The most accurate poll has dems. leading by 9 points.

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frogo0

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#1  Edited By frogo0
Member since 2016 • 91 Posts

The statistically most accurate poll that predicted a close election between Trump and Clinton (IBD/TIPP) has dems. leading by 9 points.

See: https://www.investors.com/politics/midterm-elections-democrats-generic-ballot-trump-approval-bid-tipp/

Same poll predicted Clinton winning by only 1 point in the popular vote.

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

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frogo0

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#2  Edited By frogo0
Member since 2016 • 91 Posts

Here is a link to the other polls:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/

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dark_drag765

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#3 dark_drag765
Member since 2005 • 1045 Posts

Michael Moore said not to trust the polls and to get out and vote. They are counting on us staying home

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N64DD

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#4 N64DD
Member since 2015 • 13167 Posts

Oh look a new alt!

In all seriousness though, i hope democrats do win the senate. Balance things out a little.

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TryIt

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#5 TryIt
Member since 2017 • 13157 Posts

as predicted:

https://kfoxtv.com/news/election/texas-and-new-mexico-both-see-record-numbers-in-early-voting

the polls almost always use 'likely voters' which is exactly why Trump won despite the polls.

I voted friday for the first time in about.....25 years

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bigfootpart2

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#6  Edited By bigfootpart2
Member since 2013 • 1131 Posts
@tryit said:

as predicted:

https://kfoxtv.com/news/election/texas-and-new-mexico-both-see-record-numbers-in-early-voting

the polls almost always use 'likely voters' which is exactly why Trump won despite the polls.

I voted friday for the first time in about.....25 years

It's also why Bernie Sanders probably would have won. The younger voters he was going after aren't represented by these polls.

Polls in general seem to be wildly off in recent years. The polls showed the 2012 election being close, but it was a landslide for Obama.

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musicalmac

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#7 musicalmac  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 25098 Posts

How doe these polls stack up against the ones we saw in 2016? How many of us have taken the time to dig into the sample size and demographic information of those surveyed?

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HoolaHoopMan

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#8 HoolaHoopMan
Member since 2009 • 14724 Posts

People just need to get out and vote. Be less concerned about polls, be more concerned that you have the right to be heard with your vote.

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Lach0121

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#9  Edited By Lach0121
Member since 2007 • 11783 Posts

My GF, and I, are voting as soon as we get off work tomorrow.

The more people who get out, and vote... The better chance we have to somewhat get back to sanity.

Don't let their attempts at voter suppression, or your apathy, keep this madness going.