Interesting theory, which could turn out to be true. The reality of the HD-DVD v.s Blueray is that the war hasn't really begun. I do not have hard figures in front of me but my instincts tell me that less than 2% of home movie sales are in either format. I'm sure the HD-DVD/Blueray player sales are even lower. Face it, most people are giving up on DVD just yet. This race is just too early to call, IMHO.
The same logic can be applied to the # of consoles sold. Yes Wii has sold more consoles than PS3 and the 360 but at what price? This is why I do not consider it to be a three horse race... Nintentdo is playing little league baseball with a wiffle ball and bat, while Sony and MS are in the major leagues. Yes I own a Wii.... who doesnt? oh thats right 99% of America.
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