If the Rumors Are True: 5 Reasons the Next Xbox Will Fail

Is the writing on the wall for the next generation's Xbox? Here are five rumors that could spell doom should they prove true.

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The battle has begun. As developers begin to squeeze the dying pixels from a fading era of consoles, the inevitable cold war known as the next generation lingers on the horizon. Here, reputations are at stake, fan loyalties wax and wane, and precious consumer dollars dangle from the wallets of the undecided. Make no mistake: This is war.

As Nintendo's Wii U sales continue to hobble, Sony has eased swiftly into its play for the throne with the masterfully hyped announcement of the PlayStation 4. Will the esteemed designers and programmers of Microsoft answer the call with a deafening retort in order to silence the industry with a console destined to rule them all?

Not if the rumors are true.

Now, let's not get ahead of ourselves here. I'm not writing this with insider information or as a time traveler from the near future. Yet, as rumors buzz like caffeinated bees from one website to the next, a few of these whispers are worthy of our attention, at least until something more substantial is released. So why will the next Xbox fail? Let's break it down, rumor by rumor.

The Rumor: The Next Xbox Won't Play Used Games. This is the big, fat, glaring, nasty rumor that has diehard Microsoft fanboys and GameStop employees alike praying to the gaming gods like sinners on Judgment Day. So what's the big deal? For one, people like the option of keeping or selling a game once they've played it, and since keeping up with the latest and greatest has never been a poor man's pastime, many gamers turn to trading in old games to subsidize their habit. In fact, the importance of this freedom was assessed when used-game supergiant GameStop conducted an in-house survey on the likelihood of customers buying a console based on its ability to ban used games. The survey found (surprise, surprise) that three out of every five GameStop customers would avoid purchasing such a console. Now, I don't put much faith in such a survey for obvious reasons (GameStop surveying customers regarding used games is the equivalent of surveying cows on the merits of eating beef), but if you were to look at this as a statistical representation of the market, Microsoft is essentially eliminating 60 percent of its consumers right out of the gate. Would you be willing to sacrifice your freedoms as a consumer to guarantee the success of your favorite developers and publishers?

Why It Could Succeed: I could see this working if all the major console developers were on board (they're not), and if Microsoft could manage to persuade major developers to develop exclusively for the next Xbox. Think about it. The used-game industry is a multibillion-dollar industry. Sure, the publishers and developers of games both get paid on the initial sale of a new game, but who makes the money when a game is resold (especially when it's bought for pennies and sold again for dollars)? Game developers aren't earning a red cent off of used-game purchases, and if GameStop is making billions, that's billions the rightful creators are missing out on. If Microsoft can convince developers that it's better to develop solely for a console that prevents this kind of third-party loss, it could provide enough incentive for many brands to hop aboard. More developers generating exclusive content makes the console more appealing, which translates into an increase in sales, resulting in more incentive for developers to develop strictly for it. But are developers willing to turn to a console that has their best interests in mind at the cost of limiting the freedoms of their fans? Or will tradition prevail as developers seek the greatest audience while continually innovating new ways to gain their hard-earned money back from the middleman vultures of the used-game industry?

The Rumor: The Next Xbox Will Require a Constant Internet Connection to Play. The Internet seas must be rampant with piracy if punishing honest gamers with a forced online connection seems like a viable solution to anyone. Sadly, I can just imagine some bigwig stopping a board meeting at Microsoft to say, "You know what? Gamers love it when they need an Internet connection to play games because servers shutting down for reaching capacity is epic, and having to queue for a single-player experience is a blast!"

If the rumors are true, then say goodbye to the simple days when all you needed was a console and somewhere to plug it in, and roll out the red carpet for an online experience handicapped by connectivity issues with a life span limited to a company's commitment to its servers. Forget the inconveniences of not having the Internet or the embarrassment of having a connection suitable only for email--once the servers go down on an online-only game, all you have left is a useless disc and a broken heart full of memories.

Why It Could Succeed: It can't. Constantly connected games are a trend that needed to die yesterday. If you can legitimately defend always-online DRM (digital rights management), I'd love to hear your thoughts, because after the Diablo III launch and the SimCity fiasco, the always-online idea seems like the digital start of the Black Death. Maybe if companies sold heavily chained DRM titles at half price, or even offered incentives for playing online (while still offering the option of an offline single-player experience), it could work, but you're still going to have to sell me on the idea before getting me aboard that Titanic. No sir, no ma'am, no thanks!

