Let's predict Xbox One OPENING JAPANESE SALES.

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Edited 29 days, 23 hours ago

Poll: Let's predict Xbox One OPENING JAPANESE SALES. (85 votes)

50,000 55%
100,000 14%
200,000 11%
300,000 4%
400,000 1%
500,000 15%

Now keep in mind this is when Xbox One first goes on the report. The Xbox One comes out In japan sept 4 or 6 depending on what confusing source you decide to believe, but most say 6th so eh. This would be on a Saturday meaning that report on Xbox One sales will not happen until 6 days later..

The first thing people should think about is that Xbox has had decent opening before. The Xbox 360 did over 250,000 however, it was also cheap and released with a decent library,

The second thing to think about is that the PS4 while games being an issue, opened at around 300,000 although the lack of real game announcements hurt it quite a bit and still have this issue.

SO NOW we get to the Xbox One launch. The Xbox One will be launching with 29 games and 3 confirmed SKUs and one rumored one: Xbox One with Kinect bundled with Kinect Sports and Titanfall, The Kinectless SKU, a regular Kinect SKU, and a rumore Kinectless SKU bundled with Crimson Dragon and Killer Instinct.

Out of the 29 known (it is said they added a few more but they have not brought those out to the open yet) you have 2 exclusive Japanese games and 8 Multiplatform japanese games (3 with additional content, making a total of 10 Japanese oriented games at launch. This along with 7 European games, 3 General Asian games, and 9 American games.

This opening is the complete opposite of what we saw from the competition. While it is still debatable how the legs of the Xbox One will be and also, it will launch before TGS, it could go either way in staying consistent. But I believe that the Xbox one due to this will at least have similar numbers to the PS4 launch or at max a bit more.

The Japanese price of Kinect Xbox One is equal to roughly $450 while the Kinectless is roughly around $350, but keep in mind the rise of taxes and inflation of japanese yen so these are actually some good deals similar to the U.S. pricing.

I think that the 300,000 range is what the Xbox one will due, it may be possible to slightly pass the PS4. I am a little iffy of it doing 400,000 opening.

But keep in mind this is just the opening.

#51 Posted by LustForSoul (5843 posts) -

360 has sold 1.6m in 9 years in Japan. Based on that, I'd go with less than 50k on release.

#52 Posted by nutcrackr (12465 posts) -

PS4 did 300k but is doing 6k per week in Japan now?

I guess maybe 150k for xbone, but people should be prepared for really horrendous sales.

#53 Posted by _Matt_ (8867 posts) -

I'd say somewhere between 225-275k. It's not going to do bad for am XBox but I think it will still struggle to open to a massive amount of sales.

#54 Posted by lamprey263 (23142 posts) -

It's got Crimson Dragon and the Psycho-Pass game (or maybe that's coming later in the year), and Titanfall got some interest from them. I can see 100K but I don't expect it to maintain much momentum after launch.

#55 Posted by xhawk27 (7229 posts) -

The Xbox One is the worlds most powerful all-in-one entertainment console ever made. Once the world see's that this is going to take off in sales. Thank you Microsoft. ^_^

#56 Posted by Speak_Low (942 posts) -

It's not going to be pretty at all.

But the pre-order charts on Amazon shown a few weeks ago was truly an odd thing. I didn't expect any Xbox One's to be pre-ordered from Amazon Japan, but for some crazy, inexplicable reason, it actually had a lot ordered. I'm not sure what that means, but there is just no way the Xbox One is going to be successful when the PS4 itself is struggling now.

So I'll go with 50,000-100,000, but the weekly sales will drop off fast.

#57 Posted by Kaze_no_Mirai (11114 posts) -

50k-100k. I'd be very surprised if it goes over that.

#58 Edited by xhawk27 (7229 posts) -

@speak_low said:

It's not going to be pretty at all.

