First off, I know the 360 has sold better than the Dreamcast.
But lets look at things as they stand. The 360 clearly is not as future-proof as the PS3. It will not last as many years. Is it a good sytem? Absolutely! The Dreamcast was a great system too and one of the first to show me the real potential of home 3D graphics, the first time I saw Crazy Taxi running at a smooth 60fps I knew 3D graphics had finally reached acceptable standards.
The 360 (just like the DC) is attempting to revolutionize the way we play console games multiplayer. The DC had its built-in modem and grandios online service plans. The 360 actually realizes these plans, but leave much room for improvement just as the DC did.
The 360 has many excellent exclusive games, but because the previous Xbox was not as popular the selection is limited. Just like the DC... HOWEVER what is there is excellent, but maybe just not enough to rival the Playstation and its horde of talented programmers making exclusive titles, just like the PS2.
True, the 360 is doing better than the Dreamcast ever did but the fact remains, it probably has a 2-3 year lifespan at best, once the PS3 steamroller passes through it will fade away but never be completely forgotten. I respect the 360 for what it has brought to the gaming industry but lets face it, the real deal is the Playstation 3. It has the games, the support, the hardware and the userbase to succeed. We'll speak fondly of the 360 years from now, as an excellent platform with some excellent titles, but the true legend of next-gen belongs to the PS3, like it or not.
WheresMyChippy
First off, the 360 is not as "future proof" as PS3?? That is only Sony propaganda. Why are they, because of Blu ray?? Blu ray that has nothing to do with gaming but only Sony hoping to fill their pockets with royalties from all the Movie Studios.? With PS2 it was different. DVD was the new sure thing, PS2 was the cheapest way to get it. PS3 did it so early that by the time Blu Ray is the next big thing, players will be so cheap it will no longer be considered a selling point.
If Ps2 came out right now with DVD plyback, who wold care when you can buy a standalone for $30???
The PS2 had many exclusive games because of it's userbase. The PS3 is not selling well which is why franchises like Devil May Cry "jump ship" , not to mention all the "exclusives" that turned out not to be (Assassins Creed, Unreal Tournament 3, Mercenaries 2, etc). You claim 360 has few exclusive titles due to last gen yet fail to recognise one of them is Halo (only outsold by GTA last gen) or that MS has strived to increase it's exclusive library by signing on companies like Mistwalker to make Blue Dragon and Lost Oddyssey. They have made contracts with companies like Epic for Gears of War. Their exclusives are FAR stronger this gen than last. Sony does have a horde of talent yet it is funny most people don't bring up Jak and Daxter, Socom, Rachett and Clank, Ape Escape or the Getaway when speaking of Sony systems, Sony systems were sold because of 3rd party support (FF, MGS, Devil May Cry among many many others). Sony has been doing nothing but lose 3rd party exclusives lately.
For your final point, PS3 has "the games, support, hardware and userbase to succeed". Does it?? It has the games? 6 month old 360 games?? A big number of games now going to both systems? What games are there to pull a 360 owner over?
Userbase is subject, the casual base goes to the cheapest system which has the most games. That is Wii or 360 right now.
It is just a completely different scenario this time. While people completely ignored DC in wait of the PS2, they didn't do this with 360. More often than not I heard people say they would get a 360 and trade it in later for a PS3. Then the price came out, then the system came out with a bunch of dud games, now it's getting a ton of games that have been on 360 for 6 or more months, not to mention all the bad press. People who "used" to be Sony fans are now happy owners of a 360.
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