Dead Rising 3 projected to sell 1.2 million copies

Capcom reveals worldwide sales expectations for upcoming Xbox One zombie game; Lost Planet 3 fails to meet commercial expectations at 300,000 units sold to date.

Capcom expects Xbox One-exclusive open-world zombie game Dead Rising 3 to sell 1.2 million copies worldwide by the end of March 2014, the company announced today.

The publisher said it also plans to raise the downloadable content (DLC) sales ratio by increasing full-game and add-on download sales across its portfolio of games. Earlier this week, Capcom announced the Dead Rising 3 season pass, which features four separate expansion packs for $30.

The sales forecast came as part of Capcom's latest earnings report, where it was also revealed that Lost Planet 3 failed to meet commercial expectations. The game has sold 300,000 units in Europe and North America so far, Capcom said.

Resident Evil: Revelations for Xbox 360, PlayStation 3, Wii U, and PC sold 1 million units so far, while Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen has moved more than 650,000 copies since launch in April.

Also in Capcom's earnings report, the company announced Kiwi & Me, an all-new iOS puzzle game that is aimed at casual female players.

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Eddie Makuch

Eddie Makuch is a news editor at GameSpot, and would like to see the Whalers return to Hartford.
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101 comments
Ripper_TV
Ripper_TV

Sad to see Capcom go, but it's nostalgia talking... their games suck nowadays.

revlux88
revlux88

DR3 is actually the only game I've preordered so far for the X1 and I am crazy psyched for the 15th and 22nd to finally arrive.  I feel fairly confident that DR3 will do just fine in sales as long as it doesn't receive horrible review scores. That said, I'm not sure about their goal of 1.2million by March of 2014 though.

The estimates I've looked at only show approx. 86, 648 DR3 preorders in the U.S. as of mid October. If those preorder figures are even remotely accurate DR3 would have to catch fire across the rest of the world to come close to their goal. http://www.vgchartz.com/article/251359/ps4-vs-xbox-one-us-pre-orders-update-xbox-one-gains-ground/

Doomerang
Doomerang

@revlux88 VGChartz is THE most unreliable place to gather numbers, bar none. They've admitted in the past that their numbers are at best educated guesses (read: they're not official numbers), and there's no way for them to get any numbers without retailers actually giving it to them (which they don't). 

kwr1971
kwr1971

@revlux88

And here is the real Kicker:

DR3 is only able to render in 720P on the Xbox One,  It cant keep a decent frame rate @ 1080P.  Bring on the GDR5 in the PS4.  Smart of MS to pay for an exclusive when the Hardware is already showing limitations on launch.  MS is looking desperate and their console has not even launched yet.  I liked DR2 but I'm not going to go near the Xbox when developers are already pushing its limits and it cant push out 1080P.  In response to the PS4 MS added some extra off-die ram to try and off-set the PS4 DDR5 advantage but it is so restrictive to developers and difficult to program that dev's have already said they wont use it.  I also would stay away from the XBox because ultimately if they were to win the console war we would have such restrictive DRM policies it would kill the industry.  Screw the Xbox One,  MS lost the HDDVD/BLURay battle because everyone knew BD was better,   Now it looks like MS will loose because their hardware is problematic and no one wants DRM handcuffs.  Last gen I only owned an Xbox now I am going PS4 and no looking back

tightwad34
tightwad34

1.2 million seems a bit low, but I would do the same thing. I would still make the best game I possibly could but lower my expectations of sales. Then if it did sell a lot I would be pleasantly surprised and if it didn't sell really well I wouldn't be left disappointed. This may be a bit jaded, but it's hard to get disappointed if your hopes aren't so high.

mr_nee
mr_nee

@tightwad34 1.2m by march is too much. Only thing that's helping this game's sales is it being a launch title. My most optimistic guess MS will sell a 3,3m consoles by that time. With other games to play DR3 will sell about 500k-800k copies

Cronyk
Cronyk

Got one sale right here.. XD   cant wait!

dethtrain
dethtrain

Great. More nickel and diming. I'm getting sick of these big publishers the past few years. Pumping out sub-par and generic games!

Neo_OnionKnight
Neo_OnionKnight

They should just make the multiplat Dragon's Dogma 2, instead of pulling a cheap stunt like this and F2P Deep Down. 

 I heard also that DR3 was suppose to be for the current/olde gen but the 360 hardware couldn't handle the demand so they refitted it to next gen instead. Sounds like a desperate strategy of salvaging sunked money in a "before next gen" money grab, so desperate they ran to whoever could dangle the dough in front of them - MS.

 We smell your weakness Cappedcom, your oozing blood and decline to drink your bitter, bitter, medicine.

toddx77
toddx77

I would love to know how much Microsoft had to pay Capcom to get this to be an exclusive.  Considering the first game was ported to the Wii and 2 was multi plat I am sure Capcom wanted a hefty amount from Microsoft if they were going to make the third game an exclusive.  Not only that, but I am sure Microsoft had to tell them of their original plans of requiring internet once every 24 hours and I am betting Capcom didn't like that idea.  

Thanatos2k
Thanatos2k

@toddx77 Capcom is seriously desperate for cash, so it's not surprising they leaped at the chance to take money for it to be exclusive.  

I hope it backfires in their faces.

Hurvl
Hurvl

Lost Planet underwhelmed? Who could have known that with all of the mediocre reviews and user reviews it got. Quite a surprise, indeed.

bouchart
bouchart

They'll be lucky to get half of that.

