinks, of course, it's not really open.. but I don't really care :D, crysis is really just Speedtrysis anyway.
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#46 lhughey
Member since 2006 • 4867 Posts
Thats very possible. Moores law says that CPUs double in power every 18months. Its been about 72 months since the 360 debuted. I'm willing to bet that a Sandy Bridge CPU is 10x more powerful than a Pentium 4 (the gap between the two processors is about 5-7 years). The gap between GPUs is even greater.
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#47 DarkGamer007
Member since 2008 • 6033 Posts

[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="ShuichiChamp24"]

One gen they didn't release a strong console and now it's what they do.

C_Rule

TBF it's their most successful console to date.

Which doesn't say much for the future of gaming, when one of the worst consoles in history, is also the most successful. :|

:lol: Did you seriously just rank the Wii next to the Atari Jaguar, Atari 5200, Atari Jaguar CD, Sega 32X, Phillips CD-i, and the Apple PinPin? :lol: OH my....:lol: I can't breathe...:lol:

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#48 LordRork
Member since 2004 • 2692 Posts

Thats very possible. Moores law says that CPUs double in power every 18months. Its been about 72 months since the 360 debuted. I'm willing to bet that a Sandy Bridge CPU is 10x more powerful than a Pentium 4 (the gap between the two processors is about 5-7 years). The gap between GPUs is even greater.lhughey

The thing is that current CPUs should be sixteen times better than a six year old processor since the double is compounded each 18 months (although it's not quite that simple, particularly given the number of cores available vs number of cores used by games).

So, technically, a next gen machine that is 10x more powerful than its predecessor is well behind the general level of progress of the processing industry.

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#49 Ontain
Member since 2005 • 25501 Posts
according to Moore's Law it should be more. 10x is not really great for 10 years by the time it comes out.
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#50 SoBaus
Member since 2011 • 546 Posts

[QUOTE="Danm_999"]Considering top of the line PCs are already several more times powerful than the 360 or PS3, I don't doubt the next generation of consoles will be 10x more powerful if released in a few years. It's amazing the rate at which PC hardware leaps and bounds and year, and that hardware are what console manufacturers often base their systems off of.DragonfireXZ95
It's even more interesting that the technology just keeps growing at a faster rate. The consoles will likely be rendered obsolete even faster next time around.

actually its usually the opposite, the rate of technological growth tends to decline over time.

Thats why video card manufacturers created SLI, to cope with a lull in graphics progression... they fall back on just having you shove more video cards in your system.