Friendly X1X 2017 sales prediction thread.

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#1  Edited By deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

The title is a bit tongue in cheek, admittedly, as I know a thread like this will likely not result in what one might call friendly interactions. Be that as it may, I'm curious about what you guys think: how many X1X consoles will sell by the end of 2017 (assuming, of course, MS even releases those numbers)? We know that the X1X releases on 11/7, so that gives it just about two months left on the year. Undoubtedly, the X1X will be compared to the Switch, which did really well in that time frame (I don't know the exact amount). I was going to do a poll, but I figured it is better that people actually state their prediction, that way we can keep a clear list of who predicts what.

So, lems, man up. Of course, all others are invited, too.

Mmmmmmmwa

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hrt_rulz01

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#2  Edited By hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

It's a niche/premium product, so comparing it to the Switch is silly... as is comparing it to the base PS4/XB1. The only fair comparison is to the PS4 Pro.

As for sales numbers, I wouldn't have a clue. But like Phil said, it's not going to set the world on fire and MS will sell waaaay more XB1 S's.

And again, you cows are way to obsessed with this console.

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Livecommander

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#3 Livecommander
Member since 2009 • 1388 Posts

I say 1.2 shipped, about 700, 000 sold sounds right. They will combine some pc sales and call it the highest two month revenue generated in xbox. Or state some type of pr spin that sounds just as good.

I remember the days they actually spoke about xbox by itself and not this new term that means pc and mobile window accounts as well

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cainetao11

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#4  Edited By cainetao11
Member since 2006 • 38035 Posts

Why didn't you do this for Pro? lol

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PinkAnimal

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#5 PinkAnimal
Member since 2017 • 2380 Posts

like PSVR

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#6 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

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#7  Edited By hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

I have no idea about specific numbers... probably similar to what PS4 Pro did. Maybe a little better.

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DaVillain

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#8 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56091 Posts

For a $500 premium mid-gen upgrade, nobody expects this thing to sell like hot cakes and not to mention, not you'll need a 4KTV take full advantage on Xbox One X. I'm gonna just take a wild guess Xbox One X will sale between 500-800 units at the end of 2017. (At least)

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#9  Edited By deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@cainetao11: The trembling in this thread is real.

@cainetao11 said:

Why didn't you do this for Pro? lol

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#10 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@hrt_rulz01 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

I have no idea about specific numbers... probably similar to what PS4 Pro did. Maybe a little better.

So, will not make a solid prediction. Noted.

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#11 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56091 Posts

@hrt_rulz01 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

I have no idea about specific numbers... probably similar to what PS4 Pro did. Maybe a little better.

Just use my numbers in my post since she did say at the end of this year and so 500-800 units sold sounds reasonable since X1X has only 2 months to shine. (I'm just taking a wild guess on these predictions so don't take me seriously)

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#12 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@davillain- said:
@hrt_rulz01 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

I have no idea about specific numbers... probably similar to what PS4 Pro did. Maybe a little better.

Just use my numbers in my post since she did say at the end of this year and so 500-800 units sold sounds reasonable since X1X has only 2 months to shine. (I'm just taking a wild guess on these predictions so don't take me seriously)

500-800? Man, that's pretty brutal. I'd think it would be higher than that, but who knows.

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Tigerbalm

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#13 Tigerbalm
Member since 2017 • 1118 Posts

It will sell like $500 hot turd.

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deactivated-63d2876fd4204

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#14  Edited By deactivated-63d2876fd4204
Member since 2016 • 9129 Posts

2017 year end <200,000 in the U.S.

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#15 DrRollinstein
Member since 2016 • 1163 Posts

Itll likely be a good bit higher than 800. But as has been stated, no one expects it to sell like crazy. I imagine it might eventually beat the Pro, as its basically the suped up version of it. But who knows.

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hrt_rulz01

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#16 hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@davillain- said:
@hrt_rulz01 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:

@hrt_rulz01: Man up, sweetie. Where's the prediction.

I have no idea about specific numbers... probably similar to what PS4 Pro did. Maybe a little better.

Just use my numbers in my post since she did say at the end of this year and so 500-800 units sold sounds reasonable since X1X has only 2 months to shine. (I'm just taking a wild guess on these predictions so don't take me seriously)

I think it'll be more than 800 for goodness sake...

