Analysts predicts Battlefield 4 sales to hit 14 million

Sterne Agee analyst offers sales estimate for upcoming shooter; believes it can successfully coexist alongside Call of Duty: Ghosts.

Despite competition from Call of Duty: Ghosts, DICE's Battlefield 4 will sell 14 million units upon launch later this year, according to Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia. The analyst revealed the prediction today in a note to investors that was focused on Activision Blizzard.

In the note, Bhatia explained that both Battlefield 4 (October 29) and Call of Duty: Ghosts (November 5) can "coexist successfully" despite releasing just one week apart.

Bhatia also predicted that one-third of all Battlefield 4 sales will come through PC, while just 10 percent of Call of Duty: Ghosts' overall units will be sold through PC.

"The Battlefield series resonates particularly well with the PC gamers while Call of Duty tends to do well on consoles," Bhatia said.

Battlefield 4 producer producer Patrick Bach said earlier this month that competition is good for consumers and that his title will emerge as the "best game" this holiday.

Elsewhere in the note, Bhatia downplayed potential concerns for Activision Blizzard investors related to Grand Theft Auto V, saying that game's release date (September 17) is sufficiently far enough away from Call of Duty: Ghosts, which should "limit overlap."

He also predicted that the Skylanders series will remain the market leader in the toys-to-life genre, despite competition from Disney Infinity. And though World of Warcraft is losing members, Bhatia said the game still has "plenty of life and many years of strong free cash flow still left."

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Discussion

245 comments
JUSTAGAMERLIKEU
JUSTAGAMERLIKEU

I just hope they fix the issues with Battlefield 4. I mean dang how many times do you have to shoot a guy for him to drop. And guys add a training ground for the airplanes and helicopters etc.. to learn how to fly before going into battle. It's freaken easier to fly a real remote control plane or helicopter then doing it in your game.

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

I predict BF4 will be god awful. But what do I know, I've only played Battlefield for 12 years and seen how god awful Battlefield 3 is.

arqe
arqe

Only game that should be outselling both BF and CoD is Homefront. It's right in the middle.

Got vehicles and big maps from BF. Fast phase combat and arcade style from CoD.

Still waiting for Homefront 2 and pre-ordered BF4 first day for PC ... And will pre-order Homefront 2 too i think coming out 2014 late or 2015 early .

A__Plus
A__Plus

if it has bf2 destruction and next gen graphics it shits on call of duty period

Vajezus
Vajezus

"The Battlefield series resonates particularly well with the PC gamers while Call of Duty tends to do well on consoles"

I wonder why...

n_vrro
n_vrro

been trying to decide this and cod,  but watching this video, im sold, Been a cod player for the last 4 years but this looks like the next big thing, wasnt sure about b3 because my friends all play cod but fuck it even if my friends dont buy b4 i will, looks to great to pass up

caloc
caloc

cod has spent billions on dog fur technology,battlefield dosent have a chance. hav u people gon mad?

TheGreyArea
TheGreyArea

well, it's getting my money that's for sure

Junny5
Junny5

idc . I pre ordered both anyway xD

tightwad34
tightwad34

So that means COD: same old, same old will sell 20 mil?

MercifulYet
MercifulYet

All I'm saying is that Battlefield 4 better outsell COD: Ghost. People don't understand what they're missing out on such a great game!
I used to be a hardcore COD fan but once I start playing Battlefield 3, I could not stop.
Recommend this game to everyone my fellow gamers.

AlkaPorty
AlkaPorty

I can't understand why people are still buying CoD, this goes beyond my level of comprehension of the world.

TronX
TronX

BF3 sold 8 million copies the first month and has sold 18 million to date, that's pretty good considering the Battlefield series wasn't that well known to mainstream gamers. Now that the Battlefield series is known and loved once again even by the mainstream and the frostbite engine is looking better than ever, I would not be surprised to see 14 million on launch. 

macca366
macca366

Analysts predict*

or

Analyst predicts*

steelmouth
steelmouth

there will be mass suicide at Activision  if CoD: Ghost sold 14mil

genjuroT
genjuroT

I really like battlefield, but can someone tell me what's different other than the map(s) in bf4? Commander mode sure, but anything else?

