Feature Article

Xbox Series X Price: We Predict The Final Price

We've put together our predictions on how much we think Xbox Series X will cost when it launches this holiday.

For years, Microsoft has been setting the foundation for its next-gen console, Xbox Series X. After having to recover from the blunder of the Xbox One's launch, the company has spent the latter years of this past console generation catering more to the consumer by advocating cross-platform play and backwards compatibility and expanding its service model with things like Xbox Game Pass and the still-in-development Project xCloud. It's setting the stage for a very interesting next generation if it can get the software support it needs from developers, including its own studios and third-party companies. [Update: In early September, Microsoft finally announced the Xbox Series X price as $499. It also revealed the $299 Xbox Series S. Both Xbox systems go up for pre-order on September 22 before releasing November 10.]

Still, as we learn more about Xbox Series X's architecture, its games, and what Microsoft has in mind for the future it wishes to cultivate with the console, we still don't know how much it'll cost. Until Xbox Series X launches this holiday, our imaginations will likely continue to run wild, wondering about potential price points--at least until Microsoft finally confirms it during one its Xbox 20/20 streams.

Below you can find a handful of predictions from the team, addressing our thoughts on the subject and how much we'd personally pay for Microsoft's next console, but do let us know your predictions in the comments. We also have predictions for PS5's price. Based on what we have heard from Sony on the matter, the systems could be more expensive than we were expecting. Of course, this also means Xbox Series X could be priced far below the PS5 and get an advantage out of the gate, especially if their technical capabilities are as close as it appears.

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As a console, there's a lot to know about the Xbox Series X, so if you want more details on its design and confirmed games, be sure to read our feature covering everything we know so far. You can also check out our in-depth feature highlighting the key differences between PS5 and Xbox Series X.

$500 - Michael Higham, Associate Editor

As I said in our roundup of what we'd pay for a PS5, I come from a PC gaming background, so my perception of acceptable pricing for hardware is slightly skewed toward the more expensive. I also profess to feeling conflicted because I am not a baller (see how I got my bank account set up…)

When thinking about the new generation of consoles, I'm consistently impressed with what's being promised and shown in terms of their functional capabilities. Like the PS5, Xbox Series X incorporates NVMe solid-state drive technology for super-fast load times, and in the PC space, NVMe SSDs aren't cheap. While we haven't seen concrete demonstrations from Xbox Series X quite yet, I'd expect similar performance.

The all-new AMD RDNA 2 graphics tech will be capable of 4K resolutions, as expected. But when coupled with the prospect of higher frame rates and ray tracing--high-end features that PC's have already touted through the Nvidia RTX video cards--I'm still surprised that much can be packed into an affordable console.

Then there are all the quality-of-life and consumer-friendly things to consider like smart delivery, quick resume, the platform's robust backward compatibility, and the unrivaled value of Xbox Game Pass. For Xbox Series X specifically, I think that it'd be easier to stomach a $500 price tag.

The Price I Pay Is Based On What I'll Actually Play - Tony, Video Producer

I have a formula I use when deciding to purchase a new game console. I want the value of the games I play on it to equal or surpass the cost of the console itself. So if I pay, say, $600 for a console, I want to play at least 10 $60-priced games throughout owning that machine. That "breaks even" in my mind and makes me satisfied with my purchase.

Why do I have this formula, you ask? I own an Xbox One launch model, which I purchased for $500. Unfortunately, I can count the number of Xbox One games I have owned on a single hand. Ryse: Son of Rome, Rare Replay, Rise of the Tomb Raider, and Gears 5 are the only titles on my shelf--and that last one was a gift. So if you use my equation, the console was not a worthwhile investment. You don't even need the formula to see that.

Now let me be clear: I don't blame Microsoft for this. My friend group just happened to cluster around the PS4 and PC this past generation. But the dust gathering on my Xbox One in my closet means I need to weigh the potential cost of a Series X against the combined value of the games I'll actually play on it. And you know what? I'll probably get there pretty quickly through Xbox Game Pass. After all, a new console generation seems like a good time to jump on that bandwagon.

$500 - Chris Pereira, Engagement Editor

While I'd personally be willing to go higher--the FOMO around a new piece of hardware, mainly when we're talking about a new generation of consoles, is real--I can't imagine Microsoft asking for more than $500 for the Xbox Series X. That is essentially the ceiling that's been established in past generations, and I think the negative PR would be too much to deal with if Series X carries a $600 price tag.

