Poll California special election TOMORROW - Democrats in panic mode! (24 votes)
Okay, so first off. Special elections aren't usually a big deal but this one has been getting a lot of attention, because California hasn't had a congressional seat flip in 20 years. However, due to the recent resignation of Katie Hill due to having sexual indiscretions with congressional staffers - it's the whole scandal backlash we've seen before and it tends to flip seats... and this is exactly what's happening. Garcia is leading in the polls as much as 7 points, which is sending democrats into full blow panic mode. Now, if the seat flips, for me it has nothing to do with the pandemic nor a red uprising in California but again the scandal backlash that flips seats. Also, do note, Mike Garcia is a fantastic candidate. Businessman and former navy pilot.
I'd like to have an actual good discussion here.
Anyhow, my prediction. It's going to be very close, but ultimately Smith wins due to the demographics. Note this is the most conservative district in California with an older population, but it went for 6 points to Clinton in 2016, but Romney won it in 2012. That's why I think that it might just be getting bluer, but I wouldn't be surprised if Republicans win and if they do, holy damn will it be a victory lap.
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