[QUOTE="Hulabaloza"]
The difference is that with the original XBOX, Microsoft had the strategy of an underdog from day one. They came into it ready to build their own sports games (should EA drop them) and bought the pieces for game genres's their console wasn't being supported in.
Could Sony do that with the PS3? I think their ego would now let them, but the timing won't allow it. That's not a switch you flip - that's a long term strategy. For Sony to now go out and secure top rated exclusives for the PS3 would be next to impossible (think KOTOR or Halo from the old XBOX). Those games were secured before the PS2 was even released. Any games with big sales potential, now, will target the lead consoles. Just like XBOX got the scraps of the PS2.....the PS3 is getting scraps.
I don't think Sony can recover. Look at Sega and never compare anyone to Nintendo. Sega got stupid with new hardware (32X / Saturn) releases and nobody trusted them anymore. I think Sony is on the path to the destruction with the PS brand. When it busts, no one is going to trust the PS4 when it comes out either. Nintendo, on the other hand, is an exception to every rule in gaming and the console business. Sony is not Nintendo....Micrsoft can replace them, and pretty much has now.
CarnageHeart
I agree with you about MS building to be the underdog, but with the notable exception of sports games, Sony has a good amount of first/second party coverage and they are clearly willing to reach out to promising but unproven developers. Nintendoclearlysees no need to reach outand post-Bungie, it seems like all of MS's big acquisitions seem to be from Nintendo (and that well has dried up unless Miyamoto is looking for a new job).
Your Sony/Sega analogy doesn't hold. Commerical failure alone doesn't hurt hardware makers, poor support (something Sega was certainly guilty of with the Saturn, 32X, Sega CD and the Genesis towards the end of its life) does. In their treatment of the PSP and the PS3, Sony is acting more like Sega did in the SMS days than they did in the 32X/Sega CD/Saturn days.
Yes, Sony is not Nintendo, and that is the highest compliment I can pay them, since there is no sign that they are clinging to old franchises. Aside from the makers of Gran Turismo and probably the makers of SOCOM, other Sony developers have debuted/are debutting with new IP such as Resistance, Uncharted, White Knight Story and Infamous rather than debuting with the sequels to the PS2 games they became famous for. And unlike Nintendo in the GC days Sony is forging alliances with new talent (Media Molecule, thatgamecompany, Ninja Theory) not shedding old talent (SK, Rare).
As for whether or not MS can replace Sony, the X360 is clearly the true successor to the PS2 even though understandably for a system only two years old, the library isn't quite as broad. I am just explaining why I think the PS2 will be the Xbox of its generation and not the GC. Both were runner-ups, but the Xbox boasted a broad library with many original games (KOTOR, Halo, Crimson Skies, Otogi, Forza) whereas the GC boasted a narrow library in which 60% of the games were Mario games (even third parties were publishing Mario games).
I think the system so far is most like the Saturn. Tough to develop for, overpriced and loaded with late, inferior ports.
The Gamecube also had a higher profile lineup. Sunshine, Animal Crossing, Metroid Prime and Smash Brothers were availible within the first year. Insomniac's games have made the biggest splashes, but these are B-level franchises at most, at least in marketing terms...
All the sure-games have slipped into 08. Home misses it's launch, and we know how long it took XBL to get out of niche status.
This all comes back to Blue-ray...if it did what it needed to do Sony could strip blue-ray and other components and have a chance at a comeback. But now Sony needs the PS3 to stand a chance in the format war, because Toshiba is getting awfully close to getting HD-players under $200. Studios will shy away from exclusive deals because really all people do when a movie they want is on a different format is buy the DVD, like I did with Transformers. So when Sony looks back they'll see Blue-ray may have harmed the PS3 more then it helped it. By the time HD media gets mainstream cheap it's hard to say if optical media will even be viable.
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