US Population to hit one billion by 2100

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gamerguru100

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#1 gamerguru100
Member since 2009 • 12718 Posts

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It's hard to believe because our population is about 315 million now. 2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years. Too far fetched for me to believe this "expert".

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cslayer211

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#2 cslayer211
Member since 2012 • 797 Posts

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

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Ace6301

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#4 Ace6301
Member since 2005 • 21389 Posts
I don't see how that's farfetched at all. China's population was 400,000,000 or so in 1900. By 1980 they had 1 billion. The US has far better healthcare than China had during that time, probably won't be invaded multiple times or deal with mass killings by dictatorial lunatics and has a very high rate of immigration.
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mrbojangles25

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#5 mrbojangles25
Member since 2005 • 58272 Posts

that is pretty crazy, if accurate.

Still, given the amount of open space we have here, I think one billion is still pretty reasonable. If they can turn a desert where LA currently stands into a major population center, I think we can turn a lot of undesirable land in the US into liveable areas.

I just hope California builds a great wall around it, though, we don't need more people coming, building over our sweet, sweet farm land.

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Fightingfan

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#6 Fightingfan
Member since 2010 • 38011 Posts

I guess kids are cheaper than condoms.

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GD-1369211121

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#7 GD-1369211121
Member since 2006 • 4087 Posts

And how many people on Mars?

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mrbojangles25

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#8 mrbojangles25
Member since 2005 • 58272 Posts

I guess kids are cheaper than condoms.

Fightingfan

I blame the economy. Also, sex is free-ish, and entertaining.

"Oooooooooh the new game i wanted!"
*looks at price*
"Hmmmmm"
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"Awww thanks, sweeties"
*proceeds to sex*

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TrainerCeleste

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#9 TrainerCeleste
Member since 2012 • 1633 Posts
I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.
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Rich3232

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#10 Rich3232
Member since 2012 • 2628 Posts
good thing i'll be dead by then.
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mrbojangles25

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#11 mrbojangles25
Member since 2005 • 58272 Posts

I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.TrainerCeleste

that, and living longer. Hell, I guarentee you my grandparents did not think they'd make it to 80 years old, let alone 93. My parents are doing fine too, it seems, and *knock on wood* they will live a long time as well.

I am pretty convinced that, if you are active and relatively healthy, with health insurance, the current generation of 30-something and under are going to be living well past 100 years old fairly regularly.

Seems like nowadays if you get to 60 years old cancer free, youre good for another 30.

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TrainerCeleste

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#12 TrainerCeleste
Member since 2012 • 1633 Posts

[QUOTE="TrainerCeleste"]I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.mrbojangles25

that, and living longer. Hell, I guarentee you my grandparents did not think they'd make it to 80 years old, let alone 93. My parents are doing fine too, it seems, and *knock on wood* they will live a long time as well.

I am pretty convinced that, if you are active and relatively healthy, with health insurance, the current generation of 30-something and under are going to be living well past 100 years old fairly regularly.

Seems like nowadays if you get to 60 years old cancer free, youre good for another 30.

It depends on the person really. I've seen some 80 year olds who are up and about ^^ But then I've also seen some 60 year olds in school who are bed bound. If you don't use it you lose it o3o
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Allicrombie

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#13 Allicrombie
Member since 2005 • 26223 Posts
I'm guessing most of em are gonna be in Los Angeles.
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comp_atkins

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#14 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38674 Posts

so many mooching immigrants!!!

grampa05.gif

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Omni-Slash

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#15 Omni-Slash
Member since 2003 • 54450 Posts
I'm not taking responsibility for this...I demand a paternity test!...
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stanleycup98

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#16 stanleycup98
Member since 2006 • 6144 Posts
I don't see how that is far-fetched at all. Even seems a little conservative for 90 years.
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jaqulle999

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#17 jaqulle999
Member since 2009 • 2897 Posts

I thought the birth rate was supposed to drop. I don't think the population will be that high, but it's definitly going to go up over the next one hundred years.

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Boston_Boyy

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#18 Boston_Boyy
Member since 2008 • 4103 Posts

Yeah we'll see, a lot can change in 88 years. War, disease, massive natural disasters, among other things are all possibilities that we could face between now and 2100. Besides, even if we are able to avoid anything catastrophic, it should be noted that population growth has already sloweda trend that if continued, could throw off estimates by hundreds of millions.

