Analysts expect May sales rebound

Pacific Crest's Evan Wilson and Wedbush Morgan's Michael Pachter tell investors to expect double-digit software sales growth after a bumpy April.

Last month, the industry-tracking NPD Group's figures showed that US software sales dipped 1 percent in April, breaking a growth streak dating back to last year. The firm is expected to release its figures for May later this week, and two industry analysts are telling investors to expect better results this time around.

Pacific Crest Securities' Evan Wilson sent a note to investors today saying he expects NPD's game sales figures for May to total $320 million, up 12 percent from the year before. Wilson said the bump would be driven by new releases Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars, Forza Motorsport 2, and Mario Party 8. Of the slightly older games, Wilson expects sales to be driven by Super Paper Mario, Wii Play, Spider-Man 3, Guitar Hero II, and Pokemon Diamond and Pearl.

Wedbush Morgan Securities' Michael Pachter, who recently made headlines by speculating that Grand Theft Auto IV might be delayed--which is not the case--was a little more bullish. He projected software growth of 16 percent up to $333 million in his own note to investors. Pachter didn't single out Command & Conquer 3 as a leading sales driver, but he did include the adaptations of Shrek the Third, which he believes sold more than a quarter of a million copies over the month. Pachter also offered hardware projections, estimating 400,000 Wii systems sold for the month, followed by 225,000 Xbox 360s and 100,000 PlayStation 3s.

The NPD Group is expected to release its actual May sales figures later this week.

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80 comments
elite_ferns1
elite_ferns1

i have all three systems and i have to say i play my 360 the most. The rest of my family play the wii and my ps3 collected dust after i beat resistance. PS3 needs good games, that is the bottom line.

Skiggy80
Skiggy80

"Xymos " I hate to burst your bubble buddy, but I don't think you know what the hell your talking about by saying the ps3 will have all these killer games come next year. For starter, sony may have 1 maybe 2 good exclusives, otherwise all multiplatform. 360 has a bunch of RPG's and a lot of action titles coming out and only on 360. Plus there are a boat load more 360's sold right now opposed to ps3's so when a multiplatform game comes out, more 360 titles will be sold. Plus Xbox live tends to pull people to 360 when they have the choice to buy either the 360 or ps3 version. It does for me.

Skiggy80
Skiggy80

Call me crazy or whatever, but I have a feeling there is going to be a lot of very unhappy Wii owners in a year or so. I just cant see Nintendo surviving with games like Mario party and Pokemon. The video game era has moved to an older audience and I owned the wii but I sold it. The games are crap to me(except Zelda) and I would rather be playing the Halo's, GTA's and MGS. I actually agree for once with Sony when they stated that the Wii is an impulse buy. I bought it out of impulse and my arms get tired after 10 minutes of playing. I like to sit back on my couch and hold my controller and thats it. None of this aerobic crap. Personally I think only the 360 has a chance this gen..

TTDog
TTDog

Already seeing low sales in Europe, the first 3 or 4 weeks it sold well but has slowed down dramatically since then. I saw 1 person buying one and he looked so embarrased, like he'd been caught buying a truckload of hardcore donkey scan mags or something.

kevy619
kevy619

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

kevy619
kevy619

but i think that the ps3 being overshipped is catching up to them, pretty soon we will see low "sales" in europe as well. But i have faith in sony rebounding sometime next year, by then xbox 360 will have already gained the market share that they said they would

kevy619
kevy619

and no, the ps2 doesnt make up for the ps3s losses completely. It just keeps them from having shareholders riot, lol.

kevy619
kevy619

"valakos" i think you should recheck figures. Here is what i have for April 2007 in the usa Nintendo DS: 471K (10.9 million total) Nintendo Wii: 360K (2.5 million total), Sony PlayStation 2: 194K (38.2 million total), Sony PSP: 183K (7.4 million total), Microsoft Xbox 360: 174K (5.4 million total), Nintendo Game Boy Advance: 84K (35.7 million total), Sony PlayStation 3: 82K (1.3 million total), Nintendo Gamecube: 13K (11.7 million total)

valakos
valakos

what?? recouping a loss - they aren't even close, the last quarter shows sony computer enterainment lost far more than m$. Moreover the ps2 is selling like crap compared to ps3 - i don't know where you are getting your info from, the only market the ps3 is doing somewhat well is in europe which is where i suspect you are from given your views are s narrowminded

kevy619
kevy619

the ps3 will sell once sony shifts all the focus to it, the ps2 is the biggest problem. At the same time the ps2 is selling and recouping alot of the loss from the ps3 development.

Xymos
Xymos

Man I predict the PS3 is going to pwnt the other systems come next year. But in the meantime I hope it enjoys last place. The only reasons I got a Xbox 360 over the PS3 was a) the price was a bit in favor of the 360 b) there were quite a few games out for the 360 vs barely any for the PS3, that will be very different by next year. Further more on the hand held area I have only ever seen one (1) DS in real life, and that was owned by my little neighbour, I know a totally of 7 people with a PSP so I don't quite understand how the DS is owning the PSP. Probably just a bunch of kids getting mario for their birthