US Population to hit one billion by 2100

  • 52 results
  • 1
  • 2

This topic is locked from further discussion.

#1 Posted by gamerguru100 (10450 posts) -

Link

It's hard to believe because our population is about 315 million now. 2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years. Too far fetched for me to believe this "expert".

#2 Posted by cslayer211 (833 posts) -

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

#3 Posted by meconate (10476 posts) -
If humans are around by then.
#4 Posted by Ace6301 (21388 posts) -
I don't see how that's farfetched at all. China's population was 400,000,000 or so in 1900. By 1980 they had 1 billion. The US has far better healthcare than China had during that time, probably won't be invaded multiple times or deal with mass killings by dictatorial lunatics and has a very high rate of immigration.
#5 Posted by mrbojangles25 (31985 posts) -

that is pretty crazy, if accurate.

Still, given the amount of open space we have here, I think one billion is still pretty reasonable. If they can turn a desert where LA currently stands into a major population center, I think we can turn a lot of undesirable land in the US into liveable areas.

I just hope California builds a great wall around it, though, we don't need more people coming, building over our sweet, sweet farm land.

#6 Posted by Fightingfan (38011 posts) -

I guess kids are cheaper than condoms.

#7 Posted by GD-1369211121 (4086 posts) -

And how many people on Mars?

#8 Posted by mrbojangles25 (31985 posts) -

I guess kids are cheaper than condoms.

Fightingfan

I blame the economy. Also, sex is free-ish, and entertaining.

"Oooooooooh the new game i wanted!"
*looks at price*
"Hmmmmm"
*looks at girlfriend*
"Hey, baby, you look good"
"Awww thanks, sweeties"
*proceeds to sex*

#9 Posted by TrainerCeleste (1774 posts) -
I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.
#10 Posted by Rich3232 (2754 posts) -
good thing i'll be dead by then.
#11 Posted by mrbojangles25 (31985 posts) -

I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.TrainerCeleste

that, and living longer. Hell, I guarentee you my grandparents did not think they'd make it to 80 years old, let alone 93. My parents are doing fine too, it seems, and *knock on wood* they will live a long time as well.

I am pretty convinced that, if you are active and relatively healthy, with health insurance, the current generation of 30-something and under are going to be living well past 100 years old fairly regularly.

Seems like nowadays if you get to 60 years old cancer free, youre good for another 30.

#12 Posted by TrainerCeleste (1774 posts) -

[QUOTE="TrainerCeleste"]I'd believe it. With advances in technology and the way we live I can easily see more people having lots more babies.mrbojangles25

that, and living longer. Hell, I guarentee you my grandparents did not think they'd make it to 80 years old, let alone 93. My parents are doing fine too, it seems, and *knock on wood* they will live a long time as well.

I am pretty convinced that, if you are active and relatively healthy, with health insurance, the current generation of 30-something and under are going to be living well past 100 years old fairly regularly.

Seems like nowadays if you get to 60 years old cancer free, youre good for another 30.

It depends on the person really. I've seen some 80 year olds who are up and about ^^ But then I've also seen some 60 year olds in school who are bed bound. If you don't use it you lose it o3o
#13 Posted by Allicrombie (25113 posts) -
I'm guessing most of em are gonna be in Los Angeles.
#14 Posted by comp_atkins (31181 posts) -

so many mooching immigrants!!!

grampa05.gif

#15 Posted by Omni-Slash (54404 posts) -
I'm not taking responsibility for this...I demand a paternity test!...
#16 Posted by stanleycup98 (6144 posts) -
I don't see how that is far-fetched at all. Even seems a little conservative for 90 years.
#17 Posted by jaqulle999 (2897 posts) -

I thought the birth rate was supposed to drop. I don't think the population will be that high, but it's definitly going to go up over the next one hundred years.

#18 Posted by Boston_Boyy (3906 posts) -

Yeah we'll see, a lot can change in 88 years. War, disease, massive natural disasters, among other things are all possibilities that we could face between now and 2100. Besides, even if we are able to avoid anything catastrophic, it should be noted that population growth has already sloweda trend that if continued, could throw off estimates by hundreds of millions.

#19 Posted by klusps (10381 posts) -

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

#20 Posted by themajormayor (25667 posts) -

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
LOL
#21 Posted by Shadowchronicle (25975 posts) -

Yeah we'll see, a lot can change in 88 years. War, disease, massive natural disasters, among other things are all possibilities that we could face between now and 2100. Besides, even if we are able to avoid anything catastrophic, it should be noted that population growth has already sloweda trend that if continued, could throw off estimates by hundreds of millions.

Boston_Boyy
Agree with this guy. I have no doubt something will hit us hard plus the population growth is slowed like said.
#22 Posted by caseypayne69 (5386 posts) -
My wife and I only had one daughter so we are fighting the cause against it I suppose.
#23 Posted by gamerguru100 (10450 posts) -

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

klusps
China's population will probably stabilize and then start declining by the 2030s. India is expected to surpass China in population around that time, so it's India you wanna be looking at.
#24 Posted by Goobberzz (602 posts) -
We better start adding more states...
#25 Posted by bobcheeseball (9307 posts) -
Considering the world is ending in 9 days its no big deal.
#26 Posted by SAGE_OF_FIRE (15587 posts) -

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arcology
#27 Posted by JohnF111 (14046 posts) -

In that amount of time we better have the technology to build some type of underwater or space civilization to account for the huge population increase.

cslayer211
It won't come to that, China will make some craters before 2100.
#28 Posted by Barbariser (6717 posts) -

I've read no statistics that agree with this "expert". Most suggest that by 2050 the U.S. population will still be about 450 million at the most generous estimate, and considering the nature of long-term population growth rate there is no reason to think that its population will more than double in the last 50 years of this century.

