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2012 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Everything's in alphabetical order. Not doing explanations. Don't feel like it. Nominations announced Tuesday. Can't wait to see how bad I did!!! :D

AND NOW I AM BOLDING WHO I THINK WILL WIN (AS OF NOW) COS JAZZ SAYS IT'D BE MORE INTERESTING. ALSO I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT TO DO WITH THE SOUND/SONG/MAKEUP/ART/COSTUME AWARDS SO THOSE ARE JUST STABS IN THE DARK UNLIKE MOST OF THE OTHERS.

Picture:
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball

Director:
Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
David Fincher - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Martin Scorsese - Hugo

Lead Actor:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio - J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin - The Artist
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Brad Pitt - Moneyball

Lead Actress:
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis - The Help
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton - We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams - My Week with Marilyn

Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh - My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks - Drive
Jonah Hill - Moneyball
Nick Nolte - Warrior
Christopher Plummer - Beginners

Supporting Actress:
Berenice Bejo - The Artist
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Melissa McCarthy -Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shailene Woodley - The Descendants

Original Screenplay:
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
A Seperation

Adapted Screenplay:
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball

Animated Feature:
The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom of Doom
Puss in Boots
Rango
Winnie the Pooh

Foreign Language Feature:
Footnote
In Darkness
Monsieur Lazhar
Pina
A Separation

Documentary:
Bill Cunningham New York
If a Tree Fells
Pina
Project Nim
We Were Here

Cinematography:
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Editing:
The Artist
Drive
Hugo
Moneyball
War Horse

Score:
The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse

Song:
Lay Your Head Down - Albert Nobbs
The Living Proof - The Help
Life's a Happy Song - The Muppets
Man or Muppet - The Muppets
Pictures in my Head - The Muppets

Sound Mixing:
The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Sound Editing:
The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse

Makeup:
Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
The Iron Lady

Visual Effects:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
The Tree of Life

Costume Design:
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
My Week with Marilyn

Art Direction:
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
The Help
Hugo
War Horse

Mid-Year Oscar Predictions, y'all

I am a prophet.


Best Picture (with new rules!!!)
The Ides of March
J. Edgar
War Horse
A Dangerous Method
The Tree of Life
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Artist

This seems like a weak year so I wouldn't be surprised if we are stuck at 5 in the first year of the new rule. Ides, War Horse, and J. Edgar seem like locks. The trailer for Dangerous Method makes it look like it'll be a big movie. The Tree of Life will probably get enough votes by the more high brow members of the Academy. The Artist was a Cannes hit and I think it'll be a surprise contender. Dragon Tattoo could definitely continue Fincher's recent Oscar success. Would scratch out the last two though if I had to go with five though.

Director
George Clooney - The Ides of March
Steven Spielberg - War Horse
Terrance Malick - The Tree of Life
Clint Eastwood - J. Edgar
David Cronenberg - A Dangerous Method

These movies are more Oscar-y than The Artist and Dragon Tattoo so they snag the nods.

Lead Actor
Leo DiCaprio - J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender - A Dangerous Method
George Clooney - The Descendants
Ryan Gosling - The Ides of March
Jean Dujardin - The Artist

I really wanted to put Gary Oldman for Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy. Oh well. He could beat out Dujardin if my hunch of The Artist being a surprise hit fails. Everything else seems pretty obvious. Leo may finally get his Oscar that he so desperately wants.

Lead Actress
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Rooney Mara - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Keira Knightley - A Dangerous Method
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Elizabeth Olsen - Martha Macy May Marlene

Meryl Streep playing Margaret Thatcher is a lock for a nomination. Mara and Knightley look like they're really transforming into their roles in trailers. Close is playing a man or whatever in Albert Nobbs which usually means a nod if the movie doesn't completely suck. Olsen (yes, the younger sister to the Olsen twins) made waves at Sundance. MMMM could be this year's Winter's Bone.

Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh - My Week with Marilyn
Viggo Mortensen - A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Armie Hammer - J. Edgar
John Hawkes - Martha Macy May Marlene

John Hawkes continues the MMMM = Winter's Bone thing. Hammer plays Leo's lover in J. Edgar and supposedly gets lots of good scenes. Plummer's new film is getting him lots of praise. Viggo looks good in the trailer and playing Laurence Olivier seems like a great way of getting an Oscar nomination.

Supporting Actress
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Kate Winslet - Carnage
Naomi Watts - J. Edgar
Marisa Tomei - The Ides of March
Viola Davis - The Help

I don't really know anything about this. Redgrave has been getting praise since Coriolanus premiered though.

Original Screenplay
J. Edgar
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life
Martha Macy May Marlene
The Artist

Woody Allen gets his 15th Oscar nomination for writing I think. The Artist and The Tree of Life might be thin in the writing area since one is a silent movie and the other supposedly features lots of dialogue-less scenes. MMMM and Edgar seem like kinda obvious choices.

Adapted Screenplay
The Ides of March
War Horse
A Dangerous Method
The Descendants
Moneyball

Aaron Sorkin and Alexander Payne usually get Oscar nods so they're in. Then the heavy hitters for BP get the other nods.

Animated Feature (was there a rule change here? Can't remember)
Tintin
Rango
Winnie the Pooh
Cars 2
Kung Fu Panda 2

If this is three then I would guess the top three.

And that's all, folks.

My FAU Oscar Ballot

Best Picture
1. Toy Story 3
2. The Social Network
3. The American
4. Four Lions
5. The Ghost Writer
6. The Kids Are All Right
7. Scott Pilgrim vs The World
8. Blue Valentine
9. The Town
10. Exit Through the Gift Shop (sub for Hot Tub Time Machine if you don't allow docs)

Best Foreign Language Film
Skipped since I only saw two foreign language movies that qualified.

Best Documentary
Skipped since I only saw one doc.