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The future of gaming?

The Rumor: The Next Xbox Will Require an Enabled Kinect 2.0. The Kinect is little more than a decent idea that has been poorly executed. Could it succeed? Absolutely, if you can forget about the airline-hangar-for-a-living-room that's required to enjoy it, and the fact that not everyone wants a workout when they sit down to play. Sure, it's innovative, and voice commands are fun (until someone walks through the room while you're playing Madden and calls for a spike on 3rd and 1), but the Kinect generally serves as little more than an entertaining party trick that just isn't necessary in most games. So why make it mandatory?

Why It Could Succeed: The Kinect has always had the potential to be something special, though it has traditionally been hindered by the limitations of its own capabilities and design. Microsoft has undoubtedly made significant improvements since its conception, and rumors of the new Kinect being capable of detecting movements from inches away are promising, but the Kinect 2.0 still has miles to go before venturing out from beneath the shadow of its less-than-perfect predecessor. Still, the possibilities are undoubtedly there, and the results could be spectacular if Microsoft manages to implement them properly. Imagine a fighting game that legitimately tracked your movements and speed against another combatant, or a fantasy game that accurately tracked sword-wielding reflexes or spellcasting prowess against single-player foes or online adversaries. If the rumors are true and Microsoft intends to force the Kinect down our throats, it had better bring a perfected product to the table. No exceptions. If you're going to force gamers to incorporate something new into their traditional habits, you'd better do it as smoothly and as gently as possible. Sugarcoat that medicine, Microsoft! Or don't feed us a problem we would have happily lived without.

The Rumor: Games for the Next Xbox Will Cost $70. Video games are already pricey, and the average consumer has to be wise with his or her purchases, so a 10-dollar increase could very well be the breaking point for many. Is now the time to stop our ranting on GameSpot and Facebook and finally let our wallets do the talking? Or does the new $70 become the old $60 as we line up like sheep for Call of Duty 25, Madden 82, and Assassin's Creed 14?

Why It Could Succeed: If gamers are willing to throw cash at day-one downloadable content, microtransactions, and digital advantages, why wouldn't they be willing to part with a little more money for the games they love? If the rumors are true, I'm willing to bet Microsoft is banking on the horrible spending habits of gamers and society's need to have the latest and greatest. If Apple can manage to sell overpriced phones and computers like hotcakes, I'm willing to bet that raising the cost of a game by a measly 10 dollars won't impact consumers' decisions any more than a speed bump in a parking lot stops shoppers from frequenting their favorite stores. If gamers keep inhaling their beloved games like spoiled children eating candy, I'd say a price increase isn't just a good business move; it's an obvious opportunity only a fool would hesitate to seize. Welcome to the future, ladies and gentlemen: We reap what we sow.

The Rumor: The Next Xbox Will Be Less Powerful Than the PlayStation 4. With the Kinect, a full lineup of multimedia distractions, and a large library of Xbox Live Arcade games, the current Xbox has mitigated its technical disadvantages relative to the PlayStation 3 and remained a successful force in the market. But what happens when you strip away these selling points, add limitations, and throw graphical disparity into the mix? You're left with an inferior system that won't sell unless it's at a dramatically reduced price or marketed to an incredibly susceptible audience. Either way, it's another potential strike in a fierce game that Microsoft won't want to lose.

Why It Could Succeed: Any credible gamer can tell you that graphics aren't everything. The current generation showcases a perfect example with the Wii, which is graphically inferior to both the Xbox 360 and the PS3, but managed to outsell both systems worldwide. By lowering the graphical output of its next-generation contender, Microsoft would decrease the cost of the system, increase its profit margins, and essentially make its console friendlier to fans and holiday shopping parents alike. Besides, if the difference in visuals is minimal, while the difference in price is enough to allow purchasers to buy a few more games, many gamers would spring for the less-expensive option.

So, what are your thoughts? If any of the rumors are true, are they enough to keep you away from the next Xbox? What is your breaking point, and when is enough enough?

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253 comments
MonkeyIslands
MonkeyIslands

None of you trust Microsoft, even if you are getting an Xbone, you still don't trust them. Don't lie to yourselfs.

