Does Ted actually have a reasonable chance of being defeated or is it all just hype?
Poll-wise, Ted Cruz has a 5-6 % lead. Beto has made waves because he is charismatic and that he has a slight chance.
But hey, polls said Hillary Clinton would win the presidency so who knows?
however..as predicted the race has moved from 'lean Republican' to 'tossup'.
I have lived in Texas for 30 years. over that time the state culturally has absolutely pushed more Blue that and these pollsters only look at 'likely voters' despite the fact that registration has gone thru the roof lately.
more over, Beto knows that the rural areas are more powerful of a vote then a city vote and he has been campaigning as such.
I think this midterm people are going to be shocked.
Does Ted actually have a reasonable chance of being defeated or is it all just hype?
Poll-wise, Ted Cruz has a 5-6 % lead. Beto has made waves because he is charismatic and that he has a slight chance.
But hey, polls said Hillary Clinton would win the presidency so who knows?
however..as predicted the race has moved from 'lean Republican' to 'tossup'.
I have lived in Texas for 30 years. over that time the state culturally has absolutely pushed more Blue that and these pollsters only look at 'likely voters' despite the fact that registration has gone thru the roof lately.
more over, Beto knows that the rural areas are more powerful of a vote then a city vote and he has been campaigning as such.
I think this midterm people are going to be shocked.
I obviously don't live in Texas but what's your reasoning?
I do want liberal democrats to take over but I am skeptical of a Beto victory. Also, while the cities are blue, they're still electing Republicans into office.
Does Ted actually have a reasonable chance of being defeated or is it all just hype?
Poll-wise, Ted Cruz has a 5-6 % lead. Beto has made waves because he is charismatic and that he has a slight chance.
But hey, polls said Hillary Clinton would win the presidency so who knows?
however..as predicted the race has moved from 'lean Republican' to 'tossup'.
I have lived in Texas for 30 years. over that time the state culturally has absolutely pushed more Blue that and these pollsters only look at 'likely voters' despite the fact that registration has gone thru the roof lately.
more over, Beto knows that the rural areas are more powerful of a vote then a city vote and he has been campaigning as such.
I think this midterm people are going to be shocked.
I obviously don't live in Texas but what's your reasoning?
I do want liberal democrats to take over but I am skeptical of a Beto victory. Also, while the cities are blue, they're still electing Republicans into office.
1. The cities have had a major demographic shift in the past 20 years or so. Houston for example has changed a lot in racial make up.
2. For reasons I dont know the 'white culture' in Houston has also become more liberal than it was in the past.
3. Other than those two reasons for this election specifically it would just be that Trump is so unliked by majority of Americans and Beto knows how to work the vote by going to the rural areas instead of the cities.
I think the State of Texas is going to eventually flip blue (regardless of Trump era) because unlike 10-20 years ago, Texas is becoming more of a metropolitan State with mega cities like Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Dallas leading the cultural change
1. The cities have had a major demographic shift in the past 20 years or so. Houston for example has changed a lot in racial make up.
2. For reasons I dont know the 'white culture' in Houston has also become more liberal than it was in the past.
3. Other than those two reasons for this election specifically it would just be that Trump is so unliked by majority of Americans and Beto knows how to work the vote by going to the rural areas instead of the cities.
I think the State of Texas is going to eventually flip blue (regardless of Trump era) because unlike 10-20 years ago, Texas is becoming more of a metropolitan State with mega cities like Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Dallas leading the cultural change
1. The cities have had a major demographic shift in the past 20 years or so. Houston for example has changed a lot in racial make up.
2. For reasons I dont know the 'white culture' in Houston has also become more liberal than it was in the past.
3. Other than those two reasons for this election specifically it would just be that Trump is so unliked by majority of Americans and Beto knows how to work the vote by going to the rural areas instead of the cities.
I think the State of Texas is going to eventually flip blue (regardless of Trump era) because unlike 10-20 years ago, Texas is becoming more of a metropolitan State with mega cities like Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Dallas leading the cultural change
Influx of people that are Democrats.
There are places I used to go that just 7 years ago was nearly completely white.
I saw a photo the other day of the same place and there was not a single white face in the crowd.
demographics are changing for sure
(to be fair it could have been an ethic event but never the less I have seen it happen more than once while I lived there)
Does Ted actually have a reasonable chance of being defeated or is it all just hype?
Poll-wise, Ted Cruz has a 5-6 % lead. Beto has made waves because he is charismatic and that he has a slight chance.
But hey, polls said Hillary Clinton would win the presidency so who knows?
however..as predicted the race has moved from 'lean Republican' to 'tossup'.
I have lived in Texas for 30 years. over that time the state culturally has absolutely pushed more Blue that and these pollsters only look at 'likely voters' despite the fact that registration has gone thru the roof lately.
more over, Beto knows that the rural areas are more powerful of a vote then a city vote and he has been campaigning as such.
I think this midterm people are going to be shocked.
I obviously don't live in Texas but what's your reasoning?
I do want liberal democrats to take over but I am skeptical of a Beto victory. Also, while the cities are blue, they're still electing Republicans into office.
I think you should look more into voter turnout rather than polls. There has been a massive surge in voter registration in Texas, unlike any other mid-term. You'd think it would be republicans, but in reality it's young democracts. The fact that Cruz only has about a 5-6% lead, is actually way to scary. That's a toss-up and all that matters now is voter turnout. So actually, there's a very big chance.
Does Ted actually have a reasonable chance of being defeated or is it all just hype?
Poll-wise, Ted Cruz has a 5-6 % lead. Beto has made waves because he is charismatic and that he has a slight chance.
But hey, polls said Hillary Clinton would win the presidency so who knows?
Polls were correct as Hillary got 3m more votes, but since 'Murica is not a proper democracy (more votes = winner), you ended up with Trump.
Electoral college is democratic. It doesn't let two states dictate the whole election.
They were discussing opinion polls. That doesn't measure the EC.
P.S. To add to your point on two big states, this isn't always a good thing. Having multiple small red states is a huge boon for a GOP Senate compared to having a few huge Blue states. I'll let you figure out why. The Senate's 46 Democrats got 20 million more votes than its 54 Republicans. Basically the Dems get screwed at every turn, even though they win the national vote at every turn.
Which is why Jacanuk gets so confused at public opinion polls always leaning either neutral or blue rather than red on most issues - yet wonders why they control everything. We'll, this is why. (Among other reasons).
But hopefully Cruz will win, it would be pretty crazy if a Democrat managed to beat a Republican in Texas. last polls have him up by 7 points so it all comes down to who shows up.
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