Analyst: Xbox One may have 3x more launch units than PS4

Robert W. Baird predicts Microsoft's console may be more readily available, though supply for both likely to be "constrained."

1608 Comments

The Xbox One may have two to three times more launch units than the PlayStation 4 this holiday, according to Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian.

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In a note to investors today, he said this superior launch allocation would give Microsoft an initial advantage, but noted supply for both next-generation systems will likely be "constrained," leading to potential shortages. His estimations are based on supply chain checks.

Sebastian also said the tides are turning for Microsoft, following its dramatic policy reversal last month that saw the company roll back various controversial features.

"Despite losing the headline battle at E3, we believe that Xbox One has regained some momentum in recent weeks, in part due to modifications in policies related to online connectivity and used games," Sebastian said.

Sebastian also discussed the prospects for the Wii U, saying its suite of holiday titles will make or break the system.

"Nintendo's Wii U remains challenged, needs a price cut, and the fate of the platform will likely rest on the popularity of Nintendo's holiday software lineup," he said.

High-profile first-party Wii U games due out this year include Pikmin 3 (August), The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker HD (October), Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (November), and Super Mario 3D World (December).

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t3ero2zero

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@Kristan1711 @t3ero2zero @Bellum_Sacrum i know it how many copys of cod and battlefield you sell but i think sony will sell more because its cheaper

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justerthought

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Edited By justerthought

How does this guy know there will be more XB1 launch units. Truth is he doesn't. He is an analyst. Analysts make intelligent guesses not issue hard facts.

When your console is trailing in the pre-orders due to a failed launch and you're up against a console that looks far more powerful, what do you do. You try to steal sales by paying some analyst a back hander to speculate that there will be PS4 shortages, hoping stragglers will switch to XB1 to make sure they can get hold of a next gen console at launch.

Dirty old MS is at it again. If you cannot run fast enough in a race, smack your apponent in the knee caps ...lol

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SOUL-ST4RR

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Edited By SOUL-ST4RR

The article says that they will have more launch units. It doesn't say if they are sold units or shipped. Let's not make more to this than what it is....

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orthodox1976

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@jinflorida First you call Sony customers "scum" and then you tell them to relax because you're getting a Sony console, too?

Sounds like somebody forgot to take their schizo-pills today! Don't worry, you'll be all better soon.

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blue_shift_91

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lol. people are suddenly concerned with the credibility of the article when it's not just a sony compliment.

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spectreSE7EN

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Edited By spectreSE7EN

Lol. A community that cares about gaming over console flaming? I never knew such a magical place existed!

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G-Legend

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I love how this analyst came out of no where with this. Seeing as I read a rumor earlier in the year about the X1 having issues with their eSRAM and APU (some credible sources) that would mean that M$ is gambling on pushing out as many units as possible to compensate for this.

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onig1989

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@G-Legend because is not someone of sony hahahahaha

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Deathsmiles76

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Yeah seriously look up directx11.2 it's not just a slight update I seen a video of what it can do compared to directx11 don't cut it short because your a Sony loyalist

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OldKye

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Another "may have" first the PS4 has 3 times the Xbox one units now the Xbox One has 3 times the units of PS4 lol

*November comes* Well looks like they made the same number of units go figure.

Why do I feel like these articles are deliberate trolls by "Analysts" so they can stir up fans and see how they are feeling in order to write more articles.

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dmastor

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If this is true PS shot themselves in the foot again it seem like every launch they are short by a big number when Christmas comes and parents need to buy the next thing they not going to wait for sony they will by whatever is in stock if you have kids you understand saying we signed up on waiting list to your kids not going to work nor most adult wouldn't bother they just by the xbox one because both system are similar and store will more then likey explain it's 100 more because of kinect and tv features with will appeal to adults. I'm getting both but I wait until new god of war and uncharted before I get PS4

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19James89

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Edited By 19James89

This analyst is making a brazen prediction and yet people are taking this as fact. The Xbox One may have 3x the times the launch units than Sony's PS4, but that means little if those units are still sat on the shelves months after the launch.

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t3ero2zero

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@19James89 lot of shops are sold out?

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19James89

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Edited By 19James89

@t3ero2zero What country are you referring to here? I guarantee the Xbox hasn't sold out in Japan lol.

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t3ero2zero

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ink about the wiiu it not sold to well over here but people still dont know its out yet lol.

but if they make a better model or a wiiu2 might save the wii platform oh and the 3ds and dsi are massive in the uk

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19James89

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@t3ero2zero The Xbox One is guaranteed to do well in the UK because the UK is the only other country that Xbox does well in.

As for Japan, the PS3 didn't shift more than 7 million units, so I don't think the PS4 will do particularly well over there.

I think the Wii U has the potential to out sell both the Xbox One and the PS4 in Japan.

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t3ero2zero

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@19James89 the UK it looks like it doing ok over here but sony is from japan there going to pick what there make over in japan

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myungish

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Of course they would have more launch units. They have NSA funding.

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Bellum_Sacrum

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It doesn't take a genius to realize Xbox Ones will be more readily available. People will be getting PS4s instead.

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onig1989

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Edited By onig1989

@Bellum_Sacrum really go cry with your mother hahaha fanboy

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t3ero2zero

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Edited By t3ero2zero

@Bellum_Sacrum funny as sony is the cheaper unit you would think there will be the one who need to sell more?

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WolfGrey

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@Bellum_Sacrum

I see what you did there.

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feleas

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Edited By feleas

Xbox One more reason to get a PS4.

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TenraiSenshi

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I wonder what he's basing this statement on. Does he have a detailed understanding of Microsoft's and Sony's manufacturing detail? Or is this just pure speculation based on little evidence?

It would be nice if we got the "why" and not just the "what", otherwise how are we meant to buy into what's being said? These analysts need to explain themselves more.

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WolfGrey

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@TenraiSenshi

Eddie posted the article. That should be enough to help you.

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feleas

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@WolfGrey @TenraiSenshi haha precisely.

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sumoman23

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@WolfGrey @feleas @TenraiSenshi I've also noticed that he also writes 80% of the articles on here so no wonder they have crap quality.

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WolfGrey

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@feleas @WolfGrey @TenraiSenshi

Considering how many articles he has screwed up...i am not hopeful.

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feleas

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Edited By feleas

@WolfGrey @feleas @TenraiSenshi I know and it's really depressing. who knows, he might improve.

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WolfGrey

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Edited By WolfGrey

@feleas @WolfGrey @TenraiSenshi

The guy is a joke and is well known for these kind of articles lol

That and not using spellchecker...not proofreading....not researching the material...and so on...

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