Xpyder
Xpyder

Oh well, i thought Micro$oft had learned a few things from E3 and all the things going on but apparently not... they just annouced they wont stream the gamescon conferece while Sony will... and now, the rumors that One might launch in 2014 and the PS4 might launch in october, yeah, rumors, but if that were to be true One's destiny would be sealed and buried much sooner than expected.

ShinoRagnar
ShinoRagnar

Is xbox one the third console or the first? I know XBOX 3(60) is the second...

Detriiment
Detriiment

Anyone idiotic enough to still buy an XBone after all the shady shit Microsoft has done concerning the system deserve the shitty, overpriced system they are bound to get.  Have fun with Kinect 2.0 that spies on your you and your family, relaying everything back to the NSA.  Also the information that Microsoft will share with 3rd parties so you get advertisements "Based on your interests."

Ayebang
Ayebang

This is why XB 1 will succeed...

- XB live game and its online system is better, clearly.

- XB 1 will have more fun in living room via Kinect...No need to buy expensive smart TV equipped with normal camera but priced with 3 times higher than normal TV. XB1 will perform the incremental functions like internet, hand gesture, internet and so on....XB1 will do it better. This will be the end of expensive smart TV.

- Likely better cloud system...Microsoft knows this technology very well. This should be next area of competition. Doubt on Sony ability that is never strong on software and with cost cutting, loss and reducing headcount....It a problem to catch up.

- Install Kinect...Better game experience, better for game developers, for Kid and for my wife. Kinect technology is better than Eye from PS 4,too.

- Powerful OS inside....It is tweak version of Win 8. So, probably it may run Windows desktop software. Developers will probably launch many softwares after launching. Future is bright. Many developers who get familiar with win 8 code will find it comfortable to write software for XB1.

- Cable box inside....You can connect your cable box to XB1 and bypass menu to get interface of XB1....It is cool. You like it or not....Never mind, it just included. good hah. No need another port for your XB1 in your TV, too.

- More expensive than PS4 ?....Yes with Kinect installed. Anyway, it is cheaper than Iphone or its Sony flagship phone, though.

- Skype...You can play games without compromising to do more nice things in living room, watch TV and talk via Skype, too. Is it good ? I do not know. I know it is not bad at all to add this feature that PS4 cannot deliver.

DantheMan9856
DantheMan9856

my breaking point is finding myself growing up a lot this past generation of consoles and I am not likely to buy simply because I don't have the time to waste anymore.

CoolCoke
CoolCoke

Video Games are not on Microsoft's agenda list. What they make from software and hardware profits in five years they can make in another segment of the Microsoft franchise in about 6 months. Man they done gassed so many people it's hilarious.. LMAO (LITERALLY)!

CoolCoke
CoolCoke

I have like over 300 games why do i need another console . Novelty is gone ,redundancy is thriving ,and Patience has now become a Virtue         xbox3604life FTW

HenrySix
HenrySix

god feels good looking back at this article just got giggles

Shadowdanc3r
Shadowdanc3r

Anyone know how to upvote a user blog to make this outdated and irrelevant one go away?  Is there a way to downvote?

kik4444
kik4444

lol, this article is still featured XD

PrpleTrtleBuBum
PrpleTrtleBuBum

My Two reasons:

1. It's unusable or extremely inconvenient, most likely because of the online aspects.

2. It doesn't have the gaems.

zimeron1
zimeron1

Let's see.. my PC was about $1,000 paid in little bits over about 7 or 8 years.  That comes down to about $142 yearly with playability for every game out there, with several years of future-proofing.  Xbox 360, bought in 2007 for $500 + XBone bought in 2013 for $600 equals $183 yearly and games are constantly changing, so I would be forced to upgrade.  I think I will stick with PC for this generation.

suplax
suplax

Rumor 1,2 and 5 are lies. Stated by M$.

I cant tell the game prices , could be  , but could not.

And its's confirmed that it will need Kinect 2.0

MegamanX97
MegamanX97

This seems a little late to be featured, unless it is shown to represent the rumours that were once true have actually changed.

Compact87
Compact87

With this economic situation and games price, PC is my weapon of choice for now.

Ayebang
Ayebang

@Xpyder Really...Does PS 4 play xb Live ?

Will any kid and family request more living room functions that PS 4 cannot deliver ?

Only 2 players in the market and XB 1 is still likely deliver more and just 1 month late in America.