Best Animated Feature (boring)
1. Toy Story 3
2. How to Train Your Dragon

Worst Picture
Skipped since I didn't consider anything to be "terrible" this year.

Best Actor in a Leading Role
1. Colin Firth - The King's Speech
2. James Franco - 127 Hours
3. Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine
4. George Clooney - The American
5. Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
1. Christian Bale - The Fighter
2. Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
3. Nigel Lindsay - Four Lions
4. Justin Timberlake - The Social Network
5. Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Best Actress in a Leading Role
1. Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
2. Greta Gerwig - Greenberg
3. Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine
4. Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
5. Emma Stone - Easy A

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
1. Ann Morgan Guilbert - Please Give
2. Elle Fanning - Somewhere
3. Melissa Leo - The Fighter
4. Olivia Williams - The Ghost Writer
5. Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right

Best Director
1. Lee Unkrich - Toy Story 3
2. David Fincher - The Social Network
3. Anton Corbijn - The American
4. Roman Polanski - The Ghost Writer
5. Derek Cianfrance - Blue Valentine

Best Original Score
1. Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Social Network
2. Herbert Gronemeyer or w/e his name is - The American
3. Alexandre Desplat - The Ghost Writer
4. Alexandre Desplat - The King's Speech
5. idk

Best Original Screenplay
1. Four Lions
2. The Kids Are All Right
3. Blue Valentine
4. Somewhere
5. Easy A

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. Toy Story 3
2. The Social Network
3. The American
4. The Ghost Writer
5. Scott Pilgrim Vs the World

Best Cinematography
1. The Social Network
2. Enter the Void
3. Somewhere
4. I Saw the Devil
5. The Kids Are All Right

Best Visual Effects
1. Enter the Void
2. The Social Network
3. Scott Pilgrim vs the World


Hopefully this made everyone rage on several ocassions. Politics were NOT a factor. Like, at all. Seriously. I mean it.

More Oscar Speculation

Just stitched this together real quick since I'm bored as dick.

Best Picture:
127 Hours
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Somewhere
Toy Story 3
True Grit
The Way Back

I'm sticking by TWB and Somewhere til the end, yall. They have fallen off lots of lists for stuff like Another Year and Black Swan. BUT I WILL NOT BUDGE.

Best Director:
Ethan & Joel Coen - True Grit
David Fincher - The Social Network
Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Peter Weir - The Way Back

Danny Boyle could replace Weir or Nolan.

Lead Actor:
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Robert Duvall - Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours

Dropped Dorff (Somewhere is losing hype for the moment) and Pitt (Since Tree of Life was postponed) for Eisenberg and Franco.

Lead Actress:
Annette Benning - The Kids Are All Right
Anne Hathaway - Love and Other Drugs
Carey Mulligan - Never Let Me Go
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Dropped Kidman for Steinfeld. Probably me just being hopeful for the Coen bros, but she looks pretty good in the trailer. Her and Mulligan could both be replaced by Kidman though... or Julianne Moore is she is pushed as Lead instead of Supporting...

Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
Ed Harris - The Way Back
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Rockwell replaces Penn (Tree of Life). Supporting is hard to predict but Bale and Rush are being hyped like crazy so they should get in. Garfield might also get in for Never Let Me Go and his fellow supporter, Justin Timberlake, has been mentioned as possible candidate for this category as well. Please note that this category has Batman, Spider-Man, and Justin Hammer in it... it would be awesome if those three got in and Ruffalo and Renner snuck in somehow...

Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams - The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Elle Fanning - Somewhere
Lesley Manville - Another Year
Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right

This will be easer to predict than Supporting Actor. Manville is getting all sorts of hype and Hereafter (Bryce Dallas Howard) is getting meh reviews, so they switch.

Original Screenplay:
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
Somewhere

The middle three are probably locked in.

Adapated Screenplay:
Never Let Me Go
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
The Way Back

Again, middle three are probably locks >_>


Welp, that's all I feel like doing for the moment. Pardon any spelling/grammatical errors since I typed this up so quickly.

NFC Power Rankings

Well I don't really have an introduction. I hope I anger the homers out there.

Saints
SB champs. Only notable losses are Mike Bell and Scott Fujita (and Jamal Brown though he didn't play a snap last year). I doubt they'll be repeating though since Brees has been hexed by DAT MADDEN CURSE.

Packers
Rodgers is proving that he is elite. The O-Line was getting better as the season was closing and if that carries over into this year, we might see an even better offense. The defense needs to take it up a notch though and show that it can handle top offenses.

Cowboys
Very good team all around. The three headed back, Jason Witten, and the potentially deadly duo of Miles and Dez is scary offense. They had a top ten defense last year and will probably stay that way this year though they need better safety play.

Vikings
I'd have Minny here whether or not Favre came back. Rice and Harvin are a great duo for T-Jax to work with. AP will need to stay healthy now though with Chester Taylor gone. Also, Jared Allen beating up on decent O-Lines (instead of just bad ones) could help them a lot.

49ers
Alex Smith was getting better as the season went on. A full year with Vernon Davis, Crabs, and a healthy Gore should make this offense great. The bolstering of the O-Line with two big name rookies helps too. Coupled with their top ten defense, this team is suddenly a contender.

Falcons
Losing Matt Ryan and Michael Turner for a chunk of last season doomed them from being a WC team. This year, Turner is back in the best shape of his life and Ryan is 100%. The only question lies in their secondary. It was weak last year and signing Duntae Robinson who has been on the decline doesn't seem like enough. The offense will really have to turn it on if they want to go deep into the playoffs.

Panthers
The Panthers seem to rely on QB play to determine if they're any good or not. If Moore and Clausen are game managers with D-Will, J-Stew, and (hopefully a healthy) Steve Smith, this team should do fine on the offensive side of the ball. But losing Julius Peppers hurts them as he was the only source of sacks. Someone needs to step up in the pass rush if they are going to keep their status as a top ten defense and WC contender.

