Analysts give high marks to E3 2009

E3 2009: Industry prognosticators weigh in on motion-sensing cameras, big hits (and misses), and a return to form for the expo.

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LOS ANGELES--While the last day of the 2009 Electronic Entertainment Expo has yet to wrap, a handful of analysts have already weighed in on the big event from top to bottom. Electronic Entertainment Design and Research analyst Jesse Divnich and Wedbush Morgan Securities' Michael Pachter answered GameSpot's questions on the show. As expected, the big three press conferences were a particular point of interest.

"I don't think any one of them can be declared a winner," Divnich said. "Each conference had its own highlights and some disappointments. In terms of games, I have to give it to Sony with God of War, MAG, Uncharted... I think MAG is going to be huge."

While Divnich was positive across the board on the big three conferences, Pachter expressed some reservations. He called Nintendo's presentation disappointing, particularly because the company chose to save news of a new Zelda game on the Wii for Shigeru Miyamoto's Tuesday-night roundtable. As for Microsoft, Pachter thought the Project Natal motion-sensing camera demo was cool, but he expects its real value to extend beyond gaming.

"The ultimate vision is that the camera will allow a user to interact with the XBL dashboard, sorting and selecting Netflix movies, accessing Facebook, and so on," Pachter said. "It has limited potential as a controller, because most games won't work well with motion control. However, in order to get everyone to buy one, Microsoft has to get enough games made to justify the purchase. I think that they are being very deliberate about this, and don't expect a launch until there are 30 or so such games available. Ask me then what I think, as I'm sure that my opinion will change."

Divnich agreed that Natal was interesting, much like the new PlayStation 3 motion-sensing controller, but he said both Sony and Microsoft may have tipped their hands too early.

"I don't expect [Natal] until Christmas 2010, so why tease the gamer now," Divnich asked. "We have to wait a year and a half to see this thing in action. I think it was a mistake on MS's part. Announce it or something, but now core gamers are excited about it and want to see more, but we won't."

Did we meet Milo too soon?

As for the digital-distribution-only PSP Go, Pachter called it "the future," saying it should do wonders to combat handheld piracy. Divnich also thought of the system as emblematic of the future, so much so that he said its success in the present could be irrelevant.

"Whether or not the PSP Go is going to be successful really doesn't matter," Divnich said. "It's just the fact that they're bringing that technology here. What they're doing is acting as permission givers for others to do the same."

On the third-party front, both Pachter and Divnich singled out Ubisoft and Avatar as particularly buzz-worthy. The former analyst labeled the French publisher as the "biggest winner relative to its size," noting a lineup stocked with Splinter Cell: Conviction, Assassin's Creed 2, and James Cameron's Avatar. Divnich was also taken with that last title.

"You have to see Avatar," Divnich said. "You go in with a preconceived notion and it blows you away. It completely blows you away."

Finally, the two analysts were in agreement again in regard to E3 2009 itself. When asked if the organizing Entertainment Software Association finally got it right with the E3 format tweaks, Pachter said they got it "more than right" (emphasis his), and he lauded the "brilliant job" ESA head Michael Gallagher is doing.

"In all honesty, I think this is the perfect E3," Divnich said. "You have the right amount of people, the right amount of vendors, the right amount of energy."

Discussion

238 comments
ultralesus
ultralesus

E3 was jawdropping this year, and it helped that GS had such good coverage. From the live conferences, to the live show's and stage demo's... It was great to watch the news as it happened. Shame we have a whole year to wait now for the next E3..

CamiKitten
CamiKitten

Glad I got to enjoy E3 this year!

RKBUD
RKBUD

E3 is back!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!I Its been quite awhile since e3 was worth watching and having big news that most people dont know about(although some news was already known for example-PSP GO) Microsoft, Sony did a great job however i felt nintendo lacked compared to Microsoft and Sony.

kavadias1981
kavadias1981

In 1st place for technology is Microsoft with it's amazing Natal demonstration. The potential for that piece of kit is excellent. They also take the top spot for online with a whole host of incredible new features for its XBL service. It's line up of exclusive games was a little weak though with only a small offering. Sony definitely took the top spot for games with a seemingly endless amount of exclusives headed for the PS3 and PSP. However I wish there had been more improvements announced for the PSN which is still lagging far behind XBL. We in the UK still can't buy or rent movies like in the USA. The motion controller demonstration was also very weak and seemed to have been hastily put together at the last minute. It did seem like a promising device though and lays somewhere between the Wii Motion+ and Natal in terms of capability. Nintendo once again showed off a lot of new games for the non-gamer but I do not hold this against them. It is a business strategy thathas seen them crush the opposition with its profits and sales figures. The majority of their presentation seemed to have been recycled from the previous year though, with the majority of the games having already been announced in 2008. However they have been listening to us gamers and are giving us a couple of new Mario games, an excellent looking Metroid and as Miyamoto announced in an interview, a new Zelda too. So a pretty good year then.

