BioShock: Infinite could ship 4.9 million units - Analyst

Janco Partners' Mike Hickey believes Irrational Games' upcoming shooter has potential to move nearly 5 million copies.

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Although Irrational Games' BioShock: Infinite isn't taking flight until next year on the Xbox 360, PlayStation 3, and PC, one analyst is already setting expectations for the game, stating that he believes its shipment total will soar when it is released.

One could say expectations for BioShock: Infinite are "sky high."

In a note to investors today, Janco Partners' Mike Hickey expressed his belief that BioShock: Infinite will ship 4.9 million copies and generate $221 million in sales. If the game does achieve such success, it will easily outpace predecessor BioShock 2, which has shipped 3 million units as of March 2010.

As for the upcoming title, BioShock: Infinite is set in a chaos-plagued airborne metropolis called Columbia. Gamers assume the role of Booker DeWitt, a former member of the feared Pinkerton National Detective Agency, which was the nation's largest security company in the late 19th century.

For more on BioShock: Infinite, check out GameSpot's latest preview.

Discussion

95 comments
jaymim101
jaymim101

Has anyone else noticed that Gamestop has a release date of Feb. 2, 2012? Is this accurate?

Gravity_Slave
Gravity_Slave

@shadow580: I know what you're trying to say, but lack of light and mutated bad guys doesn't always equal creepy. Ever see Jacobs Ladder? Plenty of that took place during the day.

shadow580
shadow580

@Gravity_Slave My point in being less creepy was the fact that much of the footage shows open outdoor environment with daylight. That's helluva lot less creepy than roaming closed dark corridors were splicers get up close to hit you in the face. Also, the enemies don't look like mutated freaks. If that's not enough to be less creepy then I don't know what is.

The_Godfather_
The_Godfather_

@frankblack789 I don't copy, I cut, you arrogant guy. ;)

Gravity_Slave
Gravity_Slave

@shadow580: lol you think because there is day light its going to be less creepy? Of course theres going to be different people interested in the "new style"...than again, Metallica got a new fanbase after they got old, cut off their hair and whined about piracy. Cool if thats your thing now. (on another note: oh and look who changed his picture...went from a dork and a babe to just two babies) ;)

AlkaPorty
AlkaPorty

@godzillavskong Damn right I clicked on this topic, otherwise it would've be absurd to express my opinion without knowing the whole thing. In fact, I would have like to know on what they've based this analyse, but they didn't mention anything, so why would I care? And I loved both Bioshock too, and I'm excited to play in this new universe as well, but I don't think this "analyse" will change my gaming experience.

frankblack789
frankblack789

@The_Godfather_ ok smart guy, if you don't need to be an analyst, why don't you come up with your own number without copying someone else's answer like you probably usually do & see how close you come...

The_Godfather_
The_Godfather_

you don't have to be an analyst to guess that bioshock infinite will sell millions of copies. many people will buy it no matter what.

Rottenwood
Rottenwood

"Could also ship 2.8 million units," analyst admits. "Or more. Possibly less," he added.

DarckArchon
DarckArchon

I don't care if if the whole planet is gonna play it, I just want it to come out !

abcdefgabcdefgz
abcdefgabcdefgz

"In a note to investors today, Janco Partners' Mike Hickey expressed his belief that BioShock: Infinite will ship 4.9 million copies and generate $221 million in sales." Statistics is not just some sample represents the whole population it all depends on how you take that sample and they never explain how they did this or how they came up with this 221 million number? A good sample means they polled gamers and non gamers through a variety of methods and got honest and true feedback which a lot of times is not true.

abcdefgabcdefgz
abcdefgabcdefgz

"In a note to investors today, Janco Partners' Mike Hickey expressed his belief that BioShock: Infinite will ship 4.9 million copies and generate $221 million in sales." I have never actually seen any of these guys explain how they invent these numbers? Do they just look at the past games and take a guess where in the world does 221 million come from just a made up number?

-HCMF-
-HCMF-

This game looks amazing

JBOT5000
JBOT5000

Aborted, statistics can be manipulated in any number of ways, the most famous example is the study of people with larger shoe sizes being smarter. Of course this was due to small children being polled in the population. I only have so much space to talk about the topic so I figured I would keep it brief and avoid things like population bias, confounding variables etc. Landisan, my intention was to appear high and mighty, just as all these "haters" posted their instant disapproval of any analyst. I'm sorry you have not met an intelligent analyst. There are many to be found from sports, economics, politics, military etc. Though he is dead Sun Tzu is a pretty famous analyst/general with his findings utilized in many areas still to this day. Fast food is not my food of choice, I respect the food service industry, but our culture views it as a lower educational/socioeconomic position. I chose this as an attempt to mock the "haters". Future posts will pick other industries and positions. I also never claimed to be a college grad, but it is nice that someone could gather that from the content of my post. I never post comments, but I'm interested in seeing some constructive debate on these stories instead of the usual venom.

fgjnfgh
fgjnfgh

lets say more than 4.9m

julgamespot1
julgamespot1

@nomorepain4u...Bioshock 2 was Bioshock with slight thematic and story changes. lol it's basically an expansion pack. Can't see how you can love one but not the other. Both were great imo.

