Donald J Trump now leading in polls

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deactivated-598fc45371265

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#1  Edited By deactivated-598fc45371265
Member since 2008 • 13247 Posts

Soon to be President Trump

Deal with it.

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#2  Edited By Master_Live
Member since 2004 • 20510 Posts

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#3 Serraph105
Member since 2007 • 36039 Posts

I tend to go by poll averages of multiple outlets as opposed to just the one. RCP has factored in the Rasmussen poll, and does show a dip in Hillary's approval numbers because of it, but still shows that on average she's ahead. That being said I will wait and see what polls have to say in the coming days before deciding if anything has really changed. Good to know though.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#4 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

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#5 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38677 Posts

is he though?

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#6  Edited By GreySeal9
Member since 2010 • 28247 Posts

Wouldn't "Donald Trump leading in poll" be a more accurate thread title?

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#7 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

@GreySeal9: Rasmussen is also notorious for being heavily Republican-leaning. Using ONE poll instead of an aggregate is questionable but lol at that one poll being Rasmussen. IIRC in 2012 they were the only one at the end that had Mittens beating Obama.

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#8  Edited By GreySeal9
Member since 2010 • 28247 Posts

@Aljosa23 said:

@GreySeal9: Rasmussen is also notorious for being heavily Republican-leaning. Using ONE poll instead of an aggregate is questionable but lol at that one poll being Rasmussen. IIRC in 2012 they were the only one at the end that had Mittens beating Obama.

I wonder why Rasmussen doesn't reweight his polls/change his methodology so they're more accurate. It seems bad for business if your polls have such an obvious Republican lean and therefore don't have a good track record.

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#9 MrFreehuggs
Member since 2010 • 1260 Posts

Rasmussen always leans Republican and their polls aren't taken seriously by most news outlets. Mostly because Scott Rasmussen has ties to the Republican party and the methods they use for polling are basically shortcuts. SurveryUSA is the most consistent poll when comes to accuracy and non-bias.

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#10  Edited By Renevent42
Member since 2010 • 6654 Posts

@GreySeal9 said:
@Aljosa23 said:

@GreySeal9: Rasmussen is also notorious for being heavily Republican-leaning. Using ONE poll instead of an aggregate is questionable but lol at that one poll being Rasmussen. IIRC in 2012 they were the only one at the end that had Mittens beating Obama.

I wonder why Rasmussen doesn't reweight his polls/change his methodology so they're more accurate. It seems bad for business if your polls have such an obvious Republican lean and therefore don't have a good track record.

Depends on where the income for his business comes from.

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#11 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

@Renevent42 said:
@GreySeal9 said:
@Aljosa23 said:

@GreySeal9: Rasmussen is also notorious for being heavily Republican-leaning. Using ONE poll instead of an aggregate is questionable but lol at that one poll being Rasmussen. IIRC in 2012 they were the only one at the end that had Mittens beating Obama.

I wonder why Rasmussen doesn't reweight his polls/change his methodology so they're more accurate. It seems bad for business if your polls have such an obvious Republican lean and therefore don't have a good track record.

Depends on where the income for his business comes from.

Yeah, exactly. And considering public polling in the US is essentially an unregulated industry, Rasmussen can do what he wants provided the pros outweigh the cons in his mind.

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#12 dave123321
Member since 2003 • 35553 Posts

Nope

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#13 mark1974
Member since 2015 • 4261 Posts

Even Trump doesn't believe that.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/trump-polls-performance-224982

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#14  Edited By DaVillain  Moderator
Member since 2014 • 56087 Posts

@Storm_Marine said:

Soon to be President Trump

Deal with it.

@Master_Live said:

All according to plains!

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#15 N64DD
Member since 2015 • 13167 Posts

Trump Train!

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#16 Master_Live
Member since 2004 • 20510 Posts

@n64dd said:

Trump Train!

Woop, woop!

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#17  Edited By Jag85
Member since 2005 • 19543 Posts

In other words, you managed to find the only poll that has Trump ahead, despite all the dozen other polls having Clinton ahead... Trumpets are getting desperate.

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#18  Edited By bforrester420
Member since 2014 • 3480 Posts

LMAO....he won't win the minority or the female vote in the General, so keep telling yourself he'll be the next President. I'm predicting Clinton by at least 6 points. Laughing even harder at you pointing out the one poll among nearly a dozen that has Trump ahead.