ItWookieepedia: It was a Caamasi paternal clan.

#29 Posted by gamerguru100 (10450 posts) -

I've read no statistics that agree with this "expert". Most suggest that by 2050 the U.S. population will still be about 450 million at the most generous estimate, and considering the nature of long-term population growth rate there is no reason to think that its population will more than double in the last 50 years of this century.

ItWookieepedia: It was a Caamasi paternal clan.

Barbariser
Agreed. I just don't see 'Murrica adding 600 million people after 2050. Even with all the Hispanic immigration levels and birth rates and Asian immigration levels, I don't see it happening this century. Only time will tell.
#30 Posted by Blue-Sky (10315 posts) -

If humans are around by then.meconate

Are you a Christian?

#31 Posted by MannyDelgado (1250 posts) -
2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years.gamerguru100
Wonderful, in-depth analysis; bravo
#32 Posted by DroidPhysX (17088 posts) -
time to give out free abortions
#33 Posted by Storm_Marine (10767 posts) -

The US is one of only a handful of developed countries to actually have a birth rate above replacement. That and vast amounts of legal and illegal immigration can certainly make a population surge. Although 1 billion is looking unlikely at this point.

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

klusps

Unless current trends do not continue it will be smaller but more urban. Right now China is one of many countries that have a birth rate far below replacement. (Thanks Deng!) Japan and Russia are already in net decline and unless they change something they'll both shrink to around 50 million each by next century. And China is supposed to drop below 1 billion I think.

#34 Posted by YoshiYogurt (5973 posts) -
Population needs to go down, but I don't want it to be regulated. More People is bad. We can't even keep the 300 million we have fed. Less than 1 billion worldwide would be ideal, but no, people kept popping babies out.
#35 Posted by Barbariser (6717 posts) -

Population needs to go down, but I don't want it to be regulated. More People is bad. We can't even keep the 300 million we have fed. Less than 1 billion worldwide would be ideal, but no, people kept popping babies out.YoshiYogurt

The U.S. is a net food exporter despite having a population that consumes several times more than it needs to actually subsist.

#36 Posted by theone86 (20555 posts) -

That contradicts most of the data I've seen. What I've seen says that population growth is leveling off, although there is a spike in the most recent generation (gen Y I believe, because gen X came after the boomers, no?) Anyways, my guess is that they're taking short-term trends and extrapolating them without considering long-term trends and fluctuation. I still think population growth is an issue we need to be cognizent of, but this sounds alarmist to me.

#37 Posted by theone86 (20555 posts) -

The US is one of only a handful of developed countries to actually have a birth rate above replacement. That and vast amounts of legal and illegal immigration can certainly make a population surge. Although 1 billion is looking unlikely at this point.

[QUOTE="klusps"]

Can't imagine how China's population would be.:P

Storm_Marine

Unless current trends do not continue it will be smaller but more urban. Right now China is one of many countries that have a birth rate far below replacement. (Thanks Deng!) Japan and Russia are already in net decline and unless they change something they'll both shrink to around 50 million each by next century. And China is supposed to drop below 1 billion I think.

China's population is predicted to level off within the next fifty years. Between growing access to contraception, female education, and industrialization leading to changing attitudes about family size, the growth rate is declining. They still have an insane amount of people and population density problems, but at least it's going to get better in the forseeable future.

#38 Posted by theone86 (20555 posts) -

time to give out free abortionsDroidPhysX

My basement stairs are quite steep.

#39 Posted by VanDammFan (4210 posts) -

If humans are around by then.meconate

exactly...we wont be around..not even a chance..

#40 Posted by gamerguru100 (10450 posts) -
[QUOTE="gamerguru100"]2100 is 88 years away, so that means we would have to add 685 million more people in those 88 years.MannyDelgado
Wonderful, in-depth analysis; bravo

Stop wasting your time.
#41 Posted by Serraph105 (27700 posts) -

meh, the rapture will come before this anyways.

also insert some comment about the rise of bs here please.

#42 Posted by Jacobistheman (3975 posts) -

Why do people assume that population is exponetial? It is Logistic...

EDIT:
The fertility rate in the US is right at 2. This means for every 2 parents there will be 2 kids, meaning the total population will only grow because of immigration and increasing life expectancy, which is not enough to get even close to 1 billionin the next 100 years.

#43 Posted by KHAndAnime (13272 posts) -
It won't happen, unless there's mass immigration to America - the world's population isn't going to triple.
#44 Posted by theone86 (20555 posts) -

Why do people assume that population is exponetial? It is Logistic...

EDIT:
The fertility rate in the US is right at 2. This means for every 2 parents there will be 2 kids, meaning the total population will only grow because of immigration and increasing life expectancy, which is not enough to get even close to 1 billionin the next 100 years.

Jacobistheman

I agree with you? Maybe the world is really ending next week.

#45 Posted by Gamertag-TFTW (2232 posts) -

Thank God I won't be here for that crowded scene.

#46 Posted by o0squishy0o (2754 posts) -

There must come to a point where a country peaks in its inhabitants. I mean India and china are above the billion mark now. Surely it will come to a point where we will run out of farming area.

#47 Posted by pspdseagle (3307 posts) -
I really hope not. As if 300million American wasn't bad enough.
#48 Posted by Tuco_Salamanca (25 posts) -
I'll be pushing up daisies by then so it's not really an issue for me.
#49 Posted by themajormayor (25667 posts) -

[QUOTE="meconate"]If humans are around by then.VanDammFan

exactly...we wont be around..not even a chance..

hope you're trolling