Less than 24 hours left! Time to start predicting some numbers!

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finalstar2007

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#1 finalstar2007
Member since 2008 • 27952 Posts

Alright here goes the day everyone been waiting for ( well for those who understand Japanese that is :( ) the legendary RPG game Final Fantasy XIII will be released in less than 24 hours in Japan exclusivly to the ps3. what are you predictions for its sales?

Here goes i predict ahh 2.5 million copies sold in the first day!.. wish if i could get it but i would rather wait than paying too much for shipments and i wont understand it anyways, waited for over 3 years no harm in waiting a little more till March :P

Now everyone state your predictions!!??

Final Fantasy XIII Box Art Pictures, Images and Photos

Official countdown

http://www.square-enix.com/jp/

EDIT: The game now has been released in Japan!! lucky them :(

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lundy86_4

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#2 lundy86_4
Member since 2003 • 61513 Posts

Hmmm, i'm gonna say 600,000-700,000 first day sales. Around 1.5 million first week.

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PSdual_wielder

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#3 PSdual_wielder
Member since 2003 • 10646 Posts

Twice of whatever the 1st day sales of DQ9 was.

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Bizzle788

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#4 Bizzle788
Member since 2009 • 233 Posts

.9 1st day. 1.2m first week,

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fire-dragon-90

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#5 fire-dragon-90
Member since 2009 • 700 Posts

2 million first 2 days

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NeonNinja

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#6 NeonNinja
Member since 2005 • 17318 Posts

Half of whatever the 1st day sales of Dragon Quest IX were when it released in Japan.

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nintendo-wins

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#7 nintendo-wins
Member since 2009 • 162 Posts

Twice of whatever the 1st day sales of DQ9 was.

PSdual_wielder

Dragon Quest IX sold about 2.3 million copies in two days. How many copies it sold on its first day is unknown.

I do not think it will sell over 2.3 million copies if what is true that Square-Enix (it has not been confirmed) will ship about 1.3 million copies by launch day (one million shipments initially, 150K on launch day).

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Ibacai

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#8 Ibacai
Member since 2006 • 14459 Posts
Seeing as it can't sell more then 1 million in the first day your predictions probably won't come true. It all comes down to what is shipped by SE. http://g4tv.com/thefeed/blog/post/701341/Square-Enix-Ships-1-Million-Pre-Launch-Copies-Of-Final-Fantasy-XIII-In-Japan.html And it should be known that DQ is actually more popular then FF over in Japan. Couple that with the fact that DQIX came out on the DS.....It's pretty much guaranteed FFXIII will not outsell DQIX.
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finalstar2007

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#9 finalstar2007
Member since 2008 • 27952 Posts

Hmmm, i'm gonna say 600,000-700,000 first day sales. Around 1.5 million first week.

lundy86_4

I dont know i have a feeling this is going to get way more as the holidays are coming soon, its the first current gen final fantasy game and both sony and SE been advertising in Japan like crazy. guess will wait and see.. March cant come any sooner :(

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finalstar2007

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#10 finalstar2007
Member since 2008 • 27952 Posts

Seeing as it can't sell more then 1 million in the first day your predictions probably won't come true. It all comes down to what is shipped by SE. http://g4tv.com/thefeed/blog/post/701341/Square-Enix-Ships-1-Million-Pre-Launch-Copies-Of-Final-Fantasy-XIII-In-Japan.html And it should be known that DQ is actually more popular then FF over in Japan. Couple that with the fact that DQIX came out on the DS.....It's pretty much guaranteed FFXIII will not outsell DQIX.Ibacai

Hmm yeah if their going to ship 1.3 million pre-launch then guess that will be its sales but who knows, guess will wait

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stereointegrity

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#11 stereointegrity
Member since 2007 • 12151 Posts
600k in the first day maybe 900k in the first week
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Cait__Sith

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#12 Cait__Sith
Member since 2009 • 2326 Posts

"1 million copies"

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funsohng

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#13 funsohng
Member since 2005 • 29976 Posts
a million copy in one day in Japan? a ps3 home console game? i mean, Monster Hunter Tri didn't hit the million mark, I don't see how FF13 can. DQ9 did, but mostly because it was on handheld. i dont even think they are going to ship million in first place
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Cait__Sith