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DaVillain

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#17 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56091 Posts

@hrt_rulz01: There ya go! Use my numbers an an example.

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#18 madrocketeer
Member since 2005 • 10589 Posts

What's PS4 Pro sales as percentage of total PS4 sales? Halve that percentage, then apply that to the total XBox One sales. That's my bet.

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DaVillain

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#19 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56091 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

500-800? Man, that's pretty brutal. I'd think it would be higher than that, but who knows.

I wasn't trying to be mean or anything at all. But were talking about $500+this is a mid-gen upgrade optional+how many people owns 4KTV outside of SW+do current Xbox One/S really need to upgrade=just tells me I'm looking at 500-800 units sold. Just keep in mind, I'm taking a guess since you did say at the end of the year and 2 months is short to ever hit like 1,000 I guess.

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#20 Basinboy
Member since 2003 • 14495 Posts

I'll go with 2.5 million in the first year. There's just nothing of consequence beyond multiplatform games and the price disparity is going to scare away all but the most loyal (but boy there are a healthy number of them).

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hrt_rulz01

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#21 hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@davillain- said:

@hrt_rulz01: There ya go! Use my numbers an an example.

I'm not trying to be coy, I honestly don't follow sales numbers at all... especially monthly sales. So I have no idea. What did the Switch do in it's first month? Or the Pro?

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#22 DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56091 Posts

@hrt_rulz01: Never bother to care about the sale numbers during there first launch. I only saw this thread and I just took a wild guess cause even I have no idea how the Xbox One X will fair during it's 2 months at the end of the year. Never was interested buying PS4 Pro when my launch PS4 is still good and I'm not really a fan of supporting upgrade consoles for this gen.

Though I do wonder if someone will make a NPD thread to see how it fairs.

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#23 hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@davillain- said:

@hrt_rulz01: Never bother to care about the sale numbers during there first launch. I only saw this thread and I just took a wild guess cause even I have no idea how the Xbox One X will fair during it's 2 months at the end of the year. Never was interested buying PS4 Pro when my launch PS4 is still good and I'm not really a fan of supporting upgrade consoles for this gen.

Though I do wonder if someone will make a NPD thread to see how it fairs.

Oh I'm sure they will for XB1 X... cows will be waiting to pounce the second it "under performs" in their eyes and it'll be full of "flop" threads".

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#24 drummerdave9099
Member since 2010 • 4606 Posts

~500k between launch and Dec 31st.

~2 mil by end of next year

~3.5 mil lifetime

I also predict next gen will hit in 2020

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xxyetixx

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#25  Edited By xxyetixx
Member since 2004 • 3041 Posts

A million, Black Friday and holiday launch, pretty confident that MS treats the X1X like they did the Elite Controller, soft release, create the false demand, announce how they are impressed with initial demand of the system say they weren't prepared for it and they are trying to ship more. Same ole' same ole'

Edit...this is assuming X1X launches in all MS markets on November 7 and doesn't have a staggered launch like first US a week later U.K. Etc...don't know if any of those details have been released yet

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#26 Archangel3371
Member since 2004 • 44153 Posts

I'll say between 750,000 and 1,000,000.

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kuu2

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#27 kuu2
Member since 2005 • 12061 Posts

500k-750k at launch.

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#28 blackace
Member since 2002 • 23576 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

The title is a bit tongue in cheek, admittedly, as I know a thread like this will likely not result in what one might call friendly interactions. Be that as it may, I'm curious about what you guys think: how many X1X consoles will sell by the end of 2017 (assuming, of course, MS even releases those numbers)? We know that the X1X releases on 11/7, so that gives it just about two months left on the year. Undoubtedly, the X1X will be compared to the Switch, which did really well in that time frame (I don't know the exact amount). I was going to do a poll, but I figured it is better that people actually state their prediction, that way we can keep a clear list of who predicts what.

So, lems, man up. Of course, all others are invited, too.

Mmmmmmmwa

Don't know what the XB1X will sell on day 1 or for the month. Will probably depend on how many Microsoft ships as well.

Do you have numbers for PS4 Pro ? Did Sony even give us sales numbers for the PS4 Pro Only?

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#30 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@blackace: Yeah, Sony gave numbers on the Pro. Can't quite recall what they were. Something like for every ten PS4s sold, one is a Pro. Don't quote me on that tho. As I said I don't really recall and cannot look it up right now.