Eagles
The big question marks here are Kevin Kolb and LeSean McCoy. They are both big pieces to the puzzle and entering their first years as starters. Kolb is surrounded by weapons with D-Jax, Maclin, and Celek so it should open up the running game, but they have to hope McCoy is ready for the full load. Adding Brandon Graham and Nate Allen should help in the pass defense too.

Cardinals
Losing Kurt Warner basically sealed the 2010 fate of Arizona. Matt Leinart hasn't played well in his chances. No more Boldin doesn't help either. They are getting better with the run game though thanks to Beanie Wells and the addition of Alan Faneca. On defense they added Kerry Rhodes and Jerry Porter while losing Antrel Rolle and Karlos Dansby. Probably looking at a sub-500 season.

Giants
The Giants suffered a Mets-like collapse last season, finishing 3-8. They need Jacobs and Bradshaw to turn it up to help Eli Manning is his great group of receivers. Over on defense they added Antrel Rolle who makes their safeties infinitely better than last season. However, the Giants really aren't spectacular at anything besides the air game and I don't see them making a playoff push like they seemed to do at the beginning of last year.

Bears
Oh, Bears. Gave up your future for a QB that threw 26 INTs. Cutler still doesn't have a #1 WR and the O-Line hasn't improved. Forte needs to recover from his sophomore slump in a bad way if that offense is gonna be worth a damn. On defense, Peppers will probably give 50% since he's past pay day but a healthy Urlacher could possibly inspire the group. I don't see this team doing much.

Redskins
This team won't be good as long as they continue to acquire washed-up famous players. McNabb only has Santana and Cooley to throw to which is garbage compared to his options in Philly. Four running backs who are old and no longer relevant will not help him either despite Shanahan's genius. This team is doomed. At least they have Orakpo and Carter getting sacks.

Seahawks
Hasselbeck and Whitehurst are their QBs. Not a good thing. If they want to have a halfway decent offense they NEED to start Forsett. Over on defense they have Aaron Curry, Kelly Jennings, and Lawrence Jackson who are all colossal busts. Just a really poor team all around besides some bright spots like Tatupu and Carlson.

Lions
Well they are certainly trying to build an offense. Stafford showed flashes of brilliance against poor teams, they have an elite WR, they can abuse two tight end sets with Pettigrew and Scheffler, and Best is a great pick at RB. However, their defense is atrocious. Adding Suh and Vanden Bosch should help a bit but in next year's draft, they HAVE to get O-Line help and more defense if they want to make a playoff push in the near future.

Bucs
No running game. No receivers for (a potentially good) Freeman besides Winslow. They are certainly building a defense for the future with McCoy/Price and their good pair of safeties in Jackson/Piscatelli. But until they get some offense, they are doing nothing in a strong and balanced NFC South division.

Rams
The Rams are depressing. Steven Jackson is rotting out there all by himself. I'm not sure Bradford is ready for the NFL yet and he really has no one to pass to besides Avery, who would be nothing more than slot guy on most teams. They have no defense thanks to awful picks like Chris Long and Adam Carriker the past few seasons. These guys are going nowhere for awhile.

NFL Pre-PreSeason Predictions

Behold, the playoff twelve (with correct seeding):

AFC
1. Ravens
2. Colts
3. Chargers
4. Dolphins
5. Bengals
6. Steelers

Ravens are paper champs. Colts always go at least 12-4... Chargers have a cupcake schedule and face no challenge out in the West. Dolphins are very improved. Patriots are going to start losing steam, I think. Jets are going to be held back by Sanchez and have to REALLY hope that Greene/Tomlinson can produce on the ground. Bengals have a top ten D and it looks ike they might have a top ten O if Palmer can regain "Great" status. The Steelers will survive Ben's suspension thanks to their stout defense and the fact that Ward/Wallace/Miler/Mendenhall are great weapons for Dixon/Leftwich.

NFC
1. Packers
2. Cowboys
3. Saints
4. 49ers
5. Vikings
6. Panthers

Packers are very well-rounded and improved the O-Line which was their only huge problem last year. Cowboys are very solid all around as well. Saints did not lose anyone major from last season to I expect them to have a nice run, though Brees will be struck with the curse >_> 49ers have been improving lately. A full season of Crabtree will help Alex Smith a lot, as does improving the O-Line in the draft. The Vikings have a tough schedule that includes cold outdoor games which will hurt them since they enjoy being inside. If Favre leaves I might make them miss the playoffs... the Panthers would have been a playoff team last year if it weren't for John Fox sticking with Delhomme for so long. If Moore and Clausen game manage, the rushing attack and top ten defense should carry them to a WC spot.


Also, Dolphins beat 49ers in the Super Bowl.

Remy Drives a Linguini

Well, I was tagged by Jazz-Fan for this thing. I shall do it, but I won't tah anyone since everyone I'd tag was tagged by Jazz >_>

Hopefully shuffle does not embarrass me too badly.

  1. "Put Your iTunes (or other music player) on Shuffle.
  2. For each question, press the next button to get your answer.
  3. You must write down the name of the song no matter how silly it sounds!
  4. Put any comments in brackets after the song name.

Let's Begin!

1.If someone says, "Is this okay?" You say

"Rat in a Maze" by Shade Empire... doesn't really make sense, and I'm sure most of these won't.

2. How would you describe yourself?

"Love" by Gojira... :oops:

3.What do you like in a guy/girl?

"Good Day" by The Dresden Dolls... so happy chicks are what I like? I dunno, man.

4.How do you feel today?

"Simian Manifesto" by Slough Feg... no comment

5.What is your life's purpose?

"Hardworlder" by Slough Feg... does this mean my life is going to be hard? That blows.

6.What is your motto?

"Sick" by Seven Wiser... I do use the world a lot as a synonym for "cool"

7.What do your friends think of you?

"End of Time" by Gojira... maybe they want to be my friend until the end of time?!

