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Analyst: Xbox One may have 3x more launch units than PS4

Robert W. Baird predicts Microsoft's console may be more readily available, though supply for both likely to be "constrained."

1608 Comments

The Xbox One may have two to three times more launch units than the PlayStation 4 this holiday, according to Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian.

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In a note to investors today, he said this superior launch allocation would give Microsoft an initial advantage, but noted supply for both next-generation systems will likely be "constrained," leading to potential shortages. His estimations are based on supply chain checks.

Sebastian also said the tides are turning for Microsoft, following its dramatic policy reversal last month that saw the company roll back various controversial features.

"Despite losing the headline battle at E3, we believe that Xbox One has regained some momentum in recent weeks, in part due to modifications in policies related to online connectivity and used games," Sebastian said.

Sebastian also discussed the prospects for the Wii U, saying its suite of holiday titles will make or break the system.

"Nintendo's Wii U remains challenged, needs a price cut, and the fate of the platform will likely rest on the popularity of Nintendo's holiday software lineup," he said.

High-profile first-party Wii U games due out this year include Pikmin 3 (August), The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker HD (October), Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (November), and Super Mario 3D World (December).

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Anthonyccc

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but PS4 was planning for a world wide release, while X1 was just planning 15 countries...

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Avatar image for DeViLzzz
DeViLzzz

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@Deathstroke_69 No worries for Xbox One ? Why are they talking about memory issues and oc'ing the cpu to keep up with the PS4 ? LOL

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DeViLzzz

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Edited By DeViLzzz

Like if you cancelled a preorder for an Xbox One

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Avatar image for strothers101
strothers101

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"My articles bring all the fan boys to the yard" - Eddie Makuch

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Papparazzi2233

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Not his fault, gamespot makes him post stupid articles about Microsoft in order to bring in fanboys.

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kenlars

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shovel hardware :P

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de-astroturfer

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In the near future Im planning on taking a trip out into new mexico desert dig up all the unsold xbones and build my self a house ;)

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brainiac1988

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Edited By brainiac1988

this guy's statement is based on absolutely nothing.

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Aphyosemion

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Microsoft shambled out of the darkness, snarling, drooling, and looking for victims, but then Sony rode in on a white horse and chased off the evil monster, saving the day. Ten minutes later the monster returned wearing the skin of a princess it had just murdered and everyone forgot that a few minutes ago it was trying to eat them.

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strothers101

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@Deathstroke_69 @strothers101 solid argument and I couldn't agree more. The innovations Xbox is bringing to the table are substantial to say the least. I really hope that third party devs take the time to utilize things like cloud etc. The worst thing to happen to Xbox was them folding over on their policies because of backlash from four year olds.

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Avatar image for greenpolyp
greenpolyp

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Microsofts new strategy is to pick up the stragglers who couldnt reserve a ps4 fast enough.

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SiLenTWarrior29

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Edited By SiLenTWarrior29

*flips coin* ...gat damn it he's right!

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RustedTruck650

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Edited By RustedTruck650

Xbox One then Xbox Two after the first RRoD, Xbox Three after the 2nd RRoD, Xbox Four after the fourth fail, and so on until it reaches the most units sold in america.

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arkhamcity54

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Xbox One and done.

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JumpyLuweegee2

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Xbox One is a huge piece of shit.

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strothers101

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@JumpyLuweegee2 your mum is a huge piece of... Never mind, troll on doucher, troll on.
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youngzen69

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Nintendo's performance has been the weakest of the bunch so far. My problem with Nintendo or more specifically the people running Nintendo right now is the fact that they seem to be stuck in this nostalgic causal rut both hardware and software wise. Nintendo needs to really work hard to turn the image of being just a console maker for causals and little kids around!

I put Microsoft's performance in the middle. My hold outlook on Xbox One changed once Microsoft reversed its always online 24 hour check-in policy which was one of my biggest gripes concerning Xbox One.

Sony has been the strongest of the bunch so far. Their presentation earlier this year with the introduction of the Ps4 was flawless. Sony also made a good showing at E3 this year. No complaints here.

