April Fool's: Analyst: Revolution will take lead in 2010

Surprise prediction from analyst Thomas Runte touts Nintendo's console as winner of next-gen war by next decade.

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APRIL 1--In the world of underdogs, few are getting as little respect as Nintendo's upcoming console, code-named Revolution. An overwhelming majority of industry analysts have stated that the favorite to win the next-gen console battle will be the PlayStation 3, with the remaining experts saying that Microsoft's Xbox 360 will take advantage of its head start to market, making it tough to beat.

However, Thomas Runte, a self-proclaimed analyst who frequents message boards under the handle "Miyamoto_Mojo," thinks differently.

"We expect Nintendo's Revolution, based on its price and immense catalog of downloadable games, to be the market leader by 2010," Runte told GameSpot News. "Nintendo is going to be one heck of a competitor for the gaming pie, and from the looks of it, I think they are going to get a rather huge slice."

Runte sees the ongoing concern over prices of consoles and games as the major factor in his analysis. The Revolution is almost guaranteed to be the cheapest console when its hits the market, with some projections going as low as $199 for the system.

"Sony and Microsoft will have game development costs much higher than that of the Revolution. The higher costs to develop for [the PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360] will be passed on to consumers. This isn't the case with Nintendo's Revolution," said Runte. "I wouldn't be surprised if its games, first- and third-party, were $39, or even cheaper. If you had the choice to pay $40 or $60 for a game, which would you choose? Nintendo is rocking the game industry. They've got the right idea. Soon their superior strategy will pull them ahead."

Innovation is also a key selling point for the console says Runte. The console's controller, which is shaped like a TV remote, uses motion sensors to effectively simulate swinging a sword, casting a fishing line, or shooting a gun.

"I've heard about the controller and some of the projects that Nintendo is working on. It's really very impressive and should tap heavily into the non-gaming market. The possibilities [with the controller] are almost limitless, and I heard from a source that there are already early builds of the Revolution's handwriting-recognition technology. Gamers will eventually use the controller to 'write' answers, allowing Nintendo to bring its popular Brain Training games to the Rev. That'll definitely move systems in Japan. [Nintendo president Satoru] Iwata is a genius--pure and simple."

Runte also thinks that timing favors Nintendo. The Revolution will be able to play games from Nintendo's older consoles, the Sega Genesis, and Hudson's TurboGrafx-16.

"Remember, today's gamers grew up playing Mario Bros. and Zelda, some of the best games of all time. They're out there now as the industry's main consumers. The ability to play thousands of games, all priced in the five-dollar range, without leaving the house is very attractive. Gamers don't want to buy a PS3. They prefer a good system with nostalgia over a system with prettier graphics. Games are meant to be one thing--fun."

Runte says it's not only that Nintendo has "superior strategy" and is "totally awesome"; it's Nintendo's rivals' weaknesses that give the Revolution the advantage. He dismisses the competition as a non-factor and had particularly harsh words for Sony.

"Sony has yet to come out of the pit stop after the first lap. Folks, when this race started, naysayers said Nintendo would not have enough under the engine to compete with Microsoft and Sony. Trying to one-up Nintendo like they did with them wanting to make a Revolution-style controller after it was revealed and oohed and aahed over... Sony won't let anyone else have time in the light. Down with Sony. I am going to take a bat to my PS2. Nintendo is back in a big way. I think Nintendo will own them all. I believe they are on the path to domination once again. I think they finally are giving people what they want and continuing to give them things they never thought of."

Runte wasn't done touting Nintendo's future after the phone conversation with GameSpot News. In a follow-up e-mail, he wrote, "OMG!!! Zelda on teh DS roolz!!!11!1!!1!1 Chrono Trigger downloadable? :) Nintendo >>>>> M$ and Sony. They don't stand a chance! W00t!"

One pro-Sony analyst, who wished only to be known as "Devil_Dante420," responded to Runte's comments. He told GameSpot News, "Whatever. Runte is such a noob. The PS3's graphics are far superior to the Revolution games. Gamers are getting older, they want a machine that caters to an older, mature audience. Zelda is like totally lame. Final Fantasy, now that's a series that can carry a console."

Steve "4Runner" Downes, another self-proclaimed "analyst," is still sticking with his original projection that the Xbox 360 will dominate the next generation. "The Xbox 360 is just better than the lame PS3 and Revolution. I don't care that they're not even out yet, the 360 is just better. Just watch noobz, the world will stop when Halo 3 is released. [Sony and Nintendo] should just give up now."

Discussion

393 comments
Ninkobra
Ninkobra

And the last thing that was left from the article -Chrono Trigger on the VC- recently became true. To the naysayers: EAT IT!

Jtagn
Jtagn

And this is why April 1st articles can be an advantage. Some people may think that the joke is that they convinced people it was a joke :D

Zathic
Zathic

That's ridiculou.... oh wait

Rikusaki
Rikusaki

Lol... Everyone in the comments section = owned.

InsertWittyID
InsertWittyID

This made my day. This brings me back to my junior high days when I was laughed at by my friends for thinking the Nintendo DS would be better than the PSP.

345tom
345tom

Brilliantly prophitical! (thank god for made up words). Got to wonder where this years april fools is hanging around at...

Seabas989
Seabas989

Wow way to go GS! Four years later and reading this and the old comments never gets old. lol Ironic.