Does XB 1 will die ? Dude

spec24
spec24

@Detriiment ..anyone idiotic enough to not understand what they're talking about will call themselves Detriiment on the forums.  Get a clue.

asiel_code_7
asiel_code_7

@CoolCoke

Do your homework; TitanFall (ya eat it), Ryse, Dead Rising 3, Quantum Break, Killer Instinct, Sunset Overdrive, Below, Project Spark, D4, Black Tusk and Kinect Sports Rivals. Basically it comes down to Xbox One has 13 Exclusives, PS4 has 5. I love Sony and Microsoft, but don't say MicroSoft isn't about games, they are just about more than just games. 

asiel_code_7
asiel_code_7

@CoolCoke 

360 had more games on a single console ever....They also have more exclusives than Sony does at this point...Argue that.

spec24
spec24

@CoolCoke That's great. Now go share your opinion with people who give a damn.

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

@PrpleTrtleBuBum Are you retarded? It doesn't have the games? Yea, actually, it does, and history will go to show that Xbox had MORE games and MORE exclusives than PS3 did and sold MORE units than PS3. The end.

itsmebryan1
itsmebryan1

@zimeron1 The Xbox 360 was $399 and the one is $499. You don't upgrade console you move to the next one.  Do you even understand how consoles work?  The last life cycle was about 7 year for consoles.  The plan on a 10 year life cycle for the X1 and hopefully the PS4.  So a $500 console over 10 years equals $50.  If you add the life cycle of the X1(10 years) and the xbox 360 (7 years ) that is 17 year for $900.  That comes out to $52 a year.  The PS3 and 4 are about the same because PS3 was $500 and $600 at launch 7 years ago.  All of your math is wrong.

   Plus a 7 year old PC $1000 PC will not play current PC games at 1080 and a good frame rated. I have been building my own gaming rigs since the '90s when the 3DFX was the new high end add on video card.  My 7970 card for my PC cost over $500 last year.  Your cpu is only something like a P4 and video card can only really run direct x 9 if you are lucky and will not run modern games at high res with all the features turned on with a decent frame rate.  There was a difference when I went from dual AMD 4870s in crossfire to the AMD 7970 in my 6 core PC with 16 GB of ram and dual SSD.  It's way more then $50 to be able to keep my gaming PC you to speed and you are leaving out how much you spent on your "several years of future proofing" to prove your points.  So, nothing in your statement is true.  Your facts are wrong.  You are leaving out section about your PC to try to prove your point and that is just dishonest.  Why would you come on here and just make up things that anyone on the internet can fact check ? 

And what's wrong with the person that gave his comments that doesn't have one true statement beside the years that the system came out  a "like"?

Enundr
Enundr

@suplax maybe , but odds are M$ will say anything to get ppl to buy it , they say it has similar specs , that "cloud" will make it more powerful but thats always in theory , and with the other thing that was said that the kinect costs almost as much as the console itself , makes  it sound somewhere along the lines they skimped out on some of the parts on the console itself since that would mean the kinect would be more then the $100

Ayebang
Ayebang

ohhh.

I think u are dumber. Haha

arqe
arqe

@asiel_code_7 Sony didnt make any money from Ps3 , they almost bankrupted. Market Share down %80 down , shareholders at %15 while the minimum is %20. Sony is just crippled gaming / console industry.

Chronologo
Chronologo

@asiel_code_7 more exclusives? Halo, Forza, Gears of War... did I mention Halo? Don't count the arcade titles, since they go onto PC a couple of months later as many of your "exclusives"

StageS7N
StageS7N

@Grenadeh @PrpleTrtleBuBum I think hes talking about reliable first party. Basically all weve seen so far is Microsoft paying everyone under the sun to make them games or at least give them a timed-exclusivity advantage. 

Sohereiam
Sohereiam

@Grenadeh @PrpleTrtleBuBum Look pal, Ps3 is the console with the largest amount of Jgames, and over 80% of them are exclusive to PS3, them HOW Xbox has more exclusive games than PS3, and HOW it has more games?

cvbz
cvbz

@Grenadeh @PrpleTrtleBuBum umm first thing first xbox actually does NOT have more games and more exclusives then the PS3 did. 2nd the PS3's exclusives were/are in general much better then the xbox exclusives going by meteoritic scores. The end? my friend you got lost before it even began.

swavo13
swavo13

@itsmebryan1 @zimeron1 


I see where you're coming from, but remember that some people also buy pc's for other things than just games, which may justify the costs if you count gaming + other uses.