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#14 Cait__Sith
Member since 2009 • 2326 Posts
a million copy in one day in Japan? a ps3 home console game? i mean, Monster Hunter Tri didn't hit the million mark, I don't see how FF13 can. DQ9 did, but mostly because it was on handheld. i dont even think they are going to ship million in first placefunsohng
Yeah I don't see it happening ether, but I just had to use the picture :P
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ImOldGreg

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#15 ImOldGreg
Member since 2007 • 2357 Posts
I predict the it'll sell 2.5 million copies in the opening seconds of it's release in japan, this trend will continue through the first few minutes of the morning. At wich point when supplies of the game are extinguished... roiting will begin in earnist, lives will be trampled out, games will be fought to the death over and public order will fruitlessly be attempted to via the forces of law and order. Once the overworked factories are exhausted of matrials needed to churn this game out to the hungry savage masses, the riot's of the previous hour will seem like a childish conflict in the light of the savage time ahead for Japan. For not even the 38 billion copies in circulation around the country will be enough to slate the thrist of their once proud and beautiful Citizen's. Martial law will be declared with the declaration of owning a copy be punishable by skining. Out of the greater madess fed by this attempt on restoration of peace, society will truly crumble, the masses will unite and turn on the law's and gun's of the miltary. Though their loses great, the people will eventually exhaust both the hope and ammuntion of Japan's military. With japan now effectivly at the mercy of a lawless and savage people, their country will become a dark blot on the face of civilised earth- Torrist's and foreigner's dragged out and burned in the street's, access to country prohibited with only fleeting reports of mass cannibalism available for us to feed our fears with. The water's and skies of the Eastern Empire will fall under heavy survailence in absolute terror that madess may spread to the rest of us...and the children will tremble and weep. That is my forecast. Consequently the game may be banned in other territories! :(
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jmdude

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#16 jmdude
Member since 2007 • 2521 Posts

first day- 500,000

first week- 900,000

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LoserMike

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#17 LoserMike
Member since 2003 • 4915 Posts

Umm.. I guess you didn't read how many units Square-Enix is shipping on the 1st day.

Square-Enix is shipping only 1 million units on the 1st day. With 300,000 more by the end of the week. So only 1.3 million by the end of the 1st week. I'm not sure if this includes the PS3 bundled with FF13.

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funsohng

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#18 funsohng
Member since 2005 • 29976 Posts
[QUOTE="LoserMike"]

Umm.. I guess you didn't read how many units Square-Enix is shipping on the 1st day.

Square-Enix is shipping only 1 million units on the 1st day. With 300,000 more by the end of the week. So only 1.3 million by the end of the 1st week. I'm not sure if this includes the PS3 bundled with FF13.

a million? idk, this might get dumped sooner than i thought...
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AgentA-Mi6

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#19 AgentA-Mi6
Member since 2006 • 16713 Posts

I read two months ago that Sony expects to sell Half A Million Ps3s in Japan thanks to FFXIII

*Edit*, I dont remember if it was during the first week or the entire month though.

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ItsBriskBaby

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#20 ItsBriskBaby
Member since 2007 • 1748 Posts

I would have to say about 1 million 1st day due to the fact of the high demand and sell out of the FF13 PS3 special system it sold like 500k or more for pre-orders. I think all in all they will have probably a close total to 2.5 million sold by the end of the year. People have to remember FF and GT are like one of the biggest PS titles ever over in Japan and they wait for these games. It's like starving roaches and then pouring a bag of sugar out for them, the light won't even stop them. LOL.

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St_muscat

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#21 St_muscat
Member since 2007 • 4315 Posts

Twice of whatever the 1st day sales of DQ9 was.

PSdual_wielder

That would mean like 60%+ of all PS3 owners in Japan would have to pick up a copy of the game on its first day, which is just plain not going to happen.