DJ_Headshot
DJ_Headshot

Its funny how most of this came true :lol:

tryagainlater
tryagainlater

:lol: I guess this teaches us to never underestimate Nintendo.

jakarai
jakarai

This was supposed to be a joke? :lol:

Posaydal
Posaydal

Classic, just classic. My favourite part: "Games are meant to be one thing--fun." In the end, it turns out it was correct.

Ace6301
Ace6301

Looking back this article is genius.

enrique_marrodz
enrique_marrodz

Thomas Runte, are you still in possession of your magic crystal ball?

kweeni
kweeni

lol, so many people that got pwned by this article...xD

Dycras
Dycras

lol, look who were all wrong XD

LINKloco
LINKloco

Ninty will lose again.lol

Dualmask
Dualmask

I wonder if anyone who reads this ancient article today can sense the dramatic irony?

Attoyou
Attoyou

Kfoss haha wrong! the controller Saved the wii! you couldn't have been more wrong, but i guess everyone thought the same thing

Emono
Emono

Good god, the Irony.

IvanDraco
IvanDraco

that's not a joke anymore, it's turning real, I guess we can all lol

lunatic656
lunatic656

Worse yet, industry insiders continue to belittle Wii with words like "casual," "fad," "gimmick," and "kiddy," simply to dance around the fact that the Wii has been the most successful gaming platform in recent history. Now everyone is complaining that Nintendo is abandoning the "hardcore." Don't these stupid people realize that that has been Nintendo's strategy from the start of making the Wii? They have abandoned GAMERS in favor of CONSUMERS, which is the smartest business decision that a gaming company can make. You call that abandonment? Backstabbing? Well I can guarantee you that Sony and Microsoft would backstab every one of their hormonal teen male gaming fans in a heartbeat if it meant attracting all of Nintendo's customers (and at this E3, they did just that, except for the attracting customers part. Ouch.) Now that Microsoft and Sony are appearing to try to follow Nintendo's footsteps (although they probably will not wholeheartedly follow through like Nintendo, at least not this generation), all of a sudden motion control is "in" and "the future." Well guess what, the future is here, and it has been here since Nintendo made the Wii, and Microsoft and Sony are unfashionably late to the motion control party. Sorry for the extensive analysis. If you disagree with what I've said, just realize that I'm talking about the cold, hard truth of Nintendo's current success. If you disagree, you need to stop thinking like a gamer and start thinking like a businessperson.

lunatic656
lunatic656

Wow. This article perfectly demonstrates how BLIND the gaming industry and gaming "journalists" are. And gamers all too eager to drink their kool-aid. While Sony and Microsoft were bent on appealing to GAMERS, Nintendo decided to stop playing in such a small field and instead try to appeal to CONSUMERS. A bit of anecdotal evidence: my SISTER, who's last favorite game was 2xtreme for the Playstation, is now saving up to buy a Wii and Wii fit. She could care less what some gaming websites have to say about what is fun and what is not, she's just buying what she knows SHE thinks is fun. The fact that both Sony and Microsoft have revealed how they are "tacking on" motion control shows how they see Nintendo's success and still don't get it. Their mission is to pander to a niche group of gamers, and I expect that they will continue to pander to those groups to a fault. When will the gaming industry realize that their focus on HD graphics, online play, and "epic storylines" (which are really just tricks to make gamers feel like they are indulging in "art" to justify their investing so much time in games...and by the way, the stories for the most part all suck), are alienating the average consumer? In fact, I think the gaming industry KNOWS that it has abandoned the average consumer, and it has been perfectly content with doing so, and that is why they lost this round to Nintendo. .

gbrading
gbrading moderator

Ye speaketh truths, when ye pretend to mock! Of course, we all know GameSpot can predict the future. Just look at Guitar Hero DS.

renger6002
renger6002

ahahahah... all lollers eat their words

anshul89
anshul89

lmao. ms and sony fanboys got owned.

Bigboss232
Bigboss232

wow lol this is true wii owned this gen i guess.

kejigoto
kejigoto

Didn't even take till 2010 for it to take the lead. Greatest April Fool's post ever.

Shadow_Crimson
Shadow_Crimson

Exactly! I love to see how people kept telling that Nintendo should retire and look now! Ahhhh, the sweet joy of listening to people drown in their own words =) Funny part is that still now I hear from some fanboys that Sony will manage to take the better hand at this! lol

Mike1978Smith
Mike1978Smith

The best part is the 7 pages of comments saying how this would never come true! Eat it, guys!

Superdude475
Superdude475

Roflcopter! 3 years later and look at it now!

Serraph105
Serraph105

indeed rockguy92 personally if I were gamespot I would have taken this down by now and pretend it never happened

rockguy92
rockguy92

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

fbigent34
fbigent34

oh no... gamespot can i have a crystal ball?

Tork_110
Tork_110

It says A LOT about analysts when only an April's Fools article was right about the future. No one saw Nintendo's disruption strategy.

PENGUINKK
PENGUINKK

There is really nothing sweeter than seeing people eat their own words.

porphyrous
porphyrous

I just thought it would be really cool to revisit this "April Fool's Joke" and compare it with reality. How much of this article has come true? Hmm?

suprsolider
suprsolider

Ironic isn't it you god damn snot nosed people. You all think lightly of the sleeping giant, but the GIANT is CRUSHING both PS3 and 360, and IS THE MARKET LEADER.