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I do think that whatever price the Series X carries won't necessarily be the most expensive Xbox option on the market over the coming years. The rumored budget-priced Series X alternative could open a path for a more expensive, higher-end model than what even the Series X represents. With Microsoft seemingly rethinking the way it envisions generations of console hardware, I wouldn't be shocked by anything that comes out in the next 5-10 years--but out of the gate, diverging significantly from the norm for a new console would present too much of an uphill battle.

$500, But It'll Be An Extremely Tough Sell - Phil Hornshaw, Editor

If I had the chance to buy my Xbox One all over again, I wouldn't.

Though I've used the machine here and there for games I've enjoyed, like Sea of Thieves or Quantum Break, it mostly sits dormant. It's enjoyed new life lately because of Xbox Game Pass, but if I'm honest, I'm using that much more on PC than on console. I was a big Xbox fan through the last few hardware cycles, from the launch of Halo through the earliest days of Xbox Live and into the 360 era, but with the Xbox One, Microsoft all but lost me. Its hubris-born missteps at the launch of the Xbox One, coupled with an absolute deficiency of games I cared about that I couldn't readily get on PS4, have just been too hard to overcome. And all that is on my mind as I consider taking the plunge on a new system.

Realistically, I expect I'll have to shell out for a new system (as I mentioned when talking about PS5, I always have trouble justifying gaming expenses, and for me, $500 is a very big ask). But I still remember all those promises of games with integrated TV shows and whole seasons of Xbox-exclusive content, so I won't be easily convinced about anything Microsoft claims about the Series X until I see the games on it.

Games are already a significant expense for most people, and Microsoft is coming from behind in a big way, due mostly to its screw-ups the last time it launched hardware. Honestly, the company's best bet this fall would be to find lots of ways to make buying a new Series X a major value proposition, by coming in with a low price point, or perhaps a big bundle of free Xbox Game Pass subscription capabilities (backward compatibility is a big selling point for the console and is a step in the right direction). That would ease my mind as I open my wallet. Regardless, I'm expecting hardware costs will mean I'll have to pay about $500 for Microsoft's new machine, but I definitely won't be doing so until I'm sure owning a new Xbox will be worth it.

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H0RSE

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IF MS is smart, they should price the SX at $400 or lower to undercut Sony. MS can make up the loss in price through their subscriptions, like Game Pass. But even if they didn't make up the loss, they have enough capital to afford to take the hit and get the SX in as many homes as possible.

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texastitan123

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most places are say $200 for the digital edition and $400 for xsx.

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pillarrocks

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I say the Xbox Series X is priced between $400 and $500.

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hjroman

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I would gladly go for a cheaper model (I don't care about 4K) if it had an optical drive for my current library.

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hjroman

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"I always have trouble justifying gaming expenses, and for me, $500 is a very big ask". At last something related to me. Most of the people in this discussions say that, anyway, they will buy both consoles (XB and PS) as if money is not an issue. I waited to buy my XBox One S on a Black Friday sale for $190 and if it wasn't the case I would still be using my XBox 360 because I still have some pending games anyway.

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jvoelzow

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Edited By jvoelzow

"So if I pay, say, $600 for a console, I want to play at least 10 $60-priced games"

Say whaaaat?! That logic means those six games cost you $160 a piece! Duh. Hope you enjoy them.

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thedarklinglord

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I'm not typically critical of the articles on this site, but...come on. You wrote up an article to offer up the most obvious price point prediction? If you were going to be that lazy, this could've just been a tweet. "Xbox Series X: What we predict it will cost? $500. Because duh."