8.What do you think of your parents?

"Embrace the World" by Gojira... does this mean I love them?!

9.What do you think about very often?

"Bearer of Pain" by Candlemass... I am a disturbed person

10.What is 2 + 2?

"Shackled to Guilt" by Anata... this is stupid.

11.What do you think of your best friend?

"I, the Witchfinder" by Electric Wizard... so he's Vincent Price!?

12.What do you think of the person you like?

"An Incarnation's Dream" by Atheist... that sounds like a good thing!

13.What is your life story?

"Deliverance" by Lost Horizon... I was told to squeal like a pig...

14.What do you want to be when you grow up?

"The Perfect Fit" by The Dresden Dolls... this is ambiguous and thus does not help me decide what I should major in :(

15.What do you think of when you see the person you like?

"Resurrection" by Fear Factory... does this mean I feel born again and fresh when I see her?!

16.What will you dance to at your wedding?

"House of 1000 Corpses" by Rob Zombie... Oh my God this is embarrassing, that song is SO bad, why is it on my iPod?!?!

17.What will they play at your funeral?

"ARX-NG 891" by Candlemass... that sounds all futuristic. Maybe I'll love to be really old and go to space and have a flying car and stuff.

18.What is your hobby/interest?

"Block" by Machine Head... playing Tetris?

19.What is your biggest fear?

"Our Fortress is Burning... III - The Grain" by Agalloch... yeah, my house burning down would suck

20.What is your biggest secret?

"I Been Gone a Long Time" by Every Time I Die... sounds like a depressing secret

21.What do you think of your friends?

"Pixillate" by The Devin Towsend Band... I don't know if that is supposed to be good or bad....

22.What will you put as the title?

"Remy Drives a Linguini" by Michael Giacchino... great score! And man, what a bunch of crappy answers >_>

I hope you enjoyed reading this terrible blog.

Half-year Oscar Predictions

Not a whole lot has changed since I did the 1/3 Year Predictions... but here goes anyway. Nothing is in any particular order. I hope you enjoy reading really half-assed explanations that are written at 2am.

Best Picture:
The Fighter
Hereafter
Inception
The King's Speech
Miral
Somewhere
Toy Story 3
The Tree of Life
True Grit
The Way Back

Not a whole lot of change here. I dropped The Social Network because the movie could very easily be uninteresting, and Fincher has never done comedy (the script is supposedly hilarious). It is very close to being up there though. I also dropped Love and Other Drugs since Ed Zwick movies are always frontrunners for Oscars to start the year but then end up just being lame Oscar bait. It will probably be a top 15-20 contender though, like last year's Invictus, Star Trek, The Messenger, etc. I decided to add Miral, which is a big story in the middle east. It is directed by Julian Schnabel whose previous movies have been recognized by the Academy (Before Night Falls and The Diving Bell and the Butterfly). I think this is the time for a movie of his to get a BP nomination. I also added The Fighter. It has a great cast with Mark Wahlberg, Christian Bale, Amy Adams, and Melissa Leo. The Oscars love boxing and early screenings say the movie is great.

Movies that just missed the cut:
The Social Network
Love and Other Drugs
Winter's Bone (I think this is too under-the-radar for the Academy)
Black Swan (Academy enjoys robbing Aronofsky movies)
Never Let Me Go (I'm hesitant because Romanek only has one other movie under his belt)
The American (see above, but replace Romanek with Corbjin)
The Kids Are All Right (this will probably be too low-profile)

Best Director:
Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Ethan and Joel Coen - True Grit
Peter Weir - The Way Back
Sofia Coppola - Somewhere

No changes here. If you want to know some people that missed the cut, look at the directors of the other BP contenders >_>

Lead Actor:
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Stephen Dorff - Somewhere
Robert Duvall - Get Low
Brad Pitt - The Tree of Life
Colin Firth - The King's Speech

Dropped Gylenhaal for Dorff. After seeing the trailer for Somewhere, i think it'll be a big hit with the Academy. Sofia Coppola previously directed a Lead Actor nominee and I see it happening again.

People who just missed the cut:
Jake Gylenhaal - Love and Other Drugs (everyone else seems like a sure-fire nominee, so he loses out)
George Clooney - The American (I can't see the Academy putting 3/5 of last year's nominees back in)
Johnny Depp - The Rum Diary (not goofy, unlike Depp's other nods)
Mark Wahlberg - The Fighter (probably the weakest link out of his fellow cast)
Leo DiCaprio - Inception (probably gonna be too much action in Inception for him to show off)
Matt Damon - Hereafter (Eastwood does well for his actors but the competition is too stiff)

Lead Actress:
Anne Hathaway - Love and Other Drugs
Annette Benning - The Kids Are All Right
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Carey Mulligan - Never Let Me Go

Dropped Julia Roberts since Eat Pray Love seems like such a... Lifetime movie. Helen Mirren dropped out for now because The Tempest looks strange. >_> Hathaway is getting rave reviews for her performance in LaOD. Mulligan is getting big after her nomination last year and it looks like she'll shine in NLMG.

People who just missed the cut:
Julia Roberts - Eat, Pray, Love
Helen Mirren - The Tempest
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone (could easily sneak in, like Melissa Leo in 2008 )
Freida Pinto - Miral (Schnabel gets great performances out of his actors but again, this is a tough year)
Hilary Swanke - Conviction (Swanke is big with the Academy and this movie is Oscar bait, but I think she'll miss out for a second straight year)
Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine (seems too low profile of a movie)

Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Josh Brolin - True Grit
Sean Penn - The Tree of Life
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
Ed Harris - The Way Back

Absolutely zero change here. >_> People who just missed the cut...

