I struggled with the same decision myself, though in the end, I decided to forget about it and just wait for the reviews to roll in before I get any, specifically for Mad Max. The only game I'm having no doubt about getting is Fallout 4.
I've never played Rage, though it does indeed look and play a lot like Mad Max. If you're in dire need for either of those games (and if you'll eventually get both), I would recommend Mad Max first, but seeing as how you didn't enjoy Rage, I wouldn't set my expectations too high (cause it looks quite repetitive, if not boring).
If you're looking for something more lengthy, a game that'll last you longer with more things to do, then go with MGS V. I wouldn't worry too much about not playing the previous games of MGS if you favor gameplay over story, and I personally think Phantom Pain has quite a bit to offer in terms of gameplay.
But if Mad Max does end up getting great reviews on launch day, definitely get that. So yeah, Mad Max. That's what I would get.
EDIT* LOL so I just stumbled across a gameplay of Rage. I wouldn't worry about it being anywhere similar to Mad Max anymore, besides the setting. Woops.
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