Why Sony believes 5 million PS4 shipments by April is reachable

CFO Masaru Kato says company is confident due to preorder figures being "much, much higher," as well as "strong support" from third-party developers.

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Sony plans to ship at least 5 million PlayStation 4 consoles by the end of its fiscal year on March 31, 2014. Giving the company confidence it can reach this milestone are healthy preorders for the system and "strong support" from third-party developers, Sony said on a recent earnings call.

"When we listen to consumers, when we listen to our retail partners and third-parties, one measure of our confidence is in the preorders that we have received from consumers," CFO Masaru Kato said. "I can't give a number. But compared to past platforms, the pre-orders that we have received for this new platform is much, much higher."

During the 2013 Electronic Entertainment Expo in June, Sony announced that PS4 preorders worldwide had exceeded 1 million units. The company later described reservation figures as "breathtakingly high." Kato said on the call this week that "most" preorders so far have included a reservation fee and not only adding their name to a list.

"And people have not just listed their names, but in some--in most cases, put down certain amount of money for these preorders," Kato said. "So that is one piece of information that we have in mind when we look towards the launch of this product."

Another factor that gives Sony confidence that it can reach 5 million PS4 shipments this fiscal year comes down to support from third-parties.

"The second would be that we have strong support from third-parties. And sometimes, when we launch a new platform, the software catalog is not sufficient, or after the launch, sometimes, you don't have good titles following the launch," Kato said. "But this year, on a comparative basis, I think we have a much more stronger lineup of software coming. So those are the things that we are looking at. But I cannot give you a number as to how much upside there is."

The PS4's 22-title launch lineup includes high-profile third-party games at launch like Call of Duty: Ghosts, Battlefield 4, NBA 2K14, Madden NFL 25, FIFA 14, Just Dance 2014, and Injustice: Gods Among Us.

Sony's 5 million unit forecast is on a sell-in basis, meaning the company plans to sell 5 million consoles to retailers, which may not necessarily reach consumers.

Microsoft has not disclosed Xbox One sales projections, though publisher Electronic Arts said it expects combined PS4 and Xbox One shipments at launch to reach 10 million units.

Discussion

132 comments
scottpsfan14
scottpsfan14

Well it's now the 1st of March and it's reached probably 6 million sales by now. And that's to the consumers. I'll say it will be closer to 7 million sales or more by April. Especially with the launch of Infamous.

method115
method115

Funny to come back to an article like this and see how many people got it wrong.

DoUbLeZzMk2
DoUbLeZzMk2

Wait till infamous, the order and metal gear launch!!! Those number are gonna climb like crazy!!!

gothicknight67
gothicknight67

not if they dont add DNLA and mp3 and cd playback   

shreddyz
shreddyz

Gamespot your site is still broken. The comment counts are never accurate- why do you have speech bubbles on every  fu*king feature when they're always wrong and that's just some of the stuff that is problematic. I have yet to figure out what magic is necessary to change a user pic and F*UK!!! this site is still slow as f*ck. really. You monkeys should get on fixing this sh*t you refer to as a gaming website. Furthermore, stop with the garbage trolling articles like the xo720p/ps41080p one featured in feedbackula. Everyone with a brain knows that story was just for clicks but god almighty, retards still commented arguing their console is better! Smarten up or I'll smack you in the teeth...


end rant

19James89
19James89

If Sony had a strong launch line up then I'd say that this target would be more than achieveable, but it has a weak launch line up and I'd imagine a small but significant percentage of people have withdrawn their preorders and are doing the sensible thing and waiting for more games to come out. 

I reckon Sony will sell 3.5 million units by April 2014 which for a four month window is very good sales.

soulless4now
soulless4now

It'll reach 5 million before the Wii U does. Jajaja

Pupchu
Pupchu

It is reachable, no doubt. If it will happen however, is another thing...

razrabbit
razrabbit

I'm holding off until the second or third generation of PS4s come out later next year,  so they can work out all the bugs and kinks and firmware stuff you know theres gonna be at launch.


DiscGuru101
DiscGuru101

The real question is, how strong will software sales be? Because software sales is where PS3 fell dramatically short of expectations.

PlatinumPaladin
PlatinumPaladin

Well, if pre-orders are anything to go by then it may not be too big a target to realistically aim for. I do think Kato may be getting a bit carried away though. As Christmas presents go, the PS4 and XBOne are going to be up there as some of the most expensive electronics items, and I imagine sales will drop off quite drastically once Christmas is done.

But hell, what do I know?

Breyant
Breyant

I'm sure PS4 will do well, 5mill seems a bit high to me, but I'm actually more interested to see the boost in Vita sales along with PS4. It's such a great portable console and it's really sad that it has been so neglected by developers and consumers.

