• 19Jan 12

  2012 Oscar Nomination Predictions

  Everything's in alphabetical order. Not doing explanations. Don't feel like it. Nominations announced Tuesday. Can't wait to see how bad I did!!!
  
  AND NOW I AM BOLDING WHO I THINK WILL WIN (AS OF NOW) COS JAZZ SAYS IT'D BE MORE INTERESTING. ALSO I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT TO DO WITH THE SOUND/SONG/MAKEUP/ART/COSTUME AWARDS SO THOSE ARE JUST STABS IN THE DARK UNLIKE MOST OF THE OTHERS.
  
  Picture:
  The Artist
  The Descendants
  The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  The Help
  Hugo
  Midnight in Paris
  Moneyball
  
  Director:
  Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
  David Fincher - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
  Alexander Payne - The Descendants
  Martin Scorsese - Hugo
  
  Lead Actor:
  George Clooney - The Descendants
  Leonardo DiCaprio - J. Edgar
  Jean Dujardin - The Artist
  Michael Fassbender - Shame
  Brad Pitt - Moneyball
  
  Lead Actress:
  Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
  Viola Davis - The Help
  Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
  Tilda Swinton - We Need to Talk About Kevin
  Michelle Williams - My Week with Marilyn
  
  Supporting Actor:
  Kenneth Branagh - My Week with Marilyn
  Albert Brooks - Drive
  Jonah Hill - Moneyball
  Nick Nolte - Warrior
  Christopher Plummer - Beginners
  
  Supporting Actress:
  Berenice Bejo - The Artist
  Jessica Chastain - The Help
  Melissa McCarthy -Bridesmaids
  Octavia Spencer - The Help
  Shailene Woodley - The Descendants
  
  Original Screenplay:
  50/50
  The Artist
  Bridesmaids
  Midnight in Paris
  A Seperation
  
  Adapted Screenplay:
  The Descendants
  The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  The Help
  Hugo
  Moneyball
  
  Animated Feature:
  The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
  Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom of Doom
  Puss in Boots
  Rango
  Winnie the Pooh
  
  Foreign Language Feature:
  Footnote
  In Darkness
  Monsieur Lazhar
  Pina
  A Separation
  
  Documentary:
  Bill Cunningham New York
  If a Tree Fells
  Pina
  Project Nim
  We Were Here
  
  Cinematography:
  The Artist
  The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  Hugo
  The Tree of Life
  War Horse
  
  Editing:
  The Artist
  Drive
  Hugo
  Moneyball
  War Horse
  
  Score:
  The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
  The Artist
  The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
  War Horse
  
  Song:
  Lay Your Head Down - Albert Nobbs
  The Living Proof - The Help
  Life's a Happy Song - The Muppets
  Man or Muppet - The Muppets
  Pictures in my Head - The Muppets
  
  Sound Mixing:
  The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
  Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  Hugo
  Transformers: Dark of the Moon
  War Horse
  
  Sound Editing:
  The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
  Hugo
  Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  Super 8
  War Horse
  
  Makeup:
  Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life
  Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  The Iron Lady
  
  Visual Effects:
  Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  Hugo
  Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  Transformers: Dark of the Moon
  The Tree of Life
  
  Costume Design:
  The Artist
  The Help
  Hugo
  Jane Eyre
  My Week with Marilyn
  
  Art Direction:
  The Artist
  Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  The Help
  Hugo
  War Horse

  • Posted Jan 19, 2012 4:36 pm GMT
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• 27Jun 11

  Mid-Year Oscar Predictions, y'all

  I am a prophet.
  
  
  Best Picture (with new rules!!!)
  The Ides of March
  J. Edgar
  War Horse
  A Dangerous Method
  The Tree of Life
  The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  The Artist
  
  This seems like a weak year so I wouldn't be surprised if we are stuck at 5 in the first year of the new rule. Ides, War Horse, and J. Edgar seem like locks. The trailer for Dangerous Method makes it look like it'll be a big movie. The Tree of Life will probably get enough votes by the more high brow members of the Academy. The Artist was a Cannes hit and I think it'll be a surprise contender. Dragon Tattoo could definitely continue Fincher's recent Oscar success. Would scratch out the last two though if I had to go with five though.
  
  Director
  George Clooney - The Ides of March
  Steven Spielberg - War Horse
  Terrance Malick - The Tree of Life
  Clint Eastwood - J. Edgar
  David Cronenberg - A Dangerous Method
  
  These movies are more Oscar-y than The Artist and Dragon Tattoo so they snag the nods.
  
  Lead Actor
  Leo DiCaprio - J. Edgar
  Michael Fassbender - A Dangerous Method
  George Clooney - The Descendants
  Ryan Gosling - The Ides of March
  Jean Dujardin - The Artist
  
  I really wanted to put Gary Oldman for Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy. Oh well. He could beat out Dujardin if my hunch of The Artist being a surprise hit fails. Everything else seems pretty obvious. Leo may finally get his Oscar that he so desperately wants.
  
