Open conflict between Russia and the US would likely end in the use of WMDs (atomic, biological, and/or chemical) so no winners there.
However, if we are talking conventional warfare, I'd say the US for a variety of reasons:
1. Hardware. It is the best, often. Not always, but generally better than most of the stuff out there.
2. Training. Pretty severe training, assuming we dont need to crank out soldiers fast (I heard towards the end of the US's occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan, the standards had dropped; maybe they're back up where they belong again).
3. Veterancy. The US has participated or led a conflict like every ten years it feels like. That's a whole lot of experienced officers and so forth.
It'd be a tough fight, no doubt. I'm not sure what Russian military doctrine is now, but during the Cold War it was essentially zerg rush lol. I know it sounds funny, but the objective was to storm the border with huge numbers of tanks, occupy with infantry, and beat the enemy before resources ran out (and they'd run out, quickly, given the sheer volume of forces they would deploy).
Anyone interested in a fictionalized, but realistic, portrayal of a NATO vs Soviet war (naval warfare in the Atlantic, ground combat in Germany, and spec ops in Antarctica) should read Tom Clancy's Red Storm RIsing. Amazing book. A bit dated as it uses 1980s/Cold War hardware and tactics as reference, but still an amazing book. Just be patient, after the first 30 pages of action there's about 100 pages of politics. But then its back to action! Don't be intimidated by it's thickness (that's what he said?), it reads fast!
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