Will XBone sell 10m its first year like 360?

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Shewgenja

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Edited By Shewgenja

Poll Will XBone sell 10m its first year like 360? (95 votes)

Yes. The XBone has all the momentum it needs to match or exceed the XBox 360s first year. 44%
No. The XBone will not match the market performance of the XBox 360 in its first year 40%
Potato. 16%

Simple premise for this poll. I am gauging System Wars' confidence in the XBone when compared to its predecessor. Since it is ridiculously too early to gauge lifetime sales, it seems far more fitting to ask whether it will sell almost 10 million consoles in its first year like the XBox 360 did. We are at the halfway mark, so be sure to get your vote in.

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lostrib

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#2 lostrib
Member since 2009 • 49999 Posts

@FastRobby said:

Depends, will it be released in the same amount of countries. If so, then maybe, but else I'm not sure, probably not I would think...

it's already released in its major markets. The only possible game changing country would be China, and no one knows how that will turn out

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BattleSpectre

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#3  Edited By BattleSpectre
Member since 2009 • 7989 Posts

Quite easily.

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jsmoke03

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#4  Edited By jsmoke03
Member since 2004 • 13717 Posts

i think so. they plan to release in different regions and thats a boost edit: and i mean boost like 500k-to 1mil total in those regions. plus i think they are getting a price cut. E3 is right around the corner and there are more games in the works.

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GrenadeLauncher

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#5  Edited By GrenadeLauncher
Member since 2004 • 6843 Posts

Let's speculate. 350,000 Xbones this month and next, a brief increase to 500,000 in June because of the price cut, 350,000 again after that until Nov/Dev with the big holiday spending = 3,450,000 Bones. Combine the 200,000 it'll get in its "tier 2 launch" and that's maybe 7,750,000 this year.

Probably not, no.

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blackace

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#6 blackace
Member since 2002 • 23576 Posts

i think it will overall. By the time they launch in Sept in the other 30 countries they should be close 7 million. Will the PS4 sell 20 million by the end of the year like the Wii?

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Indicud

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#7  Edited By Indicud
Member since 2013 • 745 Posts

No it likely won't. If TitanFall couldn't even move 320k+ units in a single month, in its biggest territory nothing will prompt the Xbox One to 10 million units by November.

It's at or around 4 million and has 6 million to go.

Xbox 360 only sold that much because it was the only next gen console on the market.

Severely doubtful.

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Indicud

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#8  Edited By Indicud
Member since 2013 • 745 Posts

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#9 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

We're at 5 million shipped already, so it doesn't seem like that much of a stretch, honestly.

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I_can_haz

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#10 I_can_haz
Member since 2013 • 6511 Posts

Nope. 360 didn't have any competition, XBone doesn't have that luxury. It's getting it's ass kicked by PS4 worldwide and I don't see that ending anytime soon.

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blackace

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#11 blackace
Member since 2002 • 23576 Posts

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months and was sold out for a full year. The PS4 isn't sold out anymore. The hype has died down a lot since launch. It's not selling over a million every month right now. I can see it hitting 14-15 million realistically if it has a strong holiday.

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Nengo_Flow

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#12 Nengo_Flow
Member since 2011 • 10644 Posts

Well they already had their "Killer line up", only thing now that could boost sales is the price cut coming at E3.

Releasing in new markets wont do much since XBOX is really only received well in US/Canada, UK and Germany

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deactivated-5cd08b1605da1

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#13  Edited By deactivated-5cd08b1605da1
Member since 2012 • 9317 Posts

@blackace said:

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months

Link? Not doubting, just curious. I didnt thought the Wii sold that much, especially when the PS4 is said to be breaking records left and right

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Kashiwaba

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#14 Kashiwaba
Member since 2005 • 8059 Posts

@blackace:

Where are you pulling these numbers from Lol wii was at 6 mil at 5 months after launch and ps4 is already outpacing Wii

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Floppy_Jim

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#15 Floppy_Jim
Member since 2007 • 25931 Posts

Something about amount of countries, herp derp.

But yes, it should achieve that easily.

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Blabadon

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#16 Blabadon
Member since 2008 • 33030 Posts

I'll say no, because the PS4 exists. 8 or 9 alright and I could very easily be wrong

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Nike_Air

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#18 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19733 Posts

Yes

  1. Kinect Sports Rivals
  2. Continued TitanFall momentum
  3. Games with Gold - increasing Live's value
  4. Driveclub is in development hell and probably won't be good (or even release)
  5. Pricedrop
  6. Incredible Microsoft E3 - Phil Spencer becomes a God
  7. Project Spark is a game changer
  8. The return of the IndieBox
  9. Resolutiongate comes to an end
  10. China
  11. Tier--2 launches in September
  12. DirectX12+Cloud power hype
  13. D4 , Forza Horizon 2 , Sunset Overdrive , Quantum Break
  14. Halo 2 Anniversary will be a juggernaut
  15. Planetside 2 and Deep Down are F2P , lol
  16. The Order 1886 will be the PS4's Ryse at best
  17. Original TV programming for Xbox One - increasing Live's value again
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Shewgenja

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#19 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

This has turned into quite the interesting battle. Neck and neck right now.