..Oh and I saw an MRAP in game, that's cool too, but one or 2 more things would be nice.

rad8045
rad8045

"Dad there is a guy on here saying that BF4 will sell 14 million copies at launch" "14 million you say son"?  "yeah dad "  "Tell him his dreaming "

Pyerun
Pyerun

This is the same analyst who said that TOR would have 4 million subscribers after 2 years.

NotDaftPunk
NotDaftPunk

Sorry Battlefield, CoD is going to win cause of dog and fish A.I.

mike468
mike468

I don't know about the number, but if BF4 can do a single player campaign that is on par with COD for once and offer console graphics that are on par with what high end PC offer, then it will definitely do better than BF3 did.

RussellGorall
RussellGorall

Corporations making money is important to me.

bigbert
bigbert

Well WE are finally and i say finally getting 64 players on line battle on a console! 

UnknowN2341
UnknowN2341

The reason why it took so many shots to down a guy was because the ea team wanted to show the game off not have people die over and over... It will be changed

124knives
124knives

@arqe Homefront sucked! when I played it felt like such a cheaply made game, the physics sucked, the enemies AI was horrible! Sorry but Homefront is nowhere near BF or COD. Not even in the same ballpark!

124knives
124knives

@A__Plus You know if COD and BF teamed up to make a game it would be fucking epic!!! BF's destruction and realism with COD fast paced game play.

arqe
arqe

@n_vrro slowpoke here :D battlefield was always the next big thing over cod. 

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

@MercifulYet I do. Battlefield has gone from an amazing game in 2001 to the biggest piece of shit I've ever seen in FPS games.

arqe
arqe

@MercifulYet Only CoD game i've been addicted was the first Modern Warfare. Nothing good ever since from CoD ....

caloc
caloc

@AlkaPorty  u gotta remember most people that play cod are little kids that never played before this gen an a buncha guys that probably only play sports games the other half of the time lol

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

@TronX That's a good thing for EA, a bad thing for actual gamers. Battlefield 1942 was one of the most wonderful games ever made and it was made even better by mods. Desert Combat was insanely better than Battlefield 2. It was seriously such a good time. Even lesser mods like the WW1 mod.... Once Battlefield got popular with BF2 at E3 2005 it all went away.

Desert Combat was seriously amazing, it is essentially what Battlefield 3 is now, with worse graphics and completely functional hit detect, and more realistic damage (and less advanced ballistics).

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

@genjuroT Nothing, It will have commander mode, and slightly different weapon attachments/squad perks. Other than that it is the exact. same. game. Oh and flashlights won't be brighter than the sun apparently. From alpha footage, even the god awful hit detect, unrealistic ballistics, and cartoon damage are still in place. If all of that changes it MAY be a different game.

eyanvenom
eyanvenom

@genjuroT BF4 will be a HUGE difference for me, as a console gamer. that's pretty much self explanatory. BF4 seems like it's offering bigger, better environments, more features, more customization, and (hopefully) clean up the bugs/glitches that existed in BF3. Not much else is needed for a good sequel, as it still needs to be familiar enough for a Battlefielder to get used to.

The real question is "Can someone tell me what's been different between NOT JUST GHOSTS, but ALL the COD games, besides maps??"

senjutsu
senjutsu

@abhisheknerdy20 I'm not sure about that. I pre-ordered mine about a year ago, but I'm wondering if I still get the game. The next gen consoles will be up and running a month or two after GTAV pops. People might try to go with next gen titles if they buy the console, like Watch Dogs. We'll see. But next gen will get the GTAV sales down, that's for sure. They should have released in june like they announced it before...

UnknowN2341
UnknowN2341

Console graphics will never beat a high end pc or even get close

UnknowN2341
UnknowN2341

Lol what are you talking about if that did happen everyone would be fighting in an open field because all the cover would be blown up XD

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

@arqe @n_vrro Technically it was the first big thing, Battlefield came out a  year before CoD.

KingTrax999
KingTrax999

@tightwad34 @AlkaPorty Internets.  It's plural when you're speaking out your ass.

Grenadeh
Grenadeh

And no destruction, obviously. If they would just make that game with Frostbite 3, not fuck with the weapons, take out the call of duty/bc bullshit with the unlocks, it would be the best shooter in existence, hands down. Also they have to keep the helicopter controls which were SO MUCH BETTER.

tightwad34
tightwad34

@KingTrax999 I don't get the whole COD love affair either.  Maybe I should have worded it a little better. Oh well. Only thing that matters is we know COD sucks.