When Will COD's Success Diminish Like That of Tony Hawk's/GH's?

When I ask this question, I mean, when will it really start to lose popularity because of seeing too many sequels in a very short period of time? We've seen what this could do to even some of the best franchises around. Tony Hawk is already at a point where it's probably never going to regain the same level of success that it had during its early days. The same goes for rhythm games like Guitar Hero or Rock Band.

I hope that seeing the success of COD decline in the next few years (maybe in less than a decade from now) will give many other developers, especially ones that weren't very successful in the past, the ability to earn good money, while maintaining high quality products.

It's not really the amount of sequels that determines a decline, it's the quality of the games. Mind you, COD is primarily a multiplayer based shooter with a short but mindlessly fun campaign - that's a formula that has proven to work and is continuing to work, with no real sign of slowing down any time soon.

I can't speak for GH since I never really play it, but Tony Hawk's games really did hit a brick wall in terms of quality, and the peripherals they tried to incorporate didn't work very well. Also, I believe since the release of Skate, it kinda put the finishing blow on the dying TH series.

Edit: Also just putting it out there, COD appeals to a much more broad audience than TH does, for not that many people play skating games in comparison to shooters. It's the same case with EA, they release yearly installments of each sports game they make, yet they're still successful because they cater to die-hard sports fans.

I agree with you, MadVybz, but doesn't originality also have something to do with making a game succeed? Or at least how well the game stands out from its competitors? If a game developer and its publisher can't work something out to make a game appear different from most of the games in its genre, then how can one expect it to survive for a very long time? Even if the three developers currently working on each COD installment provide a different setting for each game, with some tweaks and improvements to the multiplayer, I don't see how it'll be enough for Activision to keep this up for another decade. By then, especially once the next gen consoles hit, things should change drastically. After all, there's no telling what the competition will throw at Activision.

For the time being, I do see COD doing pretty well, but sometime into the next console gen, I feel like things are going to get a lot tougher for Activision to remain the same. You also have to take into account the fact that the Madden franchise hasn't seen much competition, so it's clearly a monopoly in the football video game market. Also, NFL is extremely popular, so that helps complement this gaming franchise. As for COD, it only has the multiplayer going for its success, nothing more. Comparing Madden to COD is not that fair or accurate, in my opinion.

Yes, it's possible that Tony Hawk lost its success because another game developer came around with the right concept for a skateboarding game, and Neversoft couldn't think of anything new or clever, so this ended up costing Activision big time.

Is there really a purpose to these kinds of threads? I mean how is anyone suppose to answer this. Pull a date from a hat?Archangel3371

Just give a rough estimate, based on the success of COD, from its beginning-present.

[QUOTE="Archangel3371"]Is there really a purpose to these kinds of threads? I mean how is anyone suppose to answer this. Pull a date from a hat?Mawy_Golomb

Just give a rough estimate, based on the success of COD, from its beginning-present.

The only real answer anyone can give you is when either COD games start to lose their flare or when people grow out of shooting things mindless and move on to something else.

I mean, COD is pretty much in the same boat as a sports game now, if you ask me. It's a corporate giant that's released every year to deliver more or less the same experience but with a few tweaks here and there, to keep the tigger-happy shooter fans content.

[QUOTE="Mawy_Golomb"]

[QUOTE="Archangel3371"]Is there really a purpose to these kinds of threads? I mean how is anyone suppose to answer this. Pull a date from a hat?Archangel3371

Just give a rough estimate, based on the success of COD, from its beginning-present.

Yea but that could be because they haven't been milked to death. For example, COD has only been around since 2003 and has already had more console entries (9, not counting the original on PC) than there have been Zelda console entries (7) in 24 years.

COD: 9 console games in 8 years

Zelda: 7 console games in 24 years

And some people say Nintendo milks their franchises.