But the pre-order charts on Amazon shown a few weeks ago was truly an odd thing. I didn't expect any Xbox One's to be pre-ordered from Amazon Japan, but for some crazy, inexplicable reason, it actually had a lot ordered. I'm not sure what that means, but there is just no way the Xbox One is going to be successful when the PS4 itself is struggling now.

So I'll go with 50,000-100,000, but the weekly sales will drop off fast.

The Xbox 360 sold over 1.7 million in Japan.

#59 Edited by humanistpotato (315 posts) -

50-100k

#60 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

#61 Posted by SecretPolice (21485 posts) -

Considering Japan's been chomping at the bit for The One and is the reason The Bore isn't selling there, I'm going with One Milllllion Dollars ..erm Consoles. :o

Serialy, eh, I'll go with a conservative number like 500k :P

#62 Posted by silversix_ (14072 posts) -

Microsoft should be satisfied with 13 units sold

#63 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

Considering Japan's been chomping at the bit for The One and is the reason The Bore isn't selling there, I'm going with One Milllllion Dollars ..erm Consoles. :o

Serialy, eh, I'll go with a conservative number like 500k :P

This isn't a Flopza Horizon 1.5 sales predictions thread.

That one will be closer to 300,000.

#64 Posted by SecretPolice (21485 posts) -

@SecretPolice said:

Considering Japan's been chomping at the bit for The One and is the reason The Bore isn't selling there, I'm going with One Milllllion Dollars ..erm Consoles. :o

Serialy, eh, I'll go with a conservative number like 500k :P

This isn't a Flopza Horizon 1.5 sales predictions thread.

That one will be closer to 300,000.

300k moooaar than Floppity flop flop Club will sell there.

#65 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

300k moooaar than Floppity flop flop Club will sell there.

Yaaaaaaaaaawn. That was weak even by lem standards.

#66 Posted by ShepardCommandr (2408 posts) -

How much did the ps4 sold? Take that number and divide it by 10.

#67 Posted by HalcyonScarlet (4038 posts) -

23K

#68 Posted by SecretPolice (21485 posts) -

@SecretPolice said:

300k moooaar than Floppity flop flop Club will sell there.

Yaaaaaaaaaawn. That was weak even by lem standards.

hahah, the SP wasn't even trying and I got ya all flustered, dat ought to teach ya... youngen.

#69 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

hahah, the SP wasn't even trying and I got ya all flustered, dat ought to teach ya... youngen.

What in the world is "the SP," friend?

Silly lem speaking in tongues. Next they'll be hyping Ori!

#70 Posted by SecretPolice (21485 posts) -

@SecretPolice said:

hahah, the SP wasn't even trying and I got ya all flustered, dat ought to teach ya... youngen.

What in the world is "the SP," friend?

Silly lem speaking in tongues. Next they'll be hyping Ori!

Not to bright... but I already knew that from your postings, just stop while you're behind. :P

#71 Posted by TigerSuperman (1983 posts) -

@santoron said:

The 360 was the first gen 7 console out in Japan, and released to a market that was much more interested in consoles that it is today. And that's before taking the economy into consideration. Using its sales as a starting point is a mistake.

If it hits 50k consoles on launch week I think MS would be thrilled.

Except I wasn't using it's sales as a starting point. This thread is about opening sales. Even the original Xbox and Pippin did >50,000 and at that point it was basically labeled as a black PC box in an era where PC gaming was dead and Microsoft was strictly for business use.

#72 Edited by TigerSuperman (1983 posts) -

360 has sold 1.6m in 9 years in Japan. Based on that, I'd go with less than 50k on release.

This own logic kills your own theory because of the original Xbox.

#73 Edited by inb4uall (5350 posts) -

less than 50000. Japan hates xbox. Also reading through this thread made me lol.
TC asks for peoples opinions, then when they think xbox will do badly he's all salty and tries to argue with them. luuuuuuul

#74 Posted by TigerSuperman (1983 posts) -

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

#75 Posted by inb4uall (5350 posts) -

@GrenadeLauncher said:

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

"It could do 1 million" TC is delusional.