This would've been a much better read (and worth my damn time) if you'd bothered to throw out some truly wild predictions and then tried to justify them. Like, "I'm anticipating a $750 price tag. Now, yes, that's higher than even the grossly overpriced PS3 at launch, but when you consider the tech that's in the thing - a newly developed SSD technology specifically designed for the Series X couldn't have come cheap - and the performance Microsoft has been touting that this thing will be capable of, $750 is actually a pretty modest price - especially when you compare the cost of building an equivalent gaming PC. Whether the CPU is a redesigned 2700X or a reduced 3700X, you're looking at a middle price of $250. And to get a minimum of 60FPS at 4K, even with tweaked graphics settings, you're probably looking at a 5700 XT, if not a version of AMD's newer cards coming later this year. Either way, figure $400 for the GPU. We're already at $650 and we haven't even factored in the SSD, RAM, case and cooling. Really, $750 isn't as absurd a price as it may seem." Or, "I'm calling it: Microsoft wins the next console generation by slapping their big d*ck console on the table at an insanely cheap $299, just daring Sony to try and match them while inviting the rest of us to just gobble that sh*t up. How can they sell it for so cheap? Maybe they cut a sweetheart deal with AMD for the CPUs and GPUs? Maybe Microsoft is willing to take a loss on the hardware because they know that every console they sell guarantees them a Game Pass subscription and they'll make it up on the back end? Maybe Phil Spencer made an unholy alliance with Lucifer himself and every Series X is infused with the soul of a resident of Hell who'll howl in agony from torments unimaginable every second the system is powered on - even in standby mode! - in exchange for Satan picking up the tab on production costs? Who knows? At that price, who the hell even cares!"

But, yeah, $500. I think just about everyone has been making that prediction since before this thing even had a name, based on nothing more than 1) that's what the Xbox One and the X both cost at launch, and 2) it's hard to imagine the average consumer paying more than that for 'just' a gaming system (at least a PC lets you do other stuff, like watch porn, stalk your ex through Instagram, and look up recipes for your mom).

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Superlion7

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There's yet another stick to throw into the fire. MS is offering buyers a chance to pay off the new console in installment payments and not only all at once. That alone may entice buyers not having the big cash upfront to purchase the system.

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CALPWN7

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"So if I pay, say, $600 for a console, I want to play at least 10 $60-priced games throughout owning that machine. That "breaks even" in my mind and makes me satisfied with my purchase. Why do I have this formula, you ask?"

What dude, this is the dumbest shit I've heard in awhile.

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SABrockaby

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I think two consoles, one lower priced console and one at the top tier level price of 500.00.

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Nargg

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$400. Microsoft won't make that mistake twice.

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mursexxx

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I predict I'm going to be about $1000 less poor than many of my friends when these consoles are released.

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seefilms

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What the gravy is an Engagement Editor????

Look, I get that these guys probably mainly play on the pc... If not, I just totally don't get it. I mean, you guys are gamers, right? Or is it that you are journalists/filmmakers who play games (ie. when we knew we were going to be interviewing for this job we went to a gamer friend we knew and asked them all sorts of questions, did a lot of searching on the internet and still didn't know what the hell Twitch was until three weeks into the job.)

Because, I'm a gamer....but not even a really serious one. I have both consoles. I've played dozens of games on each of them. Enough games that it would total thousands of dollars.

A game system that came close either the PS5 or XBox X would cost hundreds of dollars more...and wouldn't be optimized. Yet you all seem to scoff at the idea of paying what is essentially the exact same price ($500) for a vastly superior system SEVEN YEARS LATER.

Incredible. Ridiculous. Did you guys just move out of your parents place and all these things called "bills" are getting you down or something?

And by the way, Tony, your 'formula'? Lame. So when you go looking to buy something, the only way you'll buy it is if you think you will spend AT LEAST as much money as you paid for it? Hilarity.

"Sorry, there's no way I can buy this Tesla." -- Tony

"Why is that?" -- Tesla Dealer

"Because I'd have to own it like...60 years before I spent $47000 on it."

"I'm sorry...what?!" -- Tesla Dealer

"Sorry man, it's a deal breaker. Looks like I'll be buying a BMW or Mercedes."

Ugh.

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CALPWN7

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@seefilms said:

And by the way, Tony, your 'formula'? Lame. So when you go looking to buy something, the only way you'll buy it is if you think you will spend AT LEAST as much money as you paid for it? Hilarity.

Forreal what is this clown talking about

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JSprunk

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@seefilms: He handles the weddings.

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GalvatronType_R

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I have to update my previous comment. I still think the box will be $500 but there is a small outside chance that it will be $450.

If Microsoft really wants to go after Sony, they will launch with an aggressive number because Microsoft has a much bigger cash war chest than Sony.

Sony will either be forced to match or arrogantly say that their install base is loyal regardless of price and launch at $500 or higher despite how much Microsoft's box is.

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lostn

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Edited By lostn

@GalvatronType_R:

If Microsoft really wants to go after Sony, they will launch with an aggressive number because Microsoft has a much bigger cash war chest than Sony.

With the war chest Microsoft has, if they really wanted to go after Sony, just make it $199. Generation over. They can afford it.

