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Analyst: Xbox One may have 3x more launch units than PS4

Robert W. Baird predicts Microsoft's console may be more readily available, though supply for both likely to be "constrained."

1608 Comments

The Xbox One may have two to three times more launch units than the PlayStation 4 this holiday, according to Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian.

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In a note to investors today, he said this superior launch allocation would give Microsoft an initial advantage, but noted supply for both next-generation systems will likely be "constrained," leading to potential shortages. His estimations are based on supply chain checks.

Sebastian also said the tides are turning for Microsoft, following its dramatic policy reversal last month that saw the company roll back various controversial features.

"Despite losing the headline battle at E3, we believe that Xbox One has regained some momentum in recent weeks, in part due to modifications in policies related to online connectivity and used games," Sebastian said.

Sebastian also discussed the prospects for the Wii U, saying its suite of holiday titles will make or break the system.

"Nintendo's Wii U remains challenged, needs a price cut, and the fate of the platform will likely rest on the popularity of Nintendo's holiday software lineup," he said.

High-profile first-party Wii U games due out this year include Pikmin 3 (August), The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker HD (October), Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (November), and Super Mario 3D World (December).

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MrDouglas

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Come the holidays, "Xbox One may have 3x more units left on the shelves unsold..."

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19James89

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@MrDouglas I doubt that will be the case in the US and the UK.

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SirNormanislost

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Edited By SirNormanislost

Isn't the PS far popular and the UK and Europe?

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dmastor

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@WolfGrey that is true but the UK and US is most of the market! that's why Wii and Xbox outsold ps3 they focus on the bigger markets.

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t3ero2zero

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@SirNormanislost xbox big in the uk the ps3 die abit at first but selling ok now

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WolfGrey

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Edited By WolfGrey

@SirNormanislost

360 sold better in the UK.

However it sold abysmally everywhere else cept for the US.

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19James89

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@SirNormanislost The Xbox 360 was more popular in the UK than the PS3.

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feleas

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@SirNormanislost it's more popular world-wide according to people who voted on that link I posted heh.

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feleas

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@19James89 @MrDouglas http://www.gamespot.com/twitter-battle/xbox-vs-ps4/

and this says agrees with MrDouglas heh

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joyfilth

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@feleas @onig1989 @WolfGrey @19James89

The specs has nothing to do with. PS 3 specs are more powerful than 360 and it has never worked at its true potential. Also there are some third party games that looks better on 360 for example Skyrim. It will depend on how developers adapt to the console to unleash the real potential of them.

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feleas

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@onig1989 @feleas @WolfGrey @19James89 .... really? did you NOT read the system specs of the PS4 and Xbox One and compare? Xbox One is more comparable to the PS3 in terms of hardware, still stronger than the PS3 but that's the harsh reality of the PS4. When Sony moved into gaming entertainment, they struck a deal with the company that fabricates hardware for such entertainment. This contract prevents Microsoft and Nintendo from using the same level of tech that Sony is using. Reason why as you say, "a better game in graphics than Ryze" is because when game developers make games, they have to first make it compatible with the less powered system so that their game can be available for any (xbox, pc, ps, wii). it's how the market works. you'll find your answer when PS4 and Xbox One have their first cross-console game. Compare images, you'll find that the PS4 will have a bit more in terms of graphic power if you have a Xbox One screenshot next to the exact same PS4 screenshot.

Why am I defending PS4 when I've been a Xbox player for years? because I've always felt comfortable with sticking to Microsoft, and yet I always recognized that Sony's hardware has always been one step ahead of Microsoft for their consoles.

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onig1989

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@feleas @WolfGrey @19James89 show me a game of ps4 with better graphics then ryse

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dmastor

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@feleas @19James89 @MrDouglas Most who voted at kids who can't even afford the system they wishing mom or dad will by it, PS fans have alot of online presents but lack buying power we saw that in last gen when Wii and xbox sold more then ps3 but Playstations fans filled up online forums. I guess Wii players don't care to defend and xbox fan have a life outside of games.

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19James89

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@feleas @WolfGrey @19James89 Graphics aren't important to a lot of people - and I doubt there will be any noticeable difference between the graphics of the Xbox One and the PS4.

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19James89

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@WolfGrey Yes very true, but then you have to take into account that Xbox is also geared towards non-gamers. People who want a hub underneath their TV's which will enable them to watch films, have a cable subscription, listen to music and chat to people on Skype.

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k0hum

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@19James89 @feleas @MrDouglas This is the best sellers list of the video games section on amazon and as of today's date, ps4 is at #8 and xb1 is at #51 - http://www.amazon.com/best-sellers-video-games/zgbs/videogames/ref=zg_bs_nav_0

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feleas

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Edited By feleas

@WolfGrey @feleas @19James89 precisely.

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WolfGrey

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Edited By WolfGrey

@feleas @WolfGrey @19James89

And faster Ram, more gb of ram dedicated to gaming...and so on

Almost half of Xbone's Ram goes to the OS...

7gb of Ps4's Ram goes to gaming with only 1gb going to the OS.

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feleas

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@WolfGrey @19James89 @feleas and a higher graphics engine for $100 less lol

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WolfGrey

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Edited By WolfGrey

@19James89 @feleas

But at the same time keep in mind a casual gamer will most likely will go for the cheaper choice.