Ripper_TV
Ripper_TV

Casual female iOS company... sigh... and to think that it was once the guys who made RESIDENT EVIL... everything changes...


Ripper_TV
Ripper_TV

They totally buried the Lost Planet franchise with that last game. It's sad, since the first one actually was very-very promising, had very high potential.


Thanatos2k
Thanatos2k

Don't buy this COD-chasing generic crap.  Capcom is on its last legs, time to put them out of their misery and liberate the few good franchises they have left so other developers can make the games Capcom refuses to, like Breath of Fire and Megaman.

Stiler
Stiler

@Thanatos2k They did make Dragon's Dogma though, which was a very good game imo and  I can't wait for the second one.

Thanatos2k
Thanatos2k

@Stiler @Thanatos2k They didn't expect it to succeed though, so that's why it didn't have the usual Capcom bullshit involved.  But as soon as they noticed it, it got the full Capcom treatment - releasing multiple versions of it, and the second game will be packed full of DLC nonsense.

zerofrust
zerofrust

lol Capcom  has only 150M in their bank account.I hope for their sake that those projections will meet or exceed reality and that MS paid them enough to compensate for cost of opportunity.

3rd party exclusives make no sense business wise currently,let alone with a less than good financial state.

jecomans
jecomans

@Ripper_TV It was released in their financial statements in July/August. They also recently announced they don't have the resources (i.e. spare cash) to port Street Fighter to next-gen. They're really doing it tough now. 

Too make it worse, the head of games at Capcom recently revealed that their strategy is too hard-sell DLC to make money, and they'll quickly abandon support for new games that don't sell DLC. I'm worried...   

gamist
gamist

Welp, looking at LP3 and RER, if DR3 doesn't reach their goal, Capcom can always release the game for the PS4 1 yr later.

tmorri603
tmorri603

@gamist The game is being published by MS not Capcom so don't look for it to be on the PS4.

robertcain
robertcain

Agreed, Dead Rising 3 might reach that figure in lifetime sales but Capcom doesn't know how well the system itself will do in the first few months. They can ship all the copies they can and it won't mean much if the system itself doesn't match up. The developer has become difficult to trust as well; messing up Resident Evil 6 and on-disc DLC to name a few bad practices.

mellow09
mellow09

That seems a bit unrealistic. I could see that in lifetime sales, but by March? No. I have a hard time even seeing half of that.

Techtroll
Techtroll

They failed with lost planet 3 and sadly their sales will fail again for making this an XBone exclusive

RossRichard
RossRichard

Not seeing it happen, unless MS can sell 10mil XBones by March.

deathstream
deathstream

@bledsoe45sbc @RossRichard 

Yep  Launch titles don't even have to be good to sell fairly well.  The over-abundance of cross-generational games as launch titles (Madden in November?)  will make launch exclusives even more enticing.  Early word on Knack is that it is horrible, but it will sell because PS4 owners have to play something until Infamous launches.  The only reason the forecast isn't higher is competition from Ryse, which is another violent, gory third person action game.

jecomans
jecomans

@deathstream What? Everyone who has played Knack that I've read about anywhere is really excited about it.

keech
keech

Given the small number of global regions the X1 is being released in initially, this is an unrealistic goal.  They are basically expecting 30-40% of all X1 buyers through March of next year to buy this game.  Only games like Mario, Grand Theft Auto, and Call of Duty should expect to hit those kinds of percentages.

deathstream
deathstream

@keech What do regions have to do with anything?

Estimates put the Xbox One at 5 million plus sold by April.  That puts the attach rate needed much closer to 20% than even 30%, much less 40%


And launch exclusives don't have the same set of rules as other releases.  Even awful launch titles tend to sell fairly well.

keech
keech

@deathstream Because the first two months of a games release is when it will make the bulk of it's sales.  Then the numbers will typically dramatically drop.  Even expecting 20% of the user-base on a series like Dead Rising is a really high expectation.  I wouldn't even be confident of Resident Evil 7 or Street Fighter 5 being able to pull those kinds of numbers at this point in time.

velvethammer2000
velvethammer2000

Guess the Sony fanboys came out to attack another solid launch title on the ONE.... sad really. This game is awesome. I played it.

berserks
berserks

@velvethammer2000 Don t change that expecting to sale 1.2 million of a game only on 1 console that no one bought yet  is ridiculous .

revlux88
revlux88

@velvethammer2000 @Techtroll You can't buy the console digitally and the est. preorders for the Xbox one show DR3 would have to have an enormous attachment rate to reach 1.2million by their goal. Not impossible, of course, but unlikely.

revlux88
revlux88

@b00me @Techtroll Do you always resort to name calling when people don't agree with you? Stay classy Gamespot...

velvethammer2000
velvethammer2000

@Techtroll Who the hell preorders anything anymore? You can buy it digitally on day one. That doesn't tell the whole story at all.

Techtroll
Techtroll

I do and everyone else who bought a ps4 or XBone

b00me
b00me

@Techtroll You think that's an accurate way of telling how things will sale? If you really believe that you're an idiot.

thisBlueDude
thisBlueDude

@Techtroll I'm downloading it digitally Day One. Fuck standing in lines at Gamestop and Bestbuy anymore.

jecomans
jecomans

@thisBlueDude I thought the whole point of pre-ordering was that they mail it too you, not that you go stand it line?