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de-astroturfer

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Edited By de-astroturfer

@youngzen69 Id put M$ at the bottom at least Nintendo havent tried shaft everyone with a used game DRM prison and violate their customers privacy with an always on web cam wired directly into the NSA. Not having the company youve bought into try and **** you over goes along way but Nintendo definitely need to do away with that tablet thing and up the hardware specs

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strothers101

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@de-astroturfer @youngzen69 those type of policies worked out well for apple though . Consumers are gluttons for punishment it seems .

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strothers101

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@de-astroturfer @strothers101 @youngzen69 I dunno....

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de-astroturfer

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@strothers101 @de-astroturfer @youngzen69 Whilst Steve jobs was there yes because he had a unified vision, its on the turn now tho after his passing the iPhone 5, iPad mini and ios7 are evidence of that

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greenpolyp

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@youngzen69 Nintendo needs to pull a major do over and upgrade the console with more powerful graphics hardware and go back to motion controls that are more accurate.That tablet is stupid and needs to be done away with.

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Tauu

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Maybe this means I'll be walking into my local Best Buy and seeing a mountain of Xbones with a salesman trying to get me to buy one. True story with PS3 shortly after launch.

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xXxIRyanxXx

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@Tauu Its sold out at Best Buy

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Anthonyccc

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@xXxIRyanxXx @Tauu my best buy had about 50 today in NYC, so that's not true.

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CaptainKark

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@Anthonyccc @xXxIRyanxXx @Tauu

Online they are sold-out. Stores are still taking pre-orders like you said

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Meta-Gnostic

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I find this hard to believe. MS has had production issues while Sony has not. Sony has sold more consoles via preorder so far than MS has and both consoles continue to sell. This guy's prediction just makes no logical sense.

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AyatollaofRnR

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@Meta-Gnostic preorders have nothing to do with supply. Both manufacturers will be pumping out as many units as they can. The estimate would come from speaking with component suppliers for the consoles.

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Meta-Gnostic

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@AyatollaofRnR @Meta-Gnostic Preorders have nothing to do with supply... you lost me right there.

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acelogan1989

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ahhahha

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pamplinas322

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Analyst's jobs is so easy. You get paid for guessing.

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haze_blaze

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I think Microsoft is banking on the theory that a lot of consumers will settle for an Xbox One when PS4's are sold out... and they may be right. Still, this will only provide a very temporary advantage.

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RustedTruck650

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I want to change this guy's name to Mycock, Eddie Mycock.

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acelogan1989

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Edited By acelogan1989

@RustedTruck650 lol

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strothers101

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I really want Microsoft to revise their hardware specs or drop the price a tad. Still buying one before a ps4, but a bit more bang for my buck would be nice.

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xXxIRyanxXx

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Edited By xXxIRyanxXx

@strothers101 Depending on how developers use the cloud it should have more then enough power, and I think most games on X1 will be able to run at 1080p with 60fps.

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zintarr

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So MS is rushing to get 3x the number of consoles available vs that of the PS4. I wonder what part of the new XBOX will be lighting up red this time?

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Tayar

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good bye mates ! back to IGN now

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Megavideogamer

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Edited By Megavideogamer

Xbox one may have more launch consoles than PS4. If Microsoft rushes the construct them before November. But if they do will those consoles sell out at launch. In the U.S.A yes. But elsewhere maybe not so much.

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Tayar

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@Megavideogamer and rushes hardware made in china means.....fail, a lot more fails that will take time and consumer`s money to repair later.

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RustedTruck650

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I've attempted to simultaneously masturbate while taking a dump before. I must say it is quite the feeling.

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LiquidGold

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@RustedTruck650 Today I watched my kid eat a fly that flew onto her ice cream. I didn't tell her about and she ate it. I laughed inside for hours.

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IndependenceYou

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Lmao ur a terrible father

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LiquidGold

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@IndependenceYou

LOL , when she's older I'll tell her that when she was a kid she used to eat bugs hahaha. Lets hope she got a sense of humour like her old man.

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soulless4now

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@RustedTruck650 rofl Wut?! xD

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SpiritualFinger

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@RustedTruck650 LOL

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solid_snake1461

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I would like to know from which source was this analyst based on. And to Gamespot: you are a gaming website, post game-related news. Not some random guy's assumption just to stir up the hatred in the console war!

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haze_blaze

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@solid_snake1461 It is game related... it may not be true, but it is still game related.

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SiLenTWarrior29

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Game related bullshit

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