#76 Posted by scottpsfan14 (3773 posts) -

I predict 1.4 million in the first 8 hours of release. By the end of the week, 3.2 million Xbox One's in Japanese homes.

#77 Edited by Phazevariance (10936 posts) -

I predict 80 million in the first nanosecond, with 10 single units per week after. Quite a drop going 80 million to 10 units but since japan is some strange gaming vortex this sentence will now terminate.

#78 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

@GrenadeLauncher said:

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

Just opening up the discussion a little bit. No need to bite my head off.

#79 Posted by GrenadeLauncher (4084 posts) -

Not to bright... but I already knew that from your postings, just stop while you're behind. :P

Do you know what was great? Kinect Sports Rivals. I hope you got that, we all know lemmings buy their games. Right?

#80 Posted by TigerSuperman (1983 posts) -

@inb4uall said:

@TigerSuperman said:

@GrenadeLauncher said:

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

"It could do 1 million" TC is delusional.

Or you can read in context.

#81 Posted by TigerSuperman (1983 posts) -

@TigerSuperman said:

@GrenadeLauncher said:

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

Just opening up the discussion a little bit. No need to bite my head off.

I didn't think I was doing that.

#82 Edited by FoxbatAlpha (6145 posts) -

It will be a household name in Japan. Kinda like Atom Bomb and Toyota Recall.

#83 Edited by lordlors (5586 posts) -

@blue_hazy_basic said:

@TigerSuperman said:

@blue_hazy_basic said:

Bad. I think 50 k might even be optimistic

For OPENING sales? Not sure how people are getting <50k without looking at history. Pippin did not even up below 50k.

No body cares about consoles anymore. Hell the PS4 has struggled to sell over 5k a week. The Japanese care even less about a foreign made console which has nothing aimed at them. The XB1 is going to bomb hard there and I've argued for a long time it probably isn't even worth MS launching in Japan.

Which just goes to show how irrelevant Japan has become to the video game industry. It is an insular and closed market and they are behind with the latest trends like indie games, DD, and Unity engine. They had to make a character called Unity-chan to appeal to them which is so laughable.

#84 Posted by mariokart97 (836 posts) -

I don't think it will sell any better than its predecessors

1: It is the most expensive console currently

2: Xbox brand has never done good in Japan

3: Japanese gamers prefer smaller compact consoles, that is why 3DS sells the best there as well as Vita and Wii U as well.

4: Japanese gamers don't care about system power which is proven again by the fact that the 3DS sells the best there.

Not here to bash the Xbox One but I truly believe that the Xbox brand is like 99.99% designed for the western gamer.

Nintendo rules Japan anyway, and Sony has their fair share of sales in Japan as well since they have a lot of exclusive JRPGs and things that interest Japanese gamers.

Vita and 3DS are selling the best in Japan, followed by Wii U and then everything else is low enough in sales to be negligible.

There just isn't room for Xbox anywhere in Japan.

#85 Posted by Suppaman100 (3771 posts) -

Do they even know what an Xbone is?

#86 Posted by inb4uall (5350 posts) -

@inb4uall said:

@TigerSuperman said:

@GrenadeLauncher said:

How about weekly sales afterwards? I reckon they'll settle down to 400 a week.

That's not what this is about, I addressed what you said in the last page. That could be clearly possible. Heck, it could do 1 million and drop to current 360 numbers every day after the opening sales window.

"It could do 1 million" TC is delusional.

Or you can read in context.

That's what the quote is for genius.

#87 Edited by bforrester420 (1356 posts) -

If this were "The Price is Right" and everyone else bid the numbers in your poll, I would bid 1. There's no way in hell the Xbone sells 50,000 or more in it's first month in Japan.

Wow, xhawk7 and SecretPolice are either insane or insanely sarcastic.