jonnybutler11
jonnybutler11

@nomorepain4u please, explain to me what made bioshock 2 so terrible.

banderweir
banderweir

Yeah, and Street Cleaning Simulator COULD sell 10 million copies. Worthless conjecture...

skipper847
skipper847

when i make my game it will proly ship 5 million beat that

aroxx_ab
aroxx_ab

I am for sure one of those million buyers

nomorepain4u
nomorepain4u

bioshock 2 was terrible but i loved the first game. hopefully this will be good.

s4dn3s5
s4dn3s5

I can't believe they are paid to pull out some random numbers and that the media even listen to this BS

landisan
landisan

@Jbot5000 For someone so high and mighty you still eat at fast food restaurants. I hope you get your ketchup next time. I too am a college grad, and have to be honest with you, I have yet to see an analyst who knew his @$$ from a hole in the ground.

Nandutzu
Nandutzu

Is that a measure unit for quality?(no. of shipped units that is)

ilovelctr
ilovelctr

Analysts are analysts. They say what they have to say to make a living. But well, since both BioShock and BioShock 2 sold so well, there's a reason to believe this one will sell even better, especially when considering the fact that Infinite switched to a much brighter world, which will appeal to more gamers.

comb5
comb5

*Insert newest game in popular series* could ship/sell *Insert large number/amount of money here* Can I be a game industry analyst now?

Kazmo-Khan
Kazmo-Khan

Booker's voice sounds very very familiar.

aborted_fetus
aborted_fetus

JBOT, as someone who is bothering to explain the concept of statistics, you are remiss in not further explaining that due to the very nature of statistical information, particularly the nature of how the information is gathered, in the very best case, the statistics in question are only ever POSSIBLY true. In the right hands, s statistic can be used to prove anything.

Unholy123
Unholy123

Heh could do alot of things bioshock 2 didn't like be good.

JBOT5000
JBOT5000

Since most of you posting are still in high school or below I will explain something called "statistics". You will probably take it in college or possibly in your advanced fast food training course. You can take a small subset of a larger population and based upon that data calculate the percentages of the larger population. Google how a gallup poll works since the elections are nearing. Telling these people to stop making stuff up and get a real job only demonstrates your lack of knowledge of their obvious true skills. P.S. yes I always want ketchup with my order, stop forgetting it in my bag

godzillavskong
godzillavskong

@AlkaPorty Yet you clicked on this topic?? I loved the first Bioshock, liked the second, and It looks as if this one is going to trump both. Hopefully it lives up to the expectations.

shadow580
shadow580

@Gravity_Slave This change is actually something that has made a lot of new people interested in the game that weren't really that interested before. I tried playing the series in the past but I found it too dark and creepy for my taste. I prefer the brighter setting, the main characters and voice acting, and the new game mechanics. There really is a lot more difference than the setting alone.

youtubeeeee
youtubeeeee

my analyse result:22.5 million units on the first week so gooooo bioshock infinite

conkerton
conkerton

After analyzing this analyst's report I predict there will be people who anal-lust this game in my newest analysis reporting.

hXcShock
hXcShock

I predict that tomorrow the sun will rise and I will take my morning piss. Am I an analyst now?

Driscoal
Driscoal

Random number pulled out of ass. Wow, that analyst has mad cred, yo!

Gravity_Slave
Gravity_Slave

idk...Bioshock just looses its luster out of water. Its like they're trying to recapture the magic all over again just be doing the opposite elemental...sky. (Cause even water didn't work as well the second time around.) One hit wonder with just several iterations of itself.

RussellGorall
RussellGorall

One of the most hyped games of all time will sell well? Nobody is more hyped for this game than me, but these business analysts usually spout the most obvious things and act like they just did something. I think this number is a bit low, actually.

EasyComeEasyGo
EasyComeEasyGo

I play BioShock 1,2 and I like both of them and I'm gonna pre-order Infinite until the new year kicks off.

Aspire85
Aspire85

Can Mike 'Mystic' Dickey give me next weeks lottery numbers too? Thanks.

Printul_Noptii
Printul_Noptii

the Bioshock games have accumulated a cult status already there is no need for analytics or whatsoever, its very simple people who played the previous games will most definitely get this so they should adjust their analytics based on the previous sales.

Megleeker
Megleeker

Im suspicious of games needing hyped like this. Im certain the game will be excellent and i will be getting it. I will be getting it however because i enjoyed the previous titles NOT because apparantly 4.9 million other people will be buying it. Give it up "Analyst".

Sagacious_Tien
Sagacious_Tien

Im guessing about 4 million in sales. Either way, one copy at least will go to me. Hope they have a sweet pre-order offer.

DarthVeng_basic
DarthVeng_basic

I'll keep saying this everytime these are posted. These posts are a waste of time. Analysts need to get a real job and quit setting around guessing all day like they matter.

Jimbowesker
Jimbowesker

And how exactly do these predictions come about? I will be one of em to get it but I dont see how an analyst predictions on how the game will sell can be very accurate.

rastkos
rastkos

Great, "The Analyst", this is when things start to go down, when the success of a game starts being measured by whether it reached the level of sales some a$$ analyst has foretold. That's one of the things which is wrong with stock markets.