Chris Cooper - The Company Men (he's a great actor and this seems great for him, just lots of tough competition)
Matt Damon - True Grit (Brolin gets the better role so he'll sap votes)
Willem Dafoe - Miral (again, Schnabel does well with actors, just others will do better)

Supporting Actress:
Bryce Dallas Howard - Hereafter
Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right
Jessica Chastain - The Tree of Life
Imelda Staunton - Another Year
Elle Fanning - Somewhere

Supporting actress is weak this year. Dropped Helena Bonham Carter for Fanning. Fanning could easily be lead, but for now, I am assuming she doesn't show up right as the movie starts and will be billed as a supporter. Along with Bonham Carter, Melissa Leo and Amy Adams from The Fighter who I mentioned earlier could pick up nominations. Marion Cotillard in Inception, too, since she looks like she'll get lots of dramatic parts to show off her chops.

Original Screenplay:
Toy Story 3
Hereafter
The Tree of Life
Somewhere
The Fighter

Dropped The King's Speech since I foundout it's based on a play, and thus, not original >_> The Fighter gets in because it is a BP nomination.

Some that missed the cut:
Black Swan (since the Academy has never rewarded Aronofsky with a nomination)
The Beaver (this was at the top of the blacklist a year or two ago but being a dark comedy lowers it's chances a bit)
The Kids Are All Right (is a BP contender so it should be close)
Inception (too action-y of a script)

Adapted Screenplay:
The King's Speech
True Grit
The Way Back
The Social Network
The Rum Diary

Love and Other Drugs is dropped for The King's Speech, as it is more dialogue heavy. Other ones who missed the cut:

Miral (just doesn't seem like the script would be as talky and it is one of the "lesser" BP nominations)
Never Let Me Go (Alex Garland isn't exactly a prestiguous writer but his material could help him)
Winter's Bone (again, low profile)

Animated Feature:
Toy Story 3
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist

These are all pretty obviously going to be the nominees. I'm not sure if there are going to be five this year though. If there are, I would guess that Despicable Me and Legend of the Guardians would be the other two, with Shrek being right behind.

Documentary:
12th & Delaware
Restrepo
EXit Through the Gift Shop
Casino Jack and the United States of Money
Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work

I don't know jack **** about the documentaries this year. I know Restrepo, Joan Rivers and Exit are all getting rave reviews. 12th and Delaware is being done by the Jesus Camp people and I'm sure the liberal Academy will eat up the fact that it is about abortion clinics. Casino Jack is by Alex Gibney who has gotten two nominations before, and there is always a political documentary that gets in. 45365 is another acclaimed doc that I can think of. And uh... that's all I have to say about documentaries.


Well, there you have it. Those are my terrible predictions for the Oscars a half-year before nominees are announced! Please leave comments where you make fun of me for wasting my time on this and/or questioning my god-awful explanations as to why certain people wouldn't get nominated!!!

1/3 Year Oscar Predictions.

I'm bored as all hell right now so I made "1/3 Year Predictions" even though all of this is 100% speculation and ummmm that's about it. Not gonna go into other possible nominees because that would take years.

Best Picture:
Hereafter
Inception
Love and Other Drugs
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Somewhere
Toy Story 3
The Tree of Life
True Grit
The Way Back

Why would these be nominated for Best Picture?: Hereafter is scripted by Peter Morgan (The Queen, Frost/Nixon) and directed by Clint Eastwood. 'Nuff said. In fact, a lot of these are "'nuff said" movies. Inception I feel will be the D9/Avatar of the year in that it will be hugely popular and make lots of $$$ but it won't get anything but technical awards. Maybe an original screenplay nod if the dialogue is top notch, but it seems pretty action/thriller so I dunno if it will excel on dialogue. *shrug* Anyway, Love and Other Drugs is made by notorious Oscar baiter Ed Zwick. This one has a nice cast attached to it and is getting good buzz. It is being billed as the dramatic rom-com of the yar (kinda like Up in the Air). The King's Speech is being directed by Tom Hooper (John Adams, The Damned United), is a period piece, and has a huge cast. The Social Network is being made by critic favorites David Fincher and Aaron Sorkin. It isn't really the most thrilling premise though and I could see it easily not being nominated. Somewhere is by Sofia Coppola and is supposedly a retun to the greatness of Lost in Translation. But as far as I know there isn't any romance, just a father and daughter reconnecting. MOVING ON. Toy Story 3 is Pixar and most Pixar movies would have been nominated for BP if there were ten nominees over the past few years. Don't see why TS3 will be any different. The Tree of Life, True Grit, and The Way Back are all directed by directors who have gotten Oscars and have nice casts to carry the movies. All three of these should be guaranteed nominees.

Director:
Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Joel & Ethan Coen - True Grit
Terrence malick - The Tree of Life
Peter Weir - The Way Back

I think TKS is going to be a huge acting movie which will get Hooper a lot of credit. Nolan is last year's Cameron. The Coen Bros are there for obvious reasons, as are Malick and Weir.

Lead Actor:
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Robert Duvall - Get Low
Jake Gyllenhaal - Love and Other Drugs
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Brad Pitt - The Tree of Life

Acting is hard to predict since most Oscar movies haven't revealed much info and we aren't sure if someone is doing lead or supporting. Now that that is out of the way, why do these guys get nominated? Well, Jeff Bridges is playing a character that gave John Wayne an Oscar. The Coen Bros. do a good job of getting nice performances and Bridges is hot off his first Oscar win. I wouldn't be surprised if he got two in a row. Duvall I think will be nominated because he is already getting a lot of buzz and because he's OLD and the Academy will honor him. Gyllenhaal will be the lone comedic role that gets a nomination like last year's Clooney. Firth is the lead in a big acting movie so it seems sort of obvious that he will get nominated. Pitt is a good actor and I'm sure Malick will get a lot out of him.

