I have only played Kinect Sports and Dance Central, but from those 2 games I am not convinced that Kinect has ability to transform hardcore games.
Kinect Sports is really hard to control, much harder than Move or Wii. I can't see Kinect ever being able to track precise, pinpoint movements in this generation-- maybe with future refinements in the next generation.
Eventually the public will see through all the casual trash games being released and Kinect will have the same shovelware problem the Wii does. Kinect doesn't have the luxury of having the best 1st party publisher in the world, Nintendo, to support their line-up.
Kinect may have sold a few million units so far, but that isn't enough to convince many 3rd party publishers like Activision to throw major title investment at Kinect. I think the Kinect gimmick will wear off if they don't get a killer ap soon. Wii has had many killer aps to keep it going, but Kinect will have a much harder time since Microsoft is not writing its own software.
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