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Shewgenja

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#21  Edited By Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@FastRobby said:

@Shewgenja said:

This has turned into quite the interesting battle. Neck and neck right now.

You should've added the other poll of PS4 reaching 20 million. Because if I can believe some people here they are selling 2:1

Why don't you make a poll, instead? Maybe you can get one of the lems to be on board with that lol

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Chutebox

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#23 Chutebox  Online
Member since 2007 • 50558 Posts

No.

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Shewgenja

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#24  Edited By Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@Chutebox said:

No.

I agree.

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PAL360

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#25  Edited By PAL360
Member since 2007 • 30570 Posts

I think its on the way to sell, at least, as much as 360 in the first year.

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Wasdie

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#26 Wasdie  Moderator
Member since 2003 • 53622 Posts

At this rate it will.

I'm expecting both the PS4 and Xbox One to have really terrible summers though. I don't expect either to keep selling well throughout the summer. They won't pick up again until fall.

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#27 ghostwarrior786
Member since 2005 • 5811 Posts

i voted potato simply because i am quite hungry right now

no it wont. 10m 'shipped' announcement will happen though

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clone01

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#28 clone01
Member since 2003 • 29824 Posts

Who cares?

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Shewgenja

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#29 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@clone01 said:

Who cares?

You are a Potato man.

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clone01

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#30  Edited By clone01
Member since 2003 • 29824 Posts

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

Who cares?

You are a Potato man.

Not sure why you're unable to answer the question. Does this sales figure emotionally affect you?

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Shewgenja

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#31 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@clone01 said:

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

Who cares?

You are a Potato man.

Not sure why you're unable to answer the question. Does this sales figure emotionally affect you?

Deeply. I have to vindicate my purchase on a public forum or else I will be terribly upset.

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clone01

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#32 clone01
Member since 2003 • 29824 Posts

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

Who cares?

You are a Potato man.

Not sure why you're unable to answer the question. Does this sales figure emotionally affect you?

Deeply. I have to vindicate my purchase on a public forum or else I will be terribly upset.

You seem to do that here a lot. Must be a little sad, really.

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deactivated-57ad0e5285d73

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#33 deactivated-57ad0e5285d73
Member since 2009 • 21398 Posts

If a human can take ten million craps in a year then Microsoft will sell ten million xbox ones.

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#34 ghostwarrior786
Member since 2005 • 5811 Posts

@blackace said:

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months and was sold out for a full year. The PS4 isn't sold out anymore. The hype has died down a lot since launch. It's not selling over a million every month right now. I can see it hitting 14-15 million realistically if it has a strong holiday.

hahahha more misinformation from blackace. ps4 is ahead of wii sales right now

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Shewgenja

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#35  Edited By Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@clone01 said:

You seem to do that here a lot. Must be a little sad, really.

You're either a self-righteous emotional masochist who likes spending time online with people in the middle of an endless fanboy war if not but for the sole reason of making you feel good about yourself or, you yourself have some deep-seated bias that you seek vindication of. Either way, party foul for getting serious and personal in the kiddie pool.

"You live with apes, man, it's hard to be clean."

-Marilyn Manson

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clone01

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#36 clone01
Member since 2003 • 29824 Posts

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

You seem to do that here a lot. Must be a little sad, really.

You're either a self-righteous emotional masochist who likes spending time online with people in the middle of an endless fanboy war if not but for the sole reason of making you feel good about yourself or, you yourself have some deep-seated bias that you seek vindication of.

"You live with apes, man, it's hard to be clean."

-Marilyn Manson

Neither. Thanks for quoting a Florida redneck, though.

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Indicud

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#37  Edited By Indicud
Member since 2013 • 745 Posts

@Shewgenja said:

@clone01 said:

You seem to do that here a lot. Must be a little sad, really.

You're either a self-righteous emotional masochist who likes spending time online with people in the middle of an endless fanboy war if not but for the sole reason of making you feel good about yourself or, you yourself have some deep-seated bias that you seek vindication of. Either way, party foul for getting serious and personal in the kiddie pool.

"You live with apes, man, it's hard to be clean."

-Marilyn Manson

he's a troll and got you rustled.

Job complete brah.