MS will either win this gen 10-1, or Sony will be forced to match their $199 and go bankrupt, and then MS will win every gen in perpetuity because they'll be the only player, with Nintendo sticking to handhelds. Small investment now, become a permanent fixture in every living room forever.

Why don't they just do that?

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lostn

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it will have to be at least $600 if not more. A 12TF GPU alone costs more than $500. Then you got a 1TB nvme SSD which on its own is about $200+, a CPU which is about $300. The box, PSU, controller, all the licenses, yeah I can't see it.

I think it will sell for $600 and make a huge loss on each one sold. They will offer a Series S, which is about the power of One X for $400 and call that their next gen console, but it will have the same horsepower as last gen. They will attempt to win it on marketing. They'll be able to call their next gen console cheaper than Sony's but it won't actually be next gen. Their real next gen console will cost at least $100 more.

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Nargg

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@lostn: The GPU is not a PC GPU. There's no way to compare it to off-the shelf GPU units. It's far lower cost due to many factors, including high volume and also fewer requirements. That is not a good reason for a higher cost estimate.

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Boom4Real

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Edited By Boom4Real

PS5 $450 ( $350 would sell like crazy and quickly secure a giant Install base lead so they can make all the real money and mindshare ). I believe the first 3 and a half years are the most Important and most defining of a gaming generation

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SystemOverload

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Edited By SystemOverload

PS5 needs to sell well or Sony is going to drop it PlayStation.

Sony isn’t a trillion dollar company and has many weak selling assets, Sony can’t afford to keep taking losses.

Sony should be trying harder but the company probably feels that it is in a place that the consumer will buy it whether the company tries or not and this is how XBOX 360 got an early lead.

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lostn

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@systemoverload: except they're not taking losses on the PS. It is their strongest division out of all their businesses.

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megagood2345

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@systemoverload: I don't know why you think this. Gaming is one of Sony's most profitable product lines and is a quarter of their revenue.

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Blade_Runner_07

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There will be two offers:

$399.99 MSRP - Console, Controller.

$499.99 MSRP - Console, Controller, 1-Year Xbox Game Pass Ultimate. (No need to pay extra to get Halo Infinite with this deal.)

The goal will be to get the hardware into as many homes as possible through 2021 by taking a loss via the hardware pricing and market the Game Pass Ultimate service as the must-have feature while also working on a model design refresh for mid-2022 that will keep the $399.99 price point, offer twice the onboard SSD storage, and look like a more traditional game console.

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Nargg

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@Blade_Runner_07: Agreed. MS failed once on the $500 price point. They won't do it again.

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nintendians

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i say around 450 to 500 u.s. dollars.

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wtf_666

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$600 with mandatory Kinect 3.0 included in the box. ( $100 doorstop )

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Pyrosa

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@wtf_666: Nice

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Gamerforlife96

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@wtf_666: lol

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deactivated-5f04828e0a1d7

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@gamerforlife96: It won't be called Kinect 3.0 it will be called Kinect U.

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sladakrobot

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Geez,how the tone between the PS5 and the XbsX article differs!
The XbsX starts with a handicap right away...objectivity in journalism?

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megagood2345

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@sladakrobot: They were being honest about their experiences and perception of value. I think they're right that the Xbox One didn't really earn its keep this last generation. I say this without giving two craps about the console wars, I always end up buying all of them, it's just about which I buy first.

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Nargg

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@megagood2345: Real gamers own all consoles. No excuses.

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flatovercrest

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@nargg: exactly. Skip them both and spend the money on a Valve Index or the new Nvidia cards coming out for your PC. You do own a PC right?! If not then thats where you put your console money asap. You get the ultimate "backwards compatibility" of any system, you get the option of yearly upgrades (or even playing "next gen" games on your older hardware, just at lower settings), you get all the newest peripherals, and you get to play games with either a controller (bleh) or the proper way, with a mouse and keyboard.

Sony will make a few decent/good exclusives but the reality is its not a sustainable model for multiplayer games. All major MP games are going cross platform, sony/ms/PC (and in some cases, nintendo/mobile as well) to maintain maximum sized player bases. EA, Activision, Tencent, Amazon, Epic, etc are all going to make multiplatform games with minor tweaks between systems. Don't expect to see features using the "magic" PS5 SSD that can't be done on the xbox or PC (and likely the switch as well) simply from a cost perspective. It will likely also be the case with large single player games from major players (think Bethesda, rockstar, CD Projekt Red, etc).