Anyway, this isn't a discussion about the Pro, which I don't particularly care about to begin with. It's a X1X sales prediction thread. Not too surprising to see certain somebodies trying to derail the thread tho.....

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xxyetixx

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#31 xxyetixx
Member since 2004 • 3041 Posts

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

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#32 hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@xxyetixx said:

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

Exactly. Very well said.

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#33 Chutebox
Member since 2007 • 50556 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

@blackace: Yeah, Sony gave numbers on the Pro. Can't quite recall what they were. Something like for every ten PS4s sold, one is a Pro. Don't quote me on that tho. As I said I don't really recall and cannot look it up right now.

Anyway, this isn't a discussion about the Pro, which I don't particularly care about to begin with. It's a X1X sales prediction thread. Not too surprising to see certain somebodies trying to derail the thread tho.....

Every 5.

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Shewgenja

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#34 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

Will push an NPD win in November. Possibly December, too. Steep decline in January and February. Bump in March for tax returna but may or may not pull a win. Switch and PS4 deep-six'es XBox for the rest of the year.

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#35 gfxpipeline
Member since 2014 • 543 Posts

Last I checked, 4k TVs were at only a 15 percent market penetration.

Combined with the fact that it is 500 dollar mid-gen hardware upgrade that will primarily be playing upscaled current gen games until the PS5 drops.

And with Microsoft downplaying its sales before it has even hit store shelves.

500-700k sounds about right with a huge amount of stock sitting on store shelves or in warehouses that Microsoft will claim is 'sold.'

If the X1X wasn't the child of the marketplace failure of the Xbox One and third parties were going to actually target it and not just upscale their current gen games it would probably do a bit better.

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deactivated-6092a2d005fba

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#36 deactivated-6092a2d005fba
Member since 2015 • 22663 Posts

Must be a slow PSVR news week if reduck is back to her Scorpio damage control threads.

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deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03

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#37 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

@xxyetixx said:

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

Dude, I think the Pro is a total waste of money. I don't even see the point in its existence. And yeah, I care about the X1X. That's why I made the thread. Grow up.

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#38 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
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@hrt_rulz01 said:
@xxyetixx said:

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

Exactly. Very well said.

Says one lem to another. You guys are hilarious.

Anyway, I've said many times that the PS4 Pro is pointless. The only way I'd buy it is if my OG PS4 broke, and the thing went on sale. Otherwise I think it was a mistake by Sony. Somehow, every time I say this it gets ignored. Gee, I wonder why.

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#39 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
Member since 2014 • 6005 Posts

Thank you to everyone that actually made a prediction. And thank you to the lems in here that have the balls to make a prediction. You guys rock. I'll update in a while to make a list of everyone's prediction. XOXO

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kuu2

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#40 kuu2
Member since 2005 • 12061 Posts

Insecure Cow thread.

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hrt_rulz01

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#41  Edited By hrt_rulz01
Member since 2006 • 22374 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:
@hrt_rulz01 said:
@xxyetixx said:

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

Exactly. Very well said.

Says one lem to another. You guys are hilarious.

Anyway, I've said many times that the PS4 Pro is pointless. The only way I'd buy it is if my OG PS4 broke, and the thing went on sale. Otherwise I think it was a mistake by Sony. Somehow, every time I say this it gets ignored. Gee, I wonder why.

Well like he said in his post, we never saw/see threads from cows (or lems) about PS4 Pro... but we see an XB1 X thread from you guys every 2nd day (and not just after this E3, ever since last E3 ffs). I wonder why...

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Shewgenja

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#42 Shewgenja
Member since 2009 • 21456 Posts

@hrt_rulz01: I made a thread about the ps4 pro being half-baked. It still turned into a peen measuring contest.

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#43 gfxpipeline
Member since 2014 • 543 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

Thank you to everyone that actually made a prediction. And thank you to the lems in here that have the balls to make a prediction. You guys rock. I'll update in a while to make a list of everyone's prediction. XOXO

There will be no way of knowing who was close to the actual sales numbers since Microsoft is the only console maker who doesn't put out actual sold to customer numbers.

The X1X will almost certainly be claimed to 'sell' a somewhere in the one to two million range by Microsoft but with a large amount of that stock still sitting on store shelves.