AlexTT_spb
AlexTT_spb

Yep, this E3 was simply stunning. So many cool games, so much new hardware (natal, vitality sensor, sony motion controllers) Nintendo disappointed me a little (no live demos except 4 new smb for wii, but in my opinion LittleBigPlanet is pretty much the same in terms of gameplay and it is way better than SMB promises to be. Sorry, Nintendo fans), but GOSH! Microsoft and Sony just blew me away. M$ conference was the best e3 conference EVER, it's how it should be done: game after game after game, no unnecessary talking and in the end a presentation of useful piece of hardware. Way to go, MS! Sony had an excellent first-party games lineup. At last PS3 is gonna have some really awesome exclusives Hope next year it will be even better

ZombieKingX
ZombieKingX

My biggest problem with SMG was the limited number of power ups and the short amount of time that they lasted. Why in the world would the fireballs go away after awhile? They didn't do that in any other Mario game I've ever played.

ThAdEa82
ThAdEa82

Yeah great high marks...but after all this info on new games...how are we to cope with the withdrawal?

beardrewz
beardrewz

The new sony psp looks ok but you know.....i would much prefer a whole new gpu..the graphics are just standard...why get one. Better off getting a ipod touch/iphone. same visuals almost.

beardrewz
beardrewz

Microsoft had working demos for the natal camera in colour and people could have a go....now the ps3 motion sensor device was hard for the guy to use and it was not really working for a demo to show.....i can see natal out next year but the ps3 motion sensors???come on guys lol. Microsoft had the best E3 show, there better at there presentation and the games they showed were much more better...so how was sonys e3 better..what it was good hearing about the sale stats? the presenter should be fired.

HappyBB
HappyBB

Can someone help me get in the next E3? Can gamespot take me alone to the show for next year?

stziggy
stziggy

It's June 8th and there's no new news on Gamespot's news section. How lazy is that? Imagine of CNN did that? How do you expect we the readers to take you guys seriously when you can't even cover the news 24/7? Gamespot is pathetic. Way to slack off guys!

wh1te_m4trix
wh1te_m4trix

Microsoft's press conference amazed me, they had so much in store for the gamer and they always manage to make their conferences very entertaining. Sony's one was also great, loved the look of MAG and Uncharted. The least I liked was Nintendo, it was better than last year's conference but it still fell short this year.

MarkkelleherUK
MarkkelleherUK

Microsoft showed the best things at this years E3! sony psp go was great though too!

aquaturtle007
aquaturtle007

whatever happened to OnLive. Looks like its a long ways off or they stopped the project

aquaturtle007
aquaturtle007

It think SOny was forced to show their motion sensing because Microsoft did (or they thought microsoft would)

ParisSun
ParisSun

Natal will have more use outside of gaming. I agree with that. I don't really care for motion controllers and I like using my controller. But it will be nice to surf the web and type on my computer using hand motions. It's going to be like Minority Report very soon.

rasterror
rasterror

As an owner of all three home consoles and biased towards the 360 I have to say that this was a great E3 for all consoles, even the Wii for the most part. There are so many games to look forward that the only major problems that a person will have are money and time. I can't wait to play the great games and give the show an all around B+. I'd give it an A if they let me have those games for......beta testing.

Half-LifeFan
Half-LifeFan

Is it just me or did they leave a lot out? I mean no one can say this E3 wasn't awesome, but a couple things were even said to be at the next E3. Fallout New Vegas OnLive Legend of Zelda (Not promised but man, at least some artwork would be nice) Any of these ring a bell developers?

BattleSword1
BattleSword1

Assassin's Creed 2 Left 4 Dead 2 Lost Planet 2 Mass Effect 2 God of War III APB Halo 3: ODST Looks like I need more money.

ronnet
ronnet

He lost all credibility for me when he said ''We have to wait a year and a half to see this thing in action. I think it was a mistake on MS's part.'' I think that was a mistake to say, a analyst should know the result of not announcing it and he apparantly didn't think about that. Not announcing it while knowing Sony would announce it would have resulted in Microsoft being branded: unoriginal, last gen and loser. Natal might not work like in the vision clip but it's an important part of the xbox's future. Without it's announcement the future would look smaller, less bright and downright aweful compaired to the Wii and PS3.