Other than that, the pc library is massive and pc games are generally very cheap.

Still, buying a console isn't bad at all. And we can't say we know a console is going to do well or bad till they actually reach the end of their lifespan.

zimeron1
zimeron1

@itsmebryan1 @zimeron1 I bought the Elite 360, which was in fact $500 dollars. The difference is that I don't have to buy $500 worth of crap every 7 years. I can buy a $200-300 GPU every 7 years and keep my case, power supply, RAM, motherboard, CPU, and 2 TB of storage and keep up to date.  I am running an i5 + 8GB RAM (got together for about $170) and two SLI GeForce GTX 650 GPUs ($300 together). That is about $470 all told, still cheaper than an XBone, and is not hamstrung by a dual operating system, and has FAR more storage capacity than either console.  So for roughly the same money, I get a decent gaming rig that is cool, high storage capacity, and can run Internet and music while also running Guild Wars 2 at 100 FPS, 1080p with no loss of performance.

Ayebang
Ayebang

Who said I am America. Don't u think I am Japanese ? Haha. Buy ps4 and unreasonably hate xb1, then, it is good for Americans. Yes yes that right.

Chronologo
Chronologo

@Ayebang Yeah there's no doubt you're american, the birthplace of 12 years old basement dwellers trolls

Ayebang
Ayebang

@Detriiment @Ayebang You are really good guy I think...see this

Many said PS 4 is a Japanese product...Dude.

We are Americans... We are cleaver than any part of the World.

We will buy PS 4 which will be made in China and Japan, developed in Japan, its OS is made in UK...This is fine. Good for Americans

XB 1 will be made in China, developed by Americans, its OS made in USA...This is bad for Americans.

Japanese don't like XB 1 much although XB1's online game is the best....That's fine.

Americans like PS 4 pretty much considering many comments in Gamespot here......that is OK and you got believe many in this forum are not dude Fore sure, most guys in this forum are not hired by Sony to attack XB 1 for sure. In the past Sony Picture used to hire someone to post favorable comments to its movie but not this time for sure..

We are not dude ...We are Americans...So, buy 4 and let Japanes buy PS 4 again...let it be.

It is good for American economy to buy PS 4 although XB 1 is better than PS 4 in some respect.....It is good.

Remember this.... Microsoft are bad like 95% comments said and believe it .... Repeat.. Buy PS 4, XB 1

By the way, Bill gates does not donate his wealth.... believe me. Sony made lot of profit (nearly 5 billion last quarter) and will donate in the future for sure ... believe me.

You are not dude, I know, so, believe what I and many in this forum said Sony is good Microsoft is bad.

spec24
spec24

@asiel_code_7 @Chronologo Don't waste your time on idiots like Chronologo. Both systems will do nearly the same crap, it's just that Sony is not pushing their media capabilities because if the PS3 (and Son'y's track record) is any indicator, they suck.

asiel_code_7
asiel_code_7

@Chronologo @asiel_code_7 

Do your homework; TitanFall (ya eat it), Ryse, Dead Rising 3, Quantum Break, Killer Instinct, Sunset Overdrive, Below, Project Spark, D4, Black Tusk and Kinect Sports Rivals. Basically it comes down to Xbox One has 13 Exclusives, PS4 has 5. I love Sony and Microsoft, but don't say MicroSoft isn't about games, they are just about more than just games. 

Shadowdanc3r
Shadowdanc3r

@StageS7N @Sohereiam @Grenadeh @PrpleTrtleBuBum  The one year head start over PS3 was one reason 360 ended up with more games.  

As far as paying for exclusives, how is what they're doing different than what Nintendo did with Square Soft, back when it was called that, back in the day?  

Or how 'bout Sony buying stock in Square Enix not long ago?  Luckily for 360 users that hasn't deterred multi-platform releases from them.

StageS7N
StageS7N

@Sohereiam @Grenadeh @PrpleTrtleBuBum 

The Xbox 360 has more games because Microsoft pays everyone to give them exclusives out of the gate, like they did with the 360 for about three years until like 2008. Microsoft has more games, but Sony has more highly rated exclusives.