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klusps

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#19 klusps
Member since 2005 • 10386 Posts

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

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themajormayor

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#20 themajormayor
Member since 2011 • 25729 Posts

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
LOL
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Shadowchronicle

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#21 Shadowchronicle
Member since 2008 • 26969 Posts

Yeah we'll see, a lot can change in 88 years. War, disease, massive natural disasters, among other things are all possibilities that we could face between now and 2100. Besides, even if we are able to avoid anything catastrophic, it should be noted that population growth has already sloweda trend that if continued, could throw off estimates by hundreds of millions.

Boston_Boyy
Agree with this guy. I have no doubt something will hit us hard plus the population growth is slowed like said.
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caseypayne69

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#22 caseypayne69
Member since 2002 • 5395 Posts
My wife and I only had one daughter so we are fighting the cause against it I suppose.
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gamerguru100

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#23 gamerguru100
Member since 2009 • 12718 Posts

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

klusps
China's population will probably stabilize and then start declining by the 2030s. India is expected to surpass China in population around that time, so it's India you wanna be looking at.
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Goobberzz

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#24 Goobberzz
Member since 2008 • 592 Posts
We better start adding more states...
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bobcheeseball

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#25 bobcheeseball
Member since 2007 • 9316 Posts
Considering the world is ending in 9 days its no big deal.
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deactivated-58b6232955e4a

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#26 deactivated-58b6232955e4a
Member since 2006 • 15594 Posts

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arcology
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JohnF111

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#27 JohnF111
Member since 2010 • 14190 Posts

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
It won't come to that, China will make some craters before 2100.
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Barbariser

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#28 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

I've read no statistics that agree with this "expert". Most suggest that by 2050 the U.S. population will still be about 450 million at the most generous estimate, and considering the nature of long-term population growth rate there is no reason to think that its population will more than double in the last 50 years of this century.

ItWookieepedia: It was a Caamasi paternal clan.

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gamerguru100

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#29 gamerguru100
Member since 2009 • 12718 Posts

I've read no statistics that agree with this "expert". Most suggest that by 2050 the U.S. population will still be about 450 million at the most generous estimate, and considering the nature of long-term population growth rate there is no reason to think that its population will more than double in the last 50 years of this century.

ItWookieepedia: It was a Caamasi paternal clan.

Barbariser
Agreed. I just don't see 'Murrica adding 600 million people after 2050. Even with all the Hispanic immigration levels and birth rates and Asian immigration levels, I don't see it happening this century. Only time will tell.
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Blue-Sky

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#30 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

If humans are around by then.meconate

Are you a Christian?

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MannyDelgado

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#31 MannyDelgado
Member since 2011 • 1187 Posts
2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years.gamerguru100
Wonderful, in-depth analysis; bravo
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DroidPhysX

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#32 DroidPhysX
Member since 2010 • 17098 Posts
time to give out free abortions
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deactivated-598fc45371265

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#33 deactivated-598fc45371265
Member since 2008 • 13247 Posts

The US is one of only a handful of developed countries to actually have a birth rate above replacement. That and vast amounts of legal and illegal immigration can certainly make a population surge. Although 1 billion is looking unlikely at this point.

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

klusps

Unless current trends do not continue it will be smaller but more urban. Right now China is one of many countries that have a birth rate far below replacement. (Thanks Deng!) Japan and Russia are already in net decline and unless they change something they'll both shrink to around 50 million each by next century. And China is supposed to drop below 1 billion I think.

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YoshiYogurt

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#34 YoshiYogurt
Member since 2010 • 6008 Posts
Population needs to go down, but I don't want it to be regulated. More People is bad. We can't even keep the 300 million we have fed. Less than 1 billion worldwide would be ideal, but no, people kept popping babies out.
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Barbariser

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#35 Barbariser
Member since 2009 • 6785 Posts

Population needs to go down, but I don't want it to be regulated. More People is bad. We can't even keep the 300 million we have fed. Less than 1 billion worldwide would be ideal, but no, people kept popping babies out.YoshiYogurt

The U.S. is a net food exporter despite having a population that consumes several times more than it needs to actually subsist.