The first year of the Xbox 360, Microsoft tried to claim they had sold some 10.5 million 'sold' but in reality they had only sold some 8 million with 2.5 million or so units sitting on store shelves or sitting in warehouses. Microsoft so over-stuffed the retail channel that they didn't ship any new Xbox 360s for some six months after the holiday sales period.

Highly likely Microsoft will do the same.

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cainetao11

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#44 cainetao11
Member since 2006 • 38035 Posts

@reduc_ab_ said:

@cainetao11: The trembling in this thread is real.

@cainetao11 said:

Why didn't you do this for Pro? lol

right

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deactivated-6092a2d005fba

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#45 deactivated-6092a2d005fba
Member since 2015 • 22663 Posts

@cainetao11 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:

@cainetao11: The trembling in this thread is real.

@cainetao11 said:

Why didn't you do this for Pro? lol

right

Tells lems to man up an make a prediction, yet won't women up and make PSVR hype threads. She's one "special" little cow princess lol.

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lamprey263

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#46 lamprey263
Member since 2006 • 44557 Posts

I think the XB1X is going to hurt Xbox sales in months leading up to its release, much in the same way we saw a dip in PS4 sales up after the Pro unveiling up until its release when things were back on track. Even though it's just a fraction of people getting the beefier of the two PS4 options, I guess people just wanted to wait and see before deciding which one to buy. I think in Microsoft's case it's going to be no different.

That being said, I'm excited to get one. Though I wish the price would've been $400, I'll still splurge $500 on it. Hopefully that price is a barrier that guarantees I'll get one. Hopefully this isn't one of those items scalpers try gobblign up all the inventory on early, I won't buy scalped prices.

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deactivated-5eb6f92daae05

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#47 deactivated-5eb6f92daae05
Member since 2015 • 916 Posts

I'll shoot for a million...lol. I mean you have the holidays coming up so that'll boost sales. Black Friday will help push the sales of 4K TV which is a plus for Xbox One X & Pro consoles. Price is $500 but it's a premium product, similar to the Xbox One Elite controllers and those sold pretty well and had a phase of being sold out when first released. I expect the same from the Xbox One X. Plus count the ones who might plan on trading/selling the Xbox One or Xbox One S to upgrade for the Xbox One X...

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#48 DrRollinstein
Member since 2016 • 1163 Posts

@gfxpipeline said:

Last I checked, 4k TVs were at only a 15 percent market penetration.

Combined with the fact that it is 500 dollar mid-gen hardware upgrade that will primarily be playing upscaled current gen games until the PS5 drops.

And with Microsoft downplaying its sales before it has even hit store shelves.

500-700k sounds about right with a huge amount of stock sitting on store shelves or in warehouses that Microsoft will claim is 'sold.'

If the X1X wasn't the child of the marketplace failure of the Xbox One and third parties were going to actually target it and not just upscale their current gen games it would probably do a bit better.

Someone remind me how the Xbox One is a failure again. 30+million units is pretty damn good.

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Pedro

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#49  Edited By Pedro  Online
Member since 2002 • 69451 Posts

MS doesn't release numbers making this thread is more useless than the PSVR.

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#50 deactivated-5c0b07b32bf03
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@hrt_rulz01 said:
@reduc_ab_ said:
@hrt_rulz01 said:
@xxyetixx said:

@reduc_ab_: all they are really trying to point out is the obvious troll attempt by a cow to make a thread about a system they don't care about. By stating the obvious, no lems, made a thread about the PS4 Pro sales expectations(because they don't care about it) and no cows did either(because they don't care about it)

? Cows continually caring about MS and the X1X, what's with the weird fascination and insecurities?

Exactly. Very well said.

Says one lem to another. You guys are hilarious.

Anyway, I've said many times that the PS4 Pro is pointless. The only way I'd buy it is if my OG PS4 broke, and the thing went on sale. Otherwise I think it was a mistake by Sony. Somehow, every time I say this it gets ignored. Gee, I wonder why.

Well like he said in his post, we never saw/see threads from cows (or lems) about PS4 Pro... but we see an XB1 X thread from you guys every 2nd day (and not just after this E3, ever since last E3 ffs). I wonder why...

Well, see what you want in "cows" threads. I'm me. Something else, sweetie.