Lead Actress:
Annette Benning - The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Helen Mirren - The Tempest
Natale Portman - Black Swan
Julia Roberts - Eat, Pray, Love

Benning is a former Oscar winner and buzz for TKAAR says the actors are great. So that's that. Rabbit Hole is about a couple dealing with the death of their son so I am sure Kidman will get plenty of time to BAWW and stuff which the Acaemy will like. Mirren has been on fire the past few years and I'm sure she will do a lot wth her role in The Tempest. Aronofsky is a great director for actors. The movie is also supposed to be all psychological thriller-y and that will give Portman some scenes to look all FREAKED OUT in. EPL is an Oprah movie and Roberts is the only lead I think so she should have lots of screentime to make the case for an Oscar.

Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Josh Brolin - True Grit
Ed Harris - The Way Back
Sean Penn - The Tree of Life
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Bale gets to play a coked out boxing trainer. The Fighter is also supposedly getting good buzz so that helps. Brolin put on a great show in NCFOM and now he gets to work with the Coens again but he'll probably be talking more. Will that help? I have no idea! Matt Damon could also get in there (for True Grit or Hereafter). Harris got an Oscar nom under the direction of Weir and I don't see why he won't get another chance. Penn always gets nominated for Oscars... Rush plays a cooky guy in the biggest ensemble of the year, so...

Supporting Actress:
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Keira Knightley - Never Let Me Go
Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right
Imelda Staunton - Another Year
Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

HBC gets in for being in that movie. Never Let Me Go has a big female cast and I think Knightley is the one who stands out. Moore is a big Oscar actress and as mentioned earlier, TKAAR is getting good acting buzz. Imelda Staunton was nominated thanks to Mike Leigh a few years ago. And that is right, I put her in there despite the fact that NO ONE knows what that movie is about or what sort of role Staunton plays. >_> Steinfeld is a no name but the Coen bros get no names to do well all the time. She might end up being a lead though.

Original Screenplay:
Hereafter
The King's Speech
Somewhere
Toy Story 3
The Tree of Life

Peter Morgan for Hereafter has two other nominations. I don't see why he can't get a third. Coppola can easily get a second nod. Malick is pretty obvious. Toy Story 3 could easily fall out if Inception does well in the dialogue department as I said earlier. The King's Speech is probably going to be pretty talky, so there it is.

Adapted Screenplay:
Love and Other Drugs
The Rum Diary
The Social Network
True Grit
The Way Back

LOAD gets in since it is a BP nom and the lone 'dromromcom' >_> Bruce Robinson probably made good use of Hunter Thompson's book. Aaron Sorkin's screenplay has been circulating around the web and is getting lots of praise. The last two are, once again, obvious.

Animated Feature:
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Don't think enough animated movies are being released this year to make it five nominees. HTTYD is a surprise to everyone and is a lock already. The Illusionist is by the same people that made The Triplets of Belleville and the script is by Jacques Tati, so that is probably a lock too. Then there is the other lock... Toy Story 3. I bet you all the money in the world that these three movies will be the nominees.


And that is all I care to do right now. Please leave a comment bashing my predictions and posting your own!

2010 Oscar Predictions/Thoughts/Rants/Musings

Ooooh, my first blog. Let's see how this goes. I think I'm going to try to do EVERY category. That's right, all twenty-four of them. So... shall we begin?


Best Motion Picture of the Year

What will win? - The Hurt Locker seems to be a near-lock at this point. It's gotten the support from the DGA and PGA as well as being the highest reviewed movie of all BP nominees. With nine nominations, it is tied with it's only competitor, Avatar. That is the only problem. The Hurt Locker made only $15~ million in the box office, which would be the lowest gross for a Best Picture winner since, uh, ever. Avatar, on the other hand, made... 1,985,000,000 more dollars. It is hard to deny the popularity and great reviews it has gotten. Avatar however, lacks acting nominations as well as the Screenplay nod (last BP winner to not get a Screenplay nomination was Titanic lolololol). Along with that, sci-fi buffs in the Academy may choose to place District 9 over Avatar. That could hurt its chances a little with more points going to District 9.

What do I want to win? - I would really like to see Up in the Air win, as it is my favorite movie of the year. But sadly, there is very little chance of that winning. It didn't get a nomination for Editing, which might not seem like a big deal, but that last BP winner to not get a nomination in that category was Ordinary People, all the way back in 1980. It probably has the 5th or 6th best chance at winning (the movie it might switch places with is Distrcit 9, which *did* get an Editing nod).

Possible upsets? - Inglourious Basterds has been picking up steam and I'd put it at #3 behind THL and Avatar. The eight nominations looks good, it has lots of technical nominations, and the biggest helpers are the Original Screenplay/Editing nod. However, basterds wasn't super praised by Europeans, and there are plenty of Europeans in the Academy who may place it lower on the vote. Precious got that Editing nom over Up in the Air so I would place it at 4th. Very slim chances to win as it seems to be over the hill since it first started getting buzz at Sundance, which was over a year ago... still better chances than UitA and D9 though.

Other Thoughts/Rants/Musings - Well, a lot of these movies have zero chance at winning. A Serious Man is going nowhere with just a Screenplay nod. An Education only has a Screenplay and Acting nod. Up obviously has no shot. And of course... The Blind Side. Where the **** did that come from? All TBS got was an Acting nomination. AND it knocked out Invictus which was considered a lock all year! When you look at the fringe movies trying to scramble in for the last spot, like A Serious Man, Crazy Heart, The Messenger, Star Trek, and The Blind Side, TBS has the least amount of nominations when disregarding the BP nod (well, it's actually tied with A Serious Man, but whatever)! The Messenger got Orig. Screenplay/Supp Actor (Orig. Screenplay really should have helped it get over TBS), Star Trek got loads of technical stuff, and Crazy Heart got three nice nominations, and I figured that on acting alone it could bully its way into the top ten. But NOPE. You got The Blind Side. Zero chance of winning. Ten nominations is a dumb idea.


Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Who will win? - Well it certainly seems like Jeff Bridges will win for his performance in Crazy Heart. He already got the SAG and GG which are the biggest precursors. Plus, he's been nominated four other times and the Academy loves to reward people for long, good careers like Bridges has had.