Game__Raider
Game__Raider

I only disagree with one point the guy said otherwise he pretty much nailed it. I think Microsoft had the better choice in games with Mass Effect 2, Left 4 Dead 2, AC 2, Bioshock 2, Modern Warfare 2, plus many more. I know some of them re multi-plat but XBL is much better than PSN thus giving a better experience. I am really psyched for GOW3 and MAG though they look amazing.

slayersdeath200
slayersdeath200

I think that all 3 companies did very well this year for there fans and i am happy because i own all 3 systems and proud of it well the main 2 are the 360 and ps3 for me the wii is losing my interest quickly as nothing new came to the table and that they waited till E3 just to announce a new colour.... and the games arnt meeting the high quality standards of the 360 and ps3 this year just re-release of gamecube games. In my opinon the wii is going to be failing soon as they are not giving anything to attract new customers to their system

jogunther
jogunther

Online PS3 gaming will be dominated by M.A.G. Zipper Interactive will take over the world again.

The_X_Factor_9
The_X_Factor_9

The Sony E3 Press Conference was a dream come true for PlayStation fans. They put the petal to the metal with Uncharted 2 and never let up for the entire duration of the show. Their biggest franchises: Gran Turismo, Metal Gear Solid, Final Fantasy, Uncharted, and God of War all made prime time showings. They have a couple of really cool interesting new IP's (ModNation Racers looks like Sony's Mario Kart). Motion control looks promising, but I don't really care about that. All in all, a very entertaining E3.

IDeadlyReconI
IDeadlyReconI

@Nuk1euz What does PSP stand for? PlayStation Portable its meant for travel. Thats why the PSP Go is download only and I know for a fact that fast food, Hotels, Cafes, ect have Wifi hot spots.

jumpy46
jumpy46

Nintendo beet last years conference, but that wasn't very hard. Looking forward to the two new Mario games and the new Metroid. I liked MS's conference. TWO new Halo games!! Natal looks interesting, but I can't see it getting really popular. Some games, like shooters, you just need a physical controller for. What I really like this year was Sony's conference. MAG, ModNation Racers, LBP PSP (though it was only shown in small clips, I am still looking forward to it), and the PSP Go. I am tired of carrying around two UMD carrying-case plus my PSP while travelling. The motion controller was interesting, but nothing special. It is sort of cool that I already have half of the stuff I need for it because I already own a PS Eye. It was a good E3 for all of them.

mysteriojoe
mysteriojoe

Nintendo at E3 sucked. Nothing new... Wii Motion Plus should be called ''let's fix the mistakes we made with the Wii and make the customer pay for it'' cause Nintendo fans are suckers.

brandondorbert
brandondorbert

I was disappointed with Nintendo's Conference, although I love them. Sony's was also very boring (The God of War games are all the same and have nothing new in them, MAG looks boring, and the first Uncharted was bad, so I can careless about the next one) The best was microsoft with showing off great games like Alan Wake and showing the Natal Project.

Nuk1euz
Nuk1euz

I dunno about the PSP Go..........The future he says? Not everyone has wireless internet in their homes. That means those people will be left out. I love having games digitally bought and what not, but what i love even more is having the game and the box for it. Also, If the games are good enough those will become collectors items just like the older NES and SNES games.

Spencer24892
Spencer24892

I agree. I would have really of liked to see them announce the next TES, but theres no announcement of any specific time for the game to release, only speculation.

valium88
valium88

I was kind of hoping the next installment of TES to show up this E3, since it was talk about it arriving in 2010. Anyone have any info about this game? (the elder scrolls 5) Maybe bethesda is on a delay with fallout 3 and all. Anyways, looks like we are in for a gamingcake, and no one is being cheap with the cream..

athenian29
athenian29

"I think MAG is going to be huge..." That's why they call it "Massive Action Game." Duh. EDIT: Before you read me the wrong way, just let me point out that I'm hyped for it as well. I'm just making a little joke, and saying that the analyst could have picked a better choice of words. I say again: MAG IS LOOKING GREAT!