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Pyrosa

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@megagood2345: Mattrick crippled the first 2.5 years, and Spencer has utterly fixed that. But the damage was done.

GamePass and xCloud are what changed everything here. My GamePass time between PC and Console utterly decimates all other forms of entertainment over the last 8 months. It's a constant feed of amazing content.

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Jimminyfixit

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I've got the One X and I don't see the need to upgrade as it doesn't feel underpowered...yet. I'm sure I'll change my mind in a year or so but for now, being a PSVR fan and the fact its backwards compatible, I'll prob consider getting the PS5 first but it really needs to be under £450 - which is wishful thinking I know.

TBH if Sony doesn't stop dangling the carrot like we're just gaming donkeys and reveal the bloody thing then I'll prob say sod it and stick with my One X and PS4 for a while.

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Nargg

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@Jimminyfixit: I almost agree. Future consoles won't be so much about "horsepower" but about speed overall. That is, not just in games, but also how quick the games load, respond, how fast the console boots from zero power, how quick the interface is to navigate (they all are painfully slow right now on that part, I think we can all agree.) These two new ones have hyped the game load thing, which is a nice step. We've got a lot more to go through to make the experience much more relaxing and play ready.

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theduckofdeath

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@Jimminyfixit: I hear you -- I have a PC for development/gaming+ and a X1X, so the main things compelling me to buy either of these consoles at launch are habit and FOMO. If I didn't have the X1X, I would probably be heavily tempted at launch.

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Pyrosa

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@Jimminyfixit: No need to rush. Wait to see what the Holiday, Spring'21, and Summer'21 sales pack in for both platforms. Enjoy GamePass for now!

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Terrorantula

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The PS5 needs to be £399.

Tbh though I'm not buying one at launch, this lockdown has left me with no money. Unless there is a game I want I wont buy one any ways, the PS4 never had anything I wanted to play until 2016, the Xbox One never had anything lol. Even the Nintendo Switch hasn't had anything other than Zelda, which I played on a Wii U.

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Just1MoHr

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$500, the comfy spot for both systems! Even if MS tries to undermine at $450, I don't think the $50 will sway many people & they will simply stick with the console they can continue to play the games they bought (BC).

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hardwenzen

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Won't be lower than $499 or higher than $549.

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zyxahn

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I figured with how awesome the Game Pass has been, they could get away with $600. You wouldn't have to buy a game at launch. And with the lower end model and maybe even a digital only system. They'd make their money on those systems, while offering a higher priced one for the people who can't afford or don't want to spend that kind of money on a powerful PC.

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theduckofdeath

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@zyxahn: Series X will most likely be $500 -- at $600, media & the internet would jump all over them, and they can't have any of that nonsense for another 3 years or so. LOL

Funny -- PS3 was $600 14 years ago, and I didn't bat an eyelash. Saw the post about pre-orders on this site, told my boss I needed to run an errand, and drove to the mall.

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SkyHighGam3r

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So 500$... this was even more 'wild' than the PS4 article with it's whopping 50$ variance. Even one prediction of 600$ would have at least made this interesting.

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SchNerdy

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Notice how negative the tone is for this article when it was all optimistic on the PS5 one 🤦🏿‍♂️. Crazy

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megagood2345

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@SchNerdy: I was a 360 loyalist last generation, slight nod to PS4 this generation. MSFT messed up with their release strategy and the games lineup just didn't dazzle me, I can call a spade a spade on this without being biased, and so can others.

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MondasM

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@SchNerdy: i don't know if you remember it but it was the opposite during the previous generation, where xbox 360 dominated the news, articles, etc., which just shows that what's popular is popular... :)

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AlBoogy

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@SchNerdy: exactly. Now I see why the reviews are scored so much lower here.

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Mogan

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Edited By Mogan  Moderator

@SchNerdy: Well, we've had a generation of the average gamer believing the PS4 is great and the Xbox One sucks. I imagine most folks at GameSpot probably didn't spend a lot of time with the Xbox because the vast majority of big games this generation were multiplatform and the PS4 was their primary system, like most gamers.

I liked Xbox for multiplatform games, and the result was I actually sold my PS4 after finishing God of War because I just wasn't using it for anything. Consequently, I'm expecting to buy a Series X before a PS5 this generation, but for anybody that played most stuff on the PS5, they probably don't have a bunch of interest in the Xbox because the Xbox hasn't seemed terribly important to them in seven years.

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