I can't make headlines like this up, so here's Ars Technica!
Estimating Xboxes
"Determining those ratios was not a simple process. As a starting point, we used Microsoft's announcement that it had shipped five million units of the Xbox One as of mid-April. Since then, the company has only released quarterly reports on how many total Xbox systems have shipped, lumping the Xbox 360 and the Xbox One together, which obscures the new console's true market performance.
For the April to June quarter, there were 1.1 million combined Xbox shipments. For the July through September quarter, there were 2.4 million combined Xbox shipments. Add all those numbers together, and you get an absolute ceiling of 8.5 million potential Xbox One shipments through September. For the new system to hit that ceiling, though, you'd have to assume that Microsoft has shipped exactly zero Xbox 360 units in the last six months, which is obviously false.So how many Xbox 360 units did Microsoft ship in that time? We don't know for sure, but we can try to extrapolate from the previous years' performance. From quarterly reports, we know that Microsoft shipped 2.3 million Xbox 360 units in the April to September time frame in 2013. That's down from 2.8 million during the same six-month period in 2012..........."
Pondering PlayStations
"For the PlayStation 4, the estimation process is a little simpler. Sony announced on August 12 that it had sold 10 million PS4 units through to consumers worldwide. That announcement came 130 days after the company announced seven million sales, meaning Sony had sold an average of just over 23,000 PS4 units a day in the intervening period.
Even assuming PS4 sales absolutely cratered after that, selling half as quickly, Sony would still have sold about 560,000 additional PS4 units in the 49 days from August 12 to the end of September. Add that, and we get a floor of about 10.56 million PS4s sold through the end of September, compared to a ceiling of about 7.42 million Xbox One units sold by the same time.
Dividing those numbers out leaves us with the PS4 selling about 42 percent better than the Xbox One, with Sony's system representing about 59 percent of the two-console market. And remember, this estimate is making assumptions that are quite generous to the Xbox One and quite pessimistic for the PlayStation 4. The real ratio might be even less encouraging for Microsoft..........."
I think this is good SW material and there's more to the article of course :)
Discuss.
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