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#19 Mordant221
Member since 2013 • 372 Posts

After Brexit, Donald Trump becoming the next Commander and Chief of the most powerful military in the world is a complete possibility... may God have mercy on us

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#20 N64DD
Member since 2015 • 13167 Posts

Hitlery won't win shit. Trumps got this on lockdown.

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#21 speedfog
Member since 2009 • 4966 Posts

We need him.

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#22 SolidSnake35
Member since 2005 • 58971 Posts

Democracy gives morons an equal say; Idiots rule this world.

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#23 mark1974
Member since 2015 • 4261 Posts

@speedfog said:

We need him.

Like we need a hole in our heads.

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#24 KHAndAnime
Member since 2009 • 17565 Posts

@SolidSnake35 said:

Democracy gives morons an equal say; Idiots rule this world.

Yes, because everyone who doesn't agree with you is an idiot.

I don't think I've actually met many outspoken people on the left IRL who think otherwise. It's literally as if they're all competing to be the most pretentious person in the room.

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#25 doubutsuteki
Member since 2004 • 3425 Posts

A clown as president? Why not? He wouldn't be the first.

Over here even people who lean far to the right (excluding neo-nazis/fascists) prefer Bernie Sanders due to the fact that they know what they're getting, while Donald Trump is about as predictable as an infant.

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#26 Stevo_the_gamer  Moderator
Member since 2004 • 49568 Posts

America's fascination (obsession) with polls and politics is concerning.

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deactivated-5cf0a2e13dbde

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#27 deactivated-5cf0a2e13dbde
Member since 2005 • 12935 Posts

Let us ask President Romney about Rasmussen polls. Oh wait..........

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#28 KHAndAnime
Member since 2009 • 17565 Posts

@Stevo_the_gamer said:

America's fascination (obsession) with polls and politics is concerning.

And to think we still have months of this to go...haha

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#29 Gaming-Planet
Member since 2008 • 21064 Posts
Loading Video...

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#30 indzman
Member since 2006 • 27736 Posts

@n64dd said:

Trump Train!

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#31 Gaming-Planet
Member since 2008 • 21064 Posts
@davillain- said:
@Storm_Marine said:

Soon to be President Trump

Deal with it.

@Master_Live said:

All according to plains!

Loading Video...

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#32 SolidSnake35
Member since 2005 • 58971 Posts

@KHAndAnime said:
@SolidSnake35 said:

Democracy gives morons an equal say; Idiots rule this world.

Yes, because everyone who doesn't agree with you is an idiot.

I don't think I've actually met many outspoken people on the left IRL who think otherwise. It's literally as if they're all competing to be the most pretentious person in the room.

No. But there are many idiots in this world, yes? People who are a few sandwiches short of a picnic. I would say even the majority of people are. And democracy gives them an equal say. If they unite, well... then idiots do rule...

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#33 KHAndAnime
Member since 2009 • 17565 Posts

@SolidSnake35 said:

No. But there are many idiots in this world, yes? People who are a few sandwiches short of a picnic. I would say even the majority of people are. And democracy gives them an equal say. If they unite, well... then idiots do rule...

On a basic level - I agree that the majority of people participating in democracy are likely not fully educated on both sides of every issue they vote for. Where as to where those people lay is anyone's guess - they aren't all going to be saying the same thing.

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#34 speedfreak48t5p
Member since 2009 • 14416 Posts

Make America great again!

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#35 themajormayor
Member since 2011 • 25729 Posts

Cool

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#36 the_master_race
Member since 2015 • 5226 Posts

Pff , guy don't know shyt about foreign policy, I dunno how he want to handle middle east and those radical islamists ... though he still could be far better than clinton

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#37  Edited By Jag85
Member since 2005 • 19543 Posts

@the_master_race said:

Pff , guy don't know shyt about foreign policy, I dunno how he want to handle middle east and those radical islamists ... though he still could be far better than clinton

Clinton may be a warmonger, but Trump's foreign policy could potentially be far more catastrophic. I wouldn't be surprised if he would consider launching nukes and triggering a World War. Trump is a mad man.