Who do I want to win? - Well, I've only seen two of the movies, so I guess I'm too knowledgeable on the subject, but I did prefer Clooney over Renner. He really seemed to be Ryan Bingham in Up in the Air, and Clooney is one of those Actors that I hear people criticize for "playing themselves". But I really thought he put on a great show. Probably my favorite performance of the year, even over FAU's beloved Sam Rockwell.

Possible upsets? - Clooney won a lot of critic circle awards, so I'd give him the second best chance of winning. Renner has THL to help him out a bit though. I don't see Firth or Freeman winning.

Other Thoughts/Rants/Musings? - If Invictus managed to not get pushed out of the way by The Blind Side, I'd say Freeman would have had a shot. Also, even though I haven't seen all of these movies, I am going to go ahead and say that Rockwell was snubbed.


Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Who will win? - Sandra Bullock. There is no doubt about it. Had The Blind Side not been nominated for BP, it would have been a close race (the only race among the four acting nominations, really).

Who do I want to win? - I have no idea! I've only seen Sidibe's performance in Precious which was good but I'm not sure if I'd call it "Oscar-worthy."

Possible upsets? - Meryl Streep was the only person with a chance other than Bullock and it has been squashed by TSB being a BP nominee. So...

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Helen Mirren wouldn't have won in a close race anyway since she just got this same award not too long ago. Mulligan has been praised a bunch for her performance and she has two Oscar-y movies coming out this year so she may get a chance very soon, as will Mirren, who is going to be getting a great role in The Tempest this year. Sidibe has lost lots of steam like most of the Precious crew has.


Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Who will win? - Christoph Waltz. Duh.

Who do I want to win? - I preferred Tucci to Waltz. I don't know if I want a crappy movie like The Lovely Bones to be awarded with anything though.

Possible upsets? - Christopher Plummer, who was getting a lot of hype earlier in the year. He's old as hell and probably won't have another chance for an Oscar, so the Academy might feel the need to give him one. That is highly, HIGHLY unlikely though.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Nice to see Damon and Woody get nominated. I like them. I'm sure Damon will get more buzz this year with Green Zone and Hereafter. That's really all I have to say about that.


Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Who will win? - Mo'Nique. She has been the favorite since Sundance, before the 2009 Oscar nominees were even announced.

Who do I want to win? - I enjoyed Vera Farmiga's performance quite a bit. She was basically a female Ryan Bingham. I preferred her to Kendrick, though I appear to be in the minority on that.

Possible upsets? - I would say one of the ladies from Up in the Air, but they might steal votes from each other. Mo'Nique has this locked up

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Maggie Gyllenhaal getting in was a bit of surprise. She knocked out Julianne Moore! I thought if anyone was going to sneak into this category, they would beat Penelope Cruz. Oh well. Moore is in Chloe, this year, which gives her a chance at being a Lead nominee in 2011. Also, I hope Cruz wears a revealing dress.


Best Achievement in Directing

Who will win? - All signs point to Kathryn Bigelow taking this one. The DGA win usually means with an Oscar win. Her ex-hubby is the biggest competition.

Who do I want to win? - Bigelow! Created loads of tension in numerous scenes and she also brought the best out of some very small-name actors.

Possible upsets? - Cameron is definitely the second most likely to win, but Tarantino may have a shot as well. And if that happens, expect Basterds to take BP as well.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Lee Daniels being nominated angers me. I really hope Cameron doesn't get the award. Avatar didn't have a load of suspense, the romance was shallow, and the acting left a lot to be desired.


Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

Who will win? - Good question. The Hurt Locker easily could as it is the favorite to win BP. But they may choose to give the win to something more wordy, like Inglourious Basterds, or something imaginative like Up. I am guessing THL soley because of it being a BP favorite.

Who do I want to win? - I would like to see A Serious Man win. I don't see the Oscar going to the deepest screenplay though, especially since this is the only other nomination for the movie.

Possible upsets? - As I mentioned earlier, I think this will be a three-man race. Basterds and Up could easily win as well.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - The Coens will win next year for Adapted if they get True Grit out quick enough. Pixar also gets another chance for Original with Toy Story 3. The Messenger not getting a BP nomination is odd considered it got into this category. (500) Days of Summer not getting in is a bit of a disappointment. It had been a favorite to get nominated all year.


Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Published or Produced

Who will win? - Up in the Air seems to be the favorite right now.

Who do I want to win? - Up in the Air, of course! Fantastic characters and clever dialogue. Loved it.

Possible upsets? - Precious and District 9 pose the biggest threats but I don't think either will manage to win.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - An Education doesn't have enough momentum to get this. In the Loop was a fringe contender to be nominated so it is extremely unlikely to win as well. It was a big spoiler for Invictus.


Aaaaaaand I have been writing this for nearly an hour. 1,729 words. Sweet Jesus. I can edit this to put in the other nominations, right? I need a break. .... Edit: OKAY TIME FOR PART TWO.


Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

Who will win? - Up is the best reviewed animated film of the year and won the GG. Oh, and it's the only animated movie to get a BP nomination. So...

Who do I want to win? - I liked Coraline just a little more, but there is no way that's winning.

Possible upsets? - Fantastic Mr. Fox *could* win if there is a miracle of some sort. Kind of like at last year's BAFTAs when Slumdog won Best Film and then lost Best British Film to Man on Wire, even though Man on Wire wasn't nominated for Best Film. This is an extreme longshot, of course.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - The Secret of the Kells being nominated might be the most shocking nomination of the year. Ponyo, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs, and Mary and Max were all much more widely seen and expected to be fighting for the last spot. Guess that just shows strong of a year it was for animtion. Hell, 2009 is probably THE BEST year for animation ever. Next year we can look forward to going back to three nominations. Toy Story 3 might have some strong competition with The Illusionist.


Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

Who will win? - It's a close race between A Prophet and The White Ribbon. They both have loads of critical acclaim, but A Prophet has no other nominations, whereas The White Ribbon has a cinematography nod. Michael Haneke is a big-name foreign director and the Academy may decide to award him with something. So I guess I'll give the edge to The White Ribbon.

Who do I want to win? - I have no idea. I only saw The White Ribbon. :/

Possible upsets? - I really don't see anything other than those two winning. It'd be a big surprise if something else did.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I... don't think I have any.


Best Documentary, Feature

Who will win? - The Cove. It's the higest reviewed doc of the year and has been the favorite all year.

Who do I want to win? - Again, no idea. I only saw Food, Inc.

Possible upsets? - Food, Inc. is probably the second most high-profile doc, so I would assume it could get a lot of votes. Probably not enough to beat The Cove.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I wonder if Michael Moore is angry he didn't get nominated, or even be chosen as a finalist. Really quite surprising he didn't get nominated considering most people think the Academy is liberal.


Best Achievement in Cinematography

Who will win? - I'm not too sure about this one. I would give the slight edge to The Hurt Locker for being an action movie that doesn't utilize shaky cam. Avatar did have a lot of vast landscapes though. However, a lot of Avatar was just... shooting a green screen. I'm not sure if the Academy would go for that. The White Ribbon was nominated and that's a foreign movie, and those usually don't get a whole lot of love outside of that category. Maybe they like it enough to give it the Oscar?

Who do I want to win? - The White Ribbon was the most beautifully shot movie I saw this year. I might tortue children if it doesn't win.

Possible upsets? - I'm not really sure if there could be an upset as it is a pretty wide open race. Basterds could even win. I really doubt Harry Potter's chances though since it wasn't even expected to get a nomination.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I still don't get why Avatar was nominated. The camera work sucked. >_>


Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score

Who will win? - I would say Giacchino's score for Up, as it won the GG. Avatar, composed by Horner, could win though.

Who do I want to win? - I've only heard Avatar's and Up's. Avatar's bothered me. Up's was very enjoyable.

Possible upsets? - I wouldn't be surprised if The Hurt Locker beat one of the big two contenders.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I haven't listened to Mansell's score for Moon, but everyone I know is flipping out about it not getting nom'd. He also got snubbed for The Fountain, apparently (never heard it either)? Poor guy.


Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song

Who will win? - Gonna with Crazy Heart's "The Weary Kind". It won the GG. So yeah.

Who do I want to win? - I haven't heard any of the songs hehe.

Possible upsets? - The two songs from The Princess and the Frog will take votes from each other. The Nine song isn't even the Nine song that everyone predicted being nominated (Cinema Italiano). I guess the other song... Faubourg 36... might win. Hey, FAU is in that title!

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Time for more Avatar bashing: I am glad "I See You" wasn't nominated.


Best Achievement in Visual Effects

Who will win? - Avatar...

Who do I want to win? - Avatar!

Possible upsets? - Lol.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I didn't think District 9's effects were very good. I would also like to point out that Transformers was not nominated and I find that amusing. They sure do hate Michael Bay.


Best Achievement in Makeup

Who will win? - Probably The Young Victoria.

Who do I want to win? - Someone not named "Star Trek".

Possible upsets? - Unfortunately, Star Trek might win.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I will be angry if Star Trek wins. Dumb movie. That's it.


Okay, break time again.... edit number two coming up.


Best Achievement in Art Direction

Who will win? - I'm going to go with Nine. It had big set pieces thanks to Rob Marshall and I think the Academy will try to find out some way to award Nine, which was a huge Oscar favorite when 2009 starterd.

What do I want to win? - I have only seen Avatar, so I can't really comment...

Possible upsets? - The Young Victora and The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus could snatch it up. I doubt Sherlock Holmes or Avatar will.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I thought Inglourious Basterds should have gotten a nomination. *shrug*


Best Achievement in Costume Design

Who will win? - This is tough to call since there are two period pieces as well a movie about Coco Chanel... I don't think the Academy will be that predictable and give it to Coco Before Chanel. Bright Star didn't get as many Oscar nominations as most thought it would, so I guess the Academy is disappointed in it. So I'm going with The Young Victoria.

What do I want to win? - I haven't seen any of these, so...

Possible upsets? - Any of the three I mentioned could easily take it.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Uh... nothing to add. :(


Best Achievement in Editing

Who will win? - The Hurt Locker. It has action and is the BP favorite. So I'm pretty sure it will win.

What do I want to win? - The Hurt Locker!

Possible upsets? - Inglourious Basterds or Avatar could take it. Both had a fair amount of action or tense scenes that required good editing and are the other top two BP nominees.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Precious was a big surprise, getting in over Up in the Air.


Best Achievement in Sound Mixing

Who will win? - Avatar. Dinosaurs or monsters or aliens or whatever those are make lots of noises. And explosions are everywhere. The Academy likes that stuff.

What do I want to win? - Avatar, I guess.

Possible upsets? - The Hurt Locker, since last year's BP winner got this award.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Hmmm... I got nothin'.


Best Achievement in Sound Editing

Who will win? - Avatar, again.

What do I want to win? - Hmmm... Avatar had nice nouses.

Possible upsets? - The Hurt locker blah blah blah.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - Nope.


Best Documentary, Short Subjects

Who will win? - The Last Truck.

What do I want to win? - I'm gonna go ahead and file this category under "I don't care".

Possible upsets? - China's Unnatural Disaster, since it is also depressing as hell.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - The only stuff that will win is gonna be either depressing or uplifting. These are the only two that standout as being one of those, so... that is how I came upon this decision.


Best Short Film, Live Action

Who will win? - The New Tenants since it has famous people.

What do I want to win? - I also do not care what wins this.

Possible upsets? - Hell if I know.

Other thoughts/rants/musings? - I should try to find these on YouTube or something.