Sefrix
Sefrix moderator moderator

Well with preorders they are already 1/5th of the way there. I an see this happening. That being said, it's crazy to compare that to total Wii U sales now. Don't get me wrong though, this whole mentality of always having the #1 spot isn't always a good thing and I see nothing wrong with not selling as much as the other guy. 

psf51
psf51

That Game Shop was told by its distributor that "the release date for COD: Ghosts has slipped from the 5th to 15th November," but that "the slippage only affects Xbox One" in the UK.

ahmad1080
ahmad1080

it can be more than 5 million

IJONOI
IJONOI

According to a new study; 

YouTube, Xbox.com, NeoGaf, N4G, VGChartz, IGN, GameSpot, GameStop, Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, Mainland Europe, Asia and The Middle East among countless others are experiencing a Tsunami of people in love with Sony's gamings offerings.

danmanpro
danmanpro

with the ability to not support external hard drives and audio cd's I hope sony gets hit hard, right in the nads!

munkeypoo45
munkeypoo45

I think that's reachable. I'm not sure if it will actually happen but there is a definite possibility. It also depends when more exclusives and games are released during that time period. That's a reason why I'm not purchasing one at launch. I'm waiting for more games to be released. 

velvethammer2000
velvethammer2000

They need a strong reason to buy the system.... so far I don't see it being very appealing to anyone beside the core gamer who will buy it just because it is the next PS console. I'm buying it in 6 months or so because the games coming out next year are far more appealing than anything in the launch window. 

deadpeasant
deadpeasant

Healthy preorders eh? Well I just made those preorders a little bit healthier about an hour ago. I'm not expecting to get it on launch day but I would think amazon are the best bet here in Ireland for soonest possible delivery at this stage.

psf51
psf51

what's the benefit of the Xbox One? Well, if you get for the exclusive games you can relish in the entertainment provided by the Xbox 720p. If you get it for watching TV on your TV then you should be in good hands with all the subscriptions on top of subscriptions. Besides, Americans love over-paying for sub-par quality and getting lousy goods at marked up prices... just look at Apple and the iPhone 5C. 

megakick
megakick

PS4 has less then PS3.

Sony stock has already dropped because of the new restrictions.

Don't buy PS4 and force Sony to change their policy.

DoUbLeZzMk2
DoUbLeZzMk2

True lmao!!! They have more than surpassed the deadline lmao and not top sell another 2 to 3 million maybe more!!!

jas_skywalker
jas_skywalker

@gothicknight67 Don't think many people care. Most people have dedicated mp3 devices and cd as a medium are going extinct anyway.

Broyds
Broyds

@razrabbit I can't understand what makes people think that there are going to be bugs and stuff at launch.  I have brought the Wii U Vita and PS3 at launch and never experienced any bugs on any of them.

racerxgundam
racerxgundam

@Sefrix the wii u is dead. 

even the top brass knows it. they lost region 4 and for them...thats the sign of death. Not saying NOA/NOJ can't recover but its past the point of no return with the wii u

> wii u

PlatinumPaladin
PlatinumPaladin

@danmanpro As miffed as I am by those two facts, I'll be the first to admit they're by no means a deal-breaker. They're nice features to have, but no one will be buying a console for the primary purpose of playing music CDs or backing-up data.

untouchables111
untouchables111

This has been said a thousand times already but simple software issue like those are easily add able after launch. It's a matter of making money as to why they are not included right now. It's called music unlimited.

untouchables111
untouchables111

I'm not sure how u or other convince ur self of this rational???? Cause the system will still be the same system in 6 months with maybe a few updates. Games is not a reason to avoid getting it at launch. There are more than enough games at launch to keep u busy by the time the next big titles hit.

hordaak
hordaak

@psf51 Where are you from? damn all these jealous euros


velvethammer2000
velvethammer2000

@psf51 Is that the new Sony fanboy catch phrase? "XBOX 720p"? Forget that the launch games and I emphasize GAMES are much stronger then that of Sony's. I'm a big Sony fan... but their launch lineup sucks.

Mr_Mark_Legion
Mr_Mark_Legion

@psf51 xbox 720p lol better than Xbone. wonder if ms would be willing to embrace xbox 720p as they said they did with xbone.

megakick
megakick

@psf51 One benefit of buying a XBOX ONE is a working network that is less acceptable to hacks, shutdowns and won't brick your console.

krystyla
krystyla

@psf51 what's the benefit of your existence? Well when you talk we can relish in the stupidity provided by your comment...


I am to lazy too go deeper into your comment, just accept there are people with different tastes 

untouchables111
untouchables111

Stocks drop as a result of consumers gearing up for new stuff around the cornor.

gothicknight67
gothicknight67

@jas_skywalker @gothicknight67 not extinct, i dont and many ppl think as i do  why have nine thousand things when all in one is so much better, and if it was why do almost all appliances have it integrated into it, cds arent going anywhere soon,  and i  use and family do to use ps 3 as central hub  why not just add it  its common code in blu ray/dvd, that means they omitted it, for some odd reason, maybe to sell there music unlimited, its all about the green dude  

PlatinumPaladin
PlatinumPaladin

@untouchables111 My perspective is that there's still plenty of quality games due out for the current generation, which means I'm in now rush to run out and get the new machines on day one. I know we need the consoles to play the games, but I imagine most of us have invested in this industry primarily for the games, and not the consoles.

But that may just be me.

freeden
freeden

@velvethammer2000 @psf51 What's this strong lineup you're talking about? I just see a bunch of games that don't interest me in any way. Playstation, however, at least has Killzone, which is worth getting the console at launch.

psf51
psf51

Is it? I 4t the catchphrase was not stuck behind a pay wall

psf51
psf51

Just yesterday we reported that there are rumours that the Xbox One OS is extremely buggy, and developers (apparently) expect it to take months to fix, not weeks.But today, we’ve heard even more rumours, this time from Thuway, who is a frequent forum member on NeoGAF and has a track record of getting things right. Says that Xbox Live is very far behind PSN.

psf51
psf51

Well thats big of u. sorry got bored you just wasted 5 minutes my life thank you

psf51
psf51

Lmfao that is so lame

krystyla
krystyla

@psf51 it took you 5 minutes to read this comment? Well you just proved my point