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ColdfireTrilogy

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#22 ColdfireTrilogy
Member since 2005 • 4911 Posts
regardless of sales im hyped to hear how the game plays and how the story is. Afterbeing underwhelmed by the story in FFXII, i really want to hear how this games story is.
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ItsBriskBaby

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#23 ItsBriskBaby
Member since 2007 • 1748 Posts
regardless of sales im hyped to hear how the game plays and how the story is. Afterbeing underwhelmed by the story in FFXII, i really want to hear how this games story is.ColdfireTrilogy
FF never really picks up a story one after the other they always turn the thing 180 degrees and you're like what!? But it's mostly good so you don't care anyways.
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jakarai

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#24 jakarai
Member since 2008 • 4289 Posts
Considering that people are selling the game for nearly 2-3 times on Amazon I am going to have to say 1 million copies day one considering that's all they are shipping according to the links 1.3 million first week. I think they will sell what ever SE ships out to retailers.
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Blue-Sky

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#25 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

It takes a typical FF a couple months to sell 2+ millions. I don't see why this one would be any different.

I'd say 1 million by the end of this month.

2.5m by February.

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deactivated-5b2b34c3a42a1

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#26 deactivated-5b2b34c3a42a1
Member since 2009 • 2436 Posts

Nobody, and I mean NOBODY else on GS was looking forward to this.

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suntaice

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#27 suntaice
Member since 2006 • 786 Posts

One of the most or perhaps the most popular series in Japan, Monster hunter Tri didnt sell over a million. I dont know whether FF13 is more popular than monster hunter(I really doubt it), but it is very unlikely it will sell over a million.

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Kleeyook

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#28 Kleeyook
Member since 2008 • 5213 Posts
1M on the first day. Simply every copies will be sold out at launch. Poor those who have to wait. We in EU won't have to rush since it's not that popular here. And I thought I once swore that i'd never come to system wars again. :(
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Arach666

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#29 Arach666
Member since 2009 • 23286 Posts

I,for one,don´t care about how good(or bad)the sales are going to be.

I´m more interested in seeing if the game is good or not.

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Kashiwaba

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#30 Kashiwaba
Member since 2005 • 8059 Posts

About 900k first day and 1.8 mils first week.

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Ultimaspooges

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#32 Ultimaspooges
Member since 2009 • 351 Posts

700K on first day, 1.2 million opening week. 1.5 million before 2010

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Racer850

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#33 Racer850
Member since 2009 • 2293 Posts
First day - 650,000 First week- 950,000
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CanYouDiglt

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#34 CanYouDiglt
Member since 2009 • 8474 Posts
I will get it at some point but I am not like OMGZ itz a new FF! I am sure it will sell really good though on name alone.
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kairikh

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#35 kairikh
Member since 2008 • 1393 Posts

predictions lets check the stats....

Japan; Population-127,078,679 as of 2009

Age Groups:0-14 years:13.5% (male 8,804,465/female 8,344,800)

15-64 years:64.3% (male 41,187,425/female 40,533,876)

Assuming no 60 year olds are gamers....and the population is mostly male i say1.7 millionseems like a half decent number for a first week release...as long as those gamer guys are ok with FF's heroin which im sure they are xD having said that im sure a quarter of my estimation includes girls who like Final Fantasy xD

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Next-Gen-Tec

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#36 Next-Gen-Tec
Member since 2009 • 4623 Posts
Around 500k.
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Colin1192

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#37 Colin1192
Member since 2008 • 6221 Posts

wont be very high considering only 4M Ps3 have sold in Japan

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BattleTurtles

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#38 BattleTurtles
Member since 2009 • 2406 Posts
2.5 million first day in Japan? It probably won't reach that, ever.
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BattleTurtles

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#39 BattleTurtles
Member since 2009 • 2406 Posts

One of the most or perhaps the most popular series in Japan, Monster hunter Tri didnt sell over a million. I dont know whether FF13 is more popular than monster hunter(I really doubt it), but it is very unlikely it will sell over a million.

suntaice
Final Fantasy is the 4th most popular series in Japan. Monster Hunter is somewhere below that.
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BattleTurtles

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#40 BattleTurtles
Member since 2009 • 2406 Posts

[QUOTE="PSdual_wielder"]

Twice of whatever the 1st day sales of DQ9 was.

St_muscat

That would mean like 60%+ of all PS3 owners in Japan would have to pick up a copy of the game on its first day, which is just plain not going to happen.

More like 110% of all owners...