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kuu2

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#38 kuu2
Member since 2005 • 12063 Posts

Not even a doubt it will sell the 1o million. The question is will it be ahead or behind the PauperStation4 by the end of the year.

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#39  Edited By clr84651
Member since 2010 • 5643 Posts

@kuu2 said:

Not even a doubt it will sell the 1o million. The question is will it be ahead or behind the PauperStation4 by the end of the year.

It will not be ahead of the PS4. It is currently 2.5+ million behind. PS4 is at 7.3 million sold to people. The Xbox One is 5 million shipped to retailers.

Xbox One has shipped 5 million in 5 months. The launch is behind it which sold a ton and a Xmas. It will be most like to sell between 8.5-9.5 million. The PS4 is likely to reach 13-14 million by year's end.

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#40  Edited By kuu2
Member since 2005 • 12063 Posts

@clr84651 said:

@kuu2 said:

Not even a doubt it will sell the 1o million. The question is will it be ahead or behind the PauperStation4 by the end of the year.

It will not be ahead of the PS4. It is currently 2.5+ million behind. PS4 is at 7.3 million sold to people. The Xbox One is 5 million shipped to retailers.

Xbox One has shipped 5 million in 5 months. The launch is behind it which sold a ton and a Xmas. It will be most like to sell between 8.5-9.5 million. The PS4 is likely to reach 13-14 million by year's end.

The One has not even launched WW yet. Not only will it sell 1o million it will smash it.

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urbansys

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#41  Edited By urbansys
Member since 2003 • 235 Posts

Xbox 360 did not have any competition when it was released.

I dont think it can hit 10 million by end of year. Global economy plus the popularity of the cheaper PS4 will keep that from happening imo.

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#42 SUD123456
Member since 2007 • 6949 Posts

X360 did not sell 10M in its first year, so title and poll seem irrelevant.

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Indicud

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#43 Indicud
Member since 2013 • 745 Posts

@kuu2 said:

@clr84651 said:

@kuu2 said:

Not even a doubt it will sell the 1o million. The question is will it be ahead or behind the PauperStation4 by the end of the year.

It will not be ahead of the PS4. It is currently 2.5+ million behind. PS4 is at 7.3 million sold to people. The Xbox One is 5 million shipped to retailers.

Xbox One has shipped 5 million in 5 months. The launch is behind it which sold a ton and a Xmas. It will be most like to sell between 8.5-9.5 million. The PS4 is likely to reach 13-14 million by year's end.

The One has not even launched WW yet. Not only will it sell 1o million it will smash it.

March's NPD really fucked you up huh?

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blackace

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#44  Edited By blackace
Member since 2002 • 23576 Posts

@Vatusus said:

@blackace said:

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months

Link? Not doubting, just curious. I didnt thought the Wii sold that much, especially when the PS4 is said to be breaking records left and right

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_sales

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deactivated-583e460ca986b

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#45 deactivated-583e460ca986b
Member since 2004 • 7240 Posts

The Xbox One is on pace to break 10 million but I am gonna say no. The games just aren't there. We should bring this up again after E3. Maybe Microsoft has a big holiday planned.

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Indicud

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#47 Indicud
Member since 2013 • 745 Posts

@blackace said:

@Vatusus said:

@blackace said:

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months

Link? Not doubting, just curious. I didnt thought the Wii sold that much, especially when the PS4 is said to be breaking records left and right

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_sales

In your own link:

2007-03-31[2]2.002.371.475.84

From Wii's launch (November) to March 31st (5 months same time PS4's been out) it sold only 5.84 million

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deactivated-5cd08b1605da1

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#48 deactivated-5cd08b1605da1
Member since 2012 • 9317 Posts
@blackace said:

@Vatusus said:

@blackace said:

@Indicud said:

@blackace: so far PS4 is selling on average 1.4 million consoles a month. This is without any heavy hitter games.

1.4x12= 16.8 million consoles.

PS4 could very well sell 20 million if the holiday Season is included.

XB1 at roughly 4.2 million sold in 5 months.

Averages 840,000 sold per month.

8.4x12=10 million

These are just averages....

The WII sold 9 million in 5 months

Link? Not doubting, just curious. I didnt thought the Wii sold that much, especially when the PS4 is said to be breaking records left and right

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_sales

uh...

1st. That board clearly say SHIPPED

2nd. The 9.27 million units is at the end of June of 2007, the wii was released on december 2006, meaning 7 months NOT 5

so, unless I'm missing something on the text (wich I didnt read) what you said was actually false

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hoyalawya

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#50 hoyalawya
Member since 2014 • 344 Posts

1. Make Xbox One backward compatible with Xbox 360 games

2. Offer $199 Xbox 360 to Xbox One upgrade