This thread has forced my hand, so I've been spending the last half an hour cobbling together my Round 4 odds. Because it's such a rush job, I might have to adjust this in the coming days. Here they are:
Round 4: Bloodborne 40% / TLOU1 25% / Returnal 10% / Ghost of Tsushima 10% / Demon's Souls 10% / Infamous Second Son + First Light 5% / all others <1%
Announcement: TGA (December) 2021
Like I said, TLOU1 got a boost due to GoW. GoT's Overall odds is strong (60%), but I felt Sony aren't quite done with that game on the PS just yet. Upping Demon's Souls slightly with time, as it has the highest Overall odds (85%) on the board.
New entry this round: Infamous, most likely Second Son + First Light combo pack similar to Uncharted. I completely forgot about those games, and I think Sony may have too. Still, possible throwaway port. Difficult to pin my odds on this one, so I went conservative with it.
Update: f*** it, I'm done hedging with shit like "an Infamous game." Gonna call it specifically.
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