  Lead Actress
  Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
  Rooney Mara - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  Keira Knightley - A Dangerous Method
  Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
  Elizabeth Olsen - Martha Macy May Marlene
  
  Meryl Streep playing Margaret Thatcher is a lock for a nomination. Mara and Knightley look like they're really transforming into their roles in trailers. Close is playing a man or whatever in Albert Nobbs which usually means a nod if the movie doesn't completely suck. Olsen (yes, the younger sister to the Olsen twins) made waves at Sundance. MMMM could be this year's Winter's Bone.
  
  Supporting Actor
  Kenneth Branagh - My Week with Marilyn
  Viggo Mortensen - A Dangerous Method
  Christopher Plummer - Beginners
  Armie Hammer - J. Edgar
  John Hawkes - Martha Macy May Marlene
  
  John Hawkes continues the MMMM = Winter's Bone thing. Hammer plays Leo's lover in J. Edgar and supposedly gets lots of good scenes. Plummer's new film is getting him lots of praise. Viggo looks good in the trailer and playing Laurence Olivier seems like a great way of getting an Oscar nomination.
  
  Supporting Actress
  Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
  Kate Winslet - Carnage
  Naomi Watts - J. Edgar
  Marisa Tomei - The Ides of March
  Viola Davis - The Help
  
  I don't really know anything about this. Redgrave has been getting praise since Coriolanus premiered though.
  
  Original Screenplay
  J. Edgar
  Midnight in Paris
  The Tree of Life
  Martha Macy May Marlene
  The Artist
  
  Woody Allen gets his 15th Oscar nomination for writing I think. The Artist and The Tree of Life might be thin in the writing area since one is a silent movie and the other supposedly features lots of dialogue-less scenes. MMMM and Edgar seem like kinda obvious choices.
  
  Adapted Screenplay
  The Ides of March
  War Horse
  A Dangerous Method
  The Descendants
  Moneyball
  
  Aaron Sorkin and Alexander Payne usually get Oscar nods so they're in. Then the heavy hitters for BP get the other nods.
  
  Animated Feature (was there a rule change here? Can't remember)
  Tintin
  Rango
  Winnie the Pooh
  Cars 2
  Kung Fu Panda 2
  
  If this is three then I would guess the top three.

  And that's all, folks.

  • Posted Jun 27, 2011 11:59 pm GMT
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• 31Jan 11

  My FAU Oscar Ballot

  Best Picture
  1. Toy Story 3
  2. The Social Network
  3. The American
  4. Four Lions
  5. The Ghost Writer
  6. The Kids Are All Right
  7. Scott Pilgrim vs The World
  8. Blue Valentine
  9. The Town
  10. Exit Through the Gift Shop (sub for Hot Tub Time Machine if you don't allow docs)
  
  Best Foreign Language Film
  Skipped since I only saw two foreign language movies that qualified.
  
  Best Documentary
  Skipped since I only saw one doc.
  
  Best Animated Feature (boring)
  1. Toy Story 3
  2. How to Train Your Dragon
  
  Worst Picture
  Skipped since I didn't consider anything to be "terrible" this year.
  
  Best Actor in a Leading Role
  1. Colin Firth - The King's Speech
  2. James Franco - 127 Hours
  3. Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine
  4. George Clooney - The American
  5. Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network
  
  Best Actor in a Supporting Role
  1. Christian Bale - The Fighter
  2. Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
  3. Nigel Lindsay - Four Lions
  4. Justin Timberlake - The Social Network
  5. Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
  
  Best Actress in a Leading Role
  1. Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
  2. Greta Gerwig - Greenberg
  3. Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine
  4. Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
  5. Emma Stone - Easy A
  
  Best Actress in a Supporting Role
  1. Ann Morgan Guilbert - Please Give
  2. Elle Fanning - Somewhere
  3. Melissa Leo - The Fighter
  4. Olivia Williams - The Ghost Writer
  5. Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right
  
  Best Director
  1. Lee Unkrich - Toy Story 3
  2. David Fincher - The Social Network
  3. Anton Corbijn - The American
  4. Roman Polanski - The Ghost Writer
  5. Derek Cianfrance - Blue Valentine
  
  Best Original Score
  1. Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Social Network
  2. Herbert Gronemeyer or w/e his name is - The American
  3. Alexandre Desplat - The Ghost Writer
  4. Alexandre Desplat - The King's Speech
  5. idk
  
  Best Original Screenplay
  1. Four Lions
  2. The Kids Are All Right
  3. Blue Valentine
  4. Somewhere
  5. Easy A
  
  Best Adapted Screenplay
  1. Toy Story 3
  2. The Social Network
  3. The American
  4. The Ghost Writer
  5. Scott Pilgrim Vs the World
  
  Best Cinematography
  1. The Social Network
  2. Enter the Void
  3. Somewhere
  4. I Saw the Devil
  5. The Kids Are All Right
  
  Best Visual Effects
  1. Enter the Void
  2. The Social Network
  3. Scott Pilgrim vs the World
  
  
  Hopefully this made everyone rage on several ocassions. Politics were NOT a factor. Like, at all. Seriously. I mean it.

  • Posted Jan 31, 2011 7:45 pm GMT
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