@famicommander
Look I agree this is getting tiring but I do have valid points, and it seems you do as well. Heres the thing. I already admitted that I was misinformed about Nintendo already pulling a small profit after the price cut. That was my mistake. You said October/November and I said that they could already be making a profit since they are now in the range announced. Realistically we are probably both wrong and they will begin to profit sometime this summer, in the middle of our proposed dates.
Now about the Vita and its games. The Japanese Vita conference and whatever media coverage they recieved is NOTHING compared to E3. Wasting a bunch of reveals at something like that would be a wasted oppurtunity and more than likely they dont have much ready to announce, or much to show at this point. To put it simply Sony really was unprepared for the Vita launch in terms of game development (probably because they wanted to relase the Vita sooner to not fall too far behind the 3DS). The games theyre developing either arent ready to be shown, or they are waiting for E3 like I said earlier. About the specific games I mentioned, were just a bunch of AAA franchises Sony COULD release for the Vita. My whole point was that there is plenty left that Sony could release, in response to you saying they were screwed after the mixed reception to Uncharted and Hot Shots. Even so Ill respond to your criticisms about each series I named.
God of War- glad you agree, but dont underestimate God of War as a system seller
Final Fantasy-X as you mentioned is coming out, and the fact that its a multiplat is a shame. However it that doesnt mean that they couldnt announce another
Call of Duty- the definition of a system seller (unfortunately). While they havent recieved much love on the portables, dont forget that a Call of Duty portable game hasnt been released or hyped since before the series hit it big with MW (other than the DS releases but the DS isnt exactly the call of duty audience.) The BIGGEST change that could affect the Vitas sales is this new brand awareness. If marketed properly it could very well reach the COD audience and get them to buy the system. There is also no proof that this will be a port, and could be an entirely "original" game, especially since it is being developed by a different team and probably has been in development longer than the next console COD. Plus the dual analog sticks allow it to be played properly for the first time on a handheld. This is probably the biggest game changer in terms of the future of the VIta
Metal Gear Solid- 4 ORIGINAL games were developed for the PsP, making it not to hard to imagine that Sony and Konami are cooking something up for its succesor.
Grand Theft Auto- Nobody said it had to be an exclusive. A "stories" version of GTA4 would be eaten up by fans.
Twisted Metal- agree with you here, its not exactly a system seller but it IS a franchise worth mentioning
My whole point with ALL this has always been that there are plenty of other options Sony has to consider before commiting financial suicide by dropping its price. Youve never exactly come up with a solution to the whole digging themselves into a whole by selling the Vita at a $110 dollar loss, other than saying that they have no other choice, which as Ive said all along they have plenty. The price drop is the LAST option Sony should be considering.
Thats the difference between you and I. You already believe they should be jumping ship, while I think they have plenty of options left to fix their situation before going down with it. I will say though that If they do everything Ive predicted (game announcements,marketing,bundles) and its sales havent improved by the end of the year. A price drop WILL happen. Probably mid next year,.
@daiyume
I had considered how tech becomes cheaper when I made my original argument. I still stick with the 6 years thing. When Sony made 3 years until profitability announcement that assume they wouldve accounteed for that factor. That was made under the assumption that the Vita would be selling moderatly well. Given the crap sales of the Vita so far that profitability analysis is probably 4 years or more to become profitable at the current $60 loss. If I hadnt accounted for the lower cost of tech I wouldve said that they would be profitable in 7-8 years at the $110 dollar loss.
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