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theone86

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#36 theone86
Member since 2003 • 22669 Posts

That contradicts most of the data I've seen. What I've seen says that population growth is leveling off, although there is a spike in the most recent generation (gen Y I believe, because gen X came after the boomers, no?) Anyways, my guess is that they're taking short-term trends and extrapolating them without considering long-term trends and fluctuation. I still think population growth is an issue we need to be cognizent of, but this sounds alarmist to me.

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theone86

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#37 theone86
Member since 2003 • 22669 Posts

The US is one of only a handful of developed countries to actually have a birth rate above replacement. That and vast amounts of legal and illegal immigration can certainly make a population surge. Although 1 billion is looking unlikely at this point.

[QUOTE="klusps"]

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

Storm_Marine

Unless current trends do not continue it will be smaller but more urban. Right now China is one of many countries that have a birth rate far below replacement. (Thanks Deng!) Japan and Russia are already in net decline and unless they change something they'll both shrink to around 50 million each by next century. And China is supposed to drop below 1 billion I think.

China's population is predicted to level off within the next fifty years. Between growing access to contraception, female education, and industrialization leading to changing attitudes about family size, the growth rate is declining. They still have an insane amount of people and population density problems, but at least it's going to get better in the forseeable future.

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coolbeans90

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#38 coolbeans90
Member since 2009 • 21305 Posts

GUYS GUISE GAYS

MATH IS NOT HARD

AND THIS REALLY DOES NOT COMPUTE

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theone86

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#39 theone86
Member since 2003 • 22669 Posts

time to give out free abortionsDroidPhysX

My basement stairs are quite steep.

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VanDammFan

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#40 VanDammFan
Member since 2009 • 4783 Posts

If humans are around by then.meconate

exactly...we wont be around..not even a chance..

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gamerguru100

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#41 gamerguru100
Member since 2009 • 12718 Posts
[QUOTE="gamerguru100"]2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years.MannyDelgado
Wonderful, in-depth analysis; bravo

Stop wasting your time.
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Serraph105

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#42 Serraph105
Member since 2007 • 36039 Posts

meh, the rapture will come before this anyways.

also insert some comment about the rise of bs here please.

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Jacobistheman

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#43 Jacobistheman
Member since 2007 • 3975 Posts

Why do people assume that population is exponetial? It is Logistic...

EDIT:
The fertility rate in the US is right at 2. This means for every 2 parents there will be 2 kids, meaning the total population will only grow because of immigration and increasing life expectancy, which is not enough to get even close to 1 billionin the next 100 years.

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KHAndAnime

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#44 KHAndAnime
Member since 2009 • 17565 Posts
It won't happen, unless there's mass immigration to America - the world's population isn't going to triple.
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theone86

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#45 theone86
Member since 2003 • 22669 Posts

Why do people assume that population is exponetial? It is Logistic...

EDIT:
The fertility rate in the US is right at 2. This means for every 2 parents there will be 2 kids, meaning the total population will only grow because of immigration and increasing life expectancy, which is not enough to get even close to 1 billionin the next 100 years.

Jacobistheman

I agree with you? Maybe the world is really ending next week.

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deactivated-57d773aa56272

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#46 deactivated-57d773aa56272
Member since 2006 • 2292 Posts

Thank God I won't be here for that crowded scene.

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o0squishy0o

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#47 o0squishy0o
Member since 2007 • 2802 Posts

There must come to a point where a country peaks in its inhabitants. I mean India and china are above the billion mark now. Surely it will come to a point where we will run out of farming area.

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pspdseagle

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#48 pspdseagle
Member since 2007 • 3307 Posts
I really hope not. As if 300million American wasn't bad enough.
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Tuco_Salamanca

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#49 Tuco_Salamanca
Member since 2012 • 25 Posts
I'll be pushing up daisies by then so it's not really an issue for me.
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themajormayor

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#50 themajormayor
Member since 2011 • 25729 Posts

[QUOTE="meconate"]If humans are around by then.VanDammFan

exactly...we wont be around..not even a chance..

hope you're trolling