Well, both have their goods and bads... I'm a casual fan aswell, but I like both of them.
Forza is a deep sim with a lot of car buying, racing, making money, upgrading, and then doing it again until you pretty much get all of the cars, and beat every race and unlock everything.
DiRT in my opinion drives better, has better physics, and looks better, but it doesn't have the custom options that are in forza. That is not necessarily a bad thing based on what kind of a racer it is... A rally racer.
If you are strictly a burnout fan, I don't think I can truly reccommend Forza, since it's sense of speed has never really been there... But then again, it is a driving game... And more about the handles and the cars.
So, if your going to make a choice, make one based on what kind of game you really want. If you haven't played the demo for DiRT yet, check it out.
They also have the demo for forza 2, but I don't really think it appropriately show's the game that well.
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