Poll Pre-holiday results betting: Can Nintendo hit their Switch projections for the FY? (12 votes)
This holiday is going to be important to Nintendo. If Switch doesn't perform very well, their stock and the value of the company will fall back down to Wii U-era levels as analysts and investors believe that Switch was a flash in the pan and won't grow without big changes (even though profit margins are still in-line with expectations).
My guess? Switch is underperforming hardware-wise in Japan right now, where it looks like it'll struggle to beat last year's numbers unless Smash does something great. The US seems to be over-performing right now though, and Europe is unknown. Software-wise, despite the claims of a massive year-long drought, it's over-performing worldwide and will smash through 100 million easily. I'd say it'll be closer to 120 million. Hardware will miss the mark by at least a million though imo.
We will revisit this in February.
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