The statistically most accurate poll that predicted a close election between Trump and Clinton (IBD/TIPP) has dems. leading by 9 points.
See: https://www.investors.com/politics/midterm-elections-democrats-generic-ballot-trump-approval-bid-tipp/
Same poll predicted Clinton winning by only 1 point in the popular vote.
Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
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