Plus with PS4 with Plus you get Two free indies(including Don't Starve), Drive Club PS+ edition, plus Planetside 2 and Warframe launch day one f2p.

It's better deal overall for even a casual.

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feleas

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@19James89 @feleas I don't know, reading the terms of service with the section about the Kinect for the Xbox One made me go, "LOL NOPE! AIN'T SPYING ON MY FAMILY!"

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19James89

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@feleas Maybe so, but that doesn't take into account the non-gamers or casual gamers who will purchase the Xbox One.

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feleas

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@19James89 @feleas @MrDouglas guarantee at least 40% of those people who voted are people who pre-ordered heh.

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19James89

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@feleas @19James89 @MrDouglas That means nothing. The proof will be in the numbers released.

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epicgameresearc

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Robert W. Baird is a wealth and asset management co. I can almost guarantee they are heavily leveraged in MS.

Nothing from the Baird PR lists any numbers or specifics.

This is all corporate PR spin for the hoped MS turnaround... but it's not truth. In fact, read the many articles about severe MS production issues and low pre-sales. There are plenty of both all over the internet. Add those to PS4 being at #2 on Amazon and XBOX ONE being at #16. Add all of these together and you'll start to see that...

The bullsh!t artists are hard at work trying to spin XBOX ONE as a success, but the numbers don't confirm it. Yes, it's selling better than before the "changes," but it's still not doing great.

Sheesh, these MS shills and PR specialists think we're idiots.

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feleas

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@epicgameresearc yeah numbers are NOT adding up with what they're saying =/

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deactivated-5f47e8820d2dc

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What does this mean exactly? Lower actual pre-orders than expected according to production numbers, so more left on launch day? As going by recent news and how things have panned out. But it still sounds like the PS4 has sold out more and is going to be a lot harder to get than the XBONE on release day. Either way, I am going to try and hold out for either until end of August when the last major news will be released at Gamescom. Should be good.

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Ehggsz

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Well, if this news teaches us anything, you can announce a product with policies that claim to rape you and then later reverse that and get applauded and praised and sell all of your stock. All I have to say is well done, Microsoft.

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KimCheeWarriorX

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@Ehggsz like i said before, ms planned all this.

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the13stuff

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Serious question: did he mean more Xbox One units will be left on shelves and passed over? Because that would be a fair assessment based on Internet reception and consumer habits.

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VastGameMaster

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@Deathstroke_69 @Skhuff @strothers101 I smell incest.

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VastGameMaster

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@Deathstroke_69 @MGSKojima lol

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spectreSE7EN

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Edited By spectreSE7EN

Just couldn't wait to read the comments after reading the article. Fanboy fights are the best.

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Morphine_OD

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So now the analysts decide how many games will be available on the launch? Marvelous.

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MGSKojima

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Quantity doesn't beat Quality Microshaft...

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MooncalfReviews

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Zzzzzz...

Honestly, why does anyone care anyway? This generation specifically, I'd like to see Microsoft fail for attempting to screw us all, but other than that mild yearning, I just don't really care that much. Why is the best selling console so important to all of these commenters? If you prefer Playstation, then great, it's not going anywhere.

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MooncalfReviews

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@Deathstroke_69

Hmmm could take or leave the controller. 360 controller is perfect in my opinion. Other than that, agreed.

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RiKanKiDD

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Ps4 Fanboys suck. Xbox Fan Boys Suck. PC Fan Boys SUCK. I will be playing all of them. You all give people cancer

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Skhuff

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@Deathstroke_69 @strothers101 Did you just talk about your mom's bra and her boobies?

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Papparazzi2233

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Edited By Papparazzi2233

Why the hell is Call Of Duty Ghosts a related game to this article?

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Skhuff

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@Papparazzi2233 Why the hell you hate Call of Duty so much?

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RiKanKiDD

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Edited By RiKanKiDD

@Skhuff @Papparazzi2233 Dude Call of Duty Sucks!

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Skhuff

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Edited By Skhuff

@RiKanKiDD @Skhuff @Papparazzi2233 What is one of your favorite game from your list?

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arkhamcity54

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Sony FTW.

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skytrot

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Is this guy daft or what. Sure it may have more units in America but globally Sony wins hands down. Sheesh. Guy needs to leave the country to see that there's a world outside the US of A.

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arqe

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Edited By arqe

@skytrot 3x more console for 21 Countries , not US only....

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strothers101

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@Deathstroke_69 @strothers101 probably bra

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strothers101

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@Deathstroke_69 ohhh totally bra...

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StaticKornSlipX

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Not a much of a prediction because Sony is allocating many of their consoles to different regions...most their home country, Japan. So yeah, it's not that hard to predict there will be more Xbox Ones launch units available in North America.

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milomell

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Edited By milomell

slow news day again....sigh

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tionmedon

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it sounds like AMD might be playing sides........

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strothers101

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Edited By strothers101

Xbox is the essence of wetness and wetness is the essence of life - drock zoolander

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Enoughkids

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Ps4

Xperia Z Ultra

Greatness Awaits

Thank you Sony

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Skhuff

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@Enoughkids Don't forget PS Move :)

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hordaak

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@Enoughkids you forgot the hot selling vita. now that is great

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