Take a look at the official statement about the 16FF+ node from TSMC
http://www.tsmc.com/english/dedicatedFoundry/technology/16nm.htm
TSMC’s 16FF+ (FinFET Plus) technology can provide above 65 percent higher speed, around 2 times the density, or 70 percent less power than its 28HPM technology. Comparing with 20 (nm) SoC technology, 16FF+ provides extra 40% higher speed and 60% power saving.
40 percent of Shield TV's 21 watts is 8.4 watts which is OK for 8 to 9 inch tablet and still too high for candy bar smart phones.
5 to 6 inch candy bar smart phones are about 1 to 5 watts.
Did you just say "candy bar" phones in 2016? Uh....
M-moving on from that, the 10-inch Pixel C tablet uses an X1 with the GPU clocked down to 850MHz, and only consumes 14W, screen and all. NX would have a much a smaller, lower-resolution screen, and overall could probably match it.
Note why I stated 8 to 9 inch tablet not 10.2 inch Pixel C tablet.
Change candybar with Phablet.
http://www.notebookcheck.net/Google-Pixel-C-Tablet-Review.158868.0.html
The price for Pixel C is $499 USD for 32 GB model https://store.google.com/product/pixel_c
40 percent faster speed yields around 56,931 points.
Nexus 9 with K1 is only 35 percent slower.
For comparison
40 percent of 14 watts is 5.6 watts... getting close.
My estimate for NX, it's far from XBO.
You're forgetting about the decrease in power consumption from going to a screen with a much smaller size and resolution. Factoring in that, it gets under 5W for sure. Also, from what I've heard, the X1's GPU uses just 1.5W when clocked at 500MHz, so a Pasal-based one should be 700MHz for 1.5W.
And yes, it's obviously going to be much slower than XB1 in even the best case.
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