THE_BIONIC_ARM
THE_BIONIC_ARM

it was a fantastic show and a real treat for all us gamers out there. we have a lot to look forward to with all the systems. i really dont mind if some of the things shown wont be coming out for a while, ive learned to expect that from previous years. it just shows us that the future of gaming is bright and we will still have a lot of fun in store with the current consoles on the market and not have to worry about them being obsolete any time soon.

HAAS599
HAAS599

I agree it is too early also, but if Sony or Microsoft didnt show their motion control and the other company did, they would have "lost" E3 and neither company could risk that so I understand why both did show it.

dockholidaiy
dockholidaiy

I agree. They shouldn't have released the Natal until it was closer to release. I'M so excited about it but it wont be here for probably 2 years and possibly with the next gen. I hate to feel like im constantly waiting for something to come out and it takes years to arrive and then i finally get it just to be disappointed.

ecs33
ecs33

So uhh the new Doom...What ever happened to that? I was hoping to see some images or videos from that. It probably won't be a great game, but I am curious to see the next graphical leap. Considering that ID told us the game would be 50% more detailed than Rage, I think that this Doom is going to be a sneak peak to the next generation in graphics, similar to how Doom 3 and HL2 were in 2005.

THORINATOR
THORINATOR

E3 back on form, i really enjoyed the gamespot coverage. There was some great stage demo's & some cool announcements for all platforms. I was well impressed at the Sony conference, alot of stuff to look forward to...Agent, God of war 3, uncharted 2, MAG, Heavy Rain & Final fantasy XIV. I'm not so sure about the new PSP Go, why didn't they add another analog stick? As for my 360 i've got Halo:ODST & the announcement of Reach to look forward to. Other games to watch include AVP(can't wait), Darksiders & of course the new motion sensing controls, all round a great E3!

gameking5000
gameking5000

The difference from E3 2006 to this one is that almost everything in E3 was leaked whilst the Wii announcement wasn't

xMADxDOGx
xMADxDOGx

it's not only bekos of ms it was also bekos of everything, stevan spilberg...the beatles ... who was there also? cratos ... and stuff ... it's actualy thanx to kojima , whitout raiden ms would be incomplete...

Return-Fire
Return-Fire

It's too early to claim a winner only tools like GameTrailer Shane think it's over before it has even started.

KrnDuDe
KrnDuDe

This e3 was basically all about motion sensing technology, except God of War 3.

mayceV
mayceV

dude this guy is bogus has anyone realized everything he says never comes true Price drop ps3 : still waiting xbox 360 fail by 08: not yet natal announcement = bad: no it got me hyped as hell psp go = revolution: Its a good idea but it's not a landmark

haloshalo
haloshalo

high marks because of microsoft

D-Pad_Destroyer
D-Pad_Destroyer

Yes! I'm now have faith in E3 again! So many great games, a perfect E3, and a whole lot of cool stuff for the big three and the third parties! This is a pinnacle year for gaming.

bleat
bleat

People seem to forget about Heavy Rain, Agent, and The Last Guardian when they mention Sony only has inFamous and God Of War 3 as exclusives.. oh.. the new Rachet and Clank, big series.. wait.. Gran Turismo 5.. oh... almost forgot Uncharted 2, wait MAG.. oh snap.. Final Fantasy XIV Online... there was another one.. oh that ModNation Racers thing. Lets not forget the most exciting part of the show, FF VII on PSN!! Millions of EBay sellers cried out in disgust all at once then went silent. Kind of like the empire destroying Alderan. All the PSP stuff is kind of icing.. I've been waiting for the PSP Go to make that plunge.. I'd rather not buy UMD's and have that battery sucking spinner in my portable. Might need to throw a HD into the PS3. And speaking of needing a larger HD, I'm also excitied that MS is going to sell full 360 games digitally. I've been using GOG and Steam pretty much exclusively on PC for quite some time. And BO Paradise was mine once it hit PSN as a full game. Bring on the digital content! I forgot to mention Nintendo.. actually no i didn't...

link_15
link_15

big n kinda didnt make any huge announcements -_-

maverick_76
maverick_76

What the analysts said about Natal is the reason I see the Sony motion controller as being the better gaming device, more dexterity for hardcore games like first person shooters and real-time strategy, while the Natal will own the Wii in the casual department.

robcox1980
robcox1980

It's really great that most gamers are hopeful and optimistic about project natal. And as for the rest who are skeptical it seems they mostly think microsoft is trying to say we have to use the camera thing to do everything in a game. The camera will be used in conjunction with a controller for most games. Keep in mind bungie and lionhead are just 2 of the companies inboard to help push this. That gives me a lot of hope.