Premise:
Xbox one is in a real tight spot right now, even the most avid MS fans could admit that much, but some people might think MS has completely blown it in the console war but that is far from the truth.
This gen is almost over and everyone knows that. Everyone is waiting for and expecting the PS5 to start a new gen fall 2019 or early 2020 and think MS will be in trouble again trying to play catch up with Sony because they got the jump on them, but that actually isn't true!
MS got the jump on Sony because they've already set the plans for next gen and they're pretty good.
Yes MS lied to everyone, but it's not really that bad...maybe kind of, but it's for the best.
The Analysis:
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What you need to realized is MS's master plan to combat Sony.
1.MS has given up on this gen!
lol if you're wondering why you haven't heard about any new high profile AAA titles for X1 when Phil's been telling you he's working on exciting AAA projects get a clue! Those games are for next generation. That's why you're still waiting on old funky Crackdown 3 to release and State of Decay which looks like a PS3 title in 2018.
This is important: MS isn't going to release much if any of their upcoming high profile exclusives in development on for X1. That is why MS didn't announce any AAA games last E3, The time line needs to be closer to PS5's reveal.
2.Xbox one X is NOT a MID-GEN system, it's a CROSS-GEN system!
The importance of understanding this can't be understated. Essentially, MS has ALREADY released their next gen system (there is the lie MS used to fool everyone especially Sony) and why it's so ridiculously powerful compared to X1.
So no base X1/S owers, MS won't fulfill their promise of NOT having exclusives on X1X.
As soon as Sony announce PS5, MS will began to announce X1X as their base hardware for next gen and start releasing exclusives.
MS won't release their actual Next gen system until 2020-2021 to get the power advantage once again from Sony while still being BC with X1X.
3. The programming advantage for X1X.
The X1X will have already been on the market for over a year having all major developers learn the in's and outs of the hardware. Developers are already using up-scaling technology with X1X to get the best results for performance and graphics on the hardware.
The PS5 will be more powerful and be a true 4k machine, but it will not blow the X1X out of the water in terms of visual fidelity because of developer familiarity and scaling technology.
4. Pre-existing install base!
As stated before, the X1X will have been on the market for well over a year before PS5 releases.
This install base is exactly the situation MS wanted with 360 being out a year before PS3 that established mind-share which gave them leverage with getting exclusive deals and 3rd parties.
5. Price point***!
PS5 will no doubt be releasing at $500+ at launch (anything less and it would be tragically underpowred compared to current hardware).
MS, having released a year earlier will easily be able to drop X1X's price to $450-$400 to under cut PS5's launch price while having similarly impressive exclusive games that will actually utilize X1X's true power.
FIN/
Genius plan on MS's part and great plan to combat Sony going forward.
or
Am I giving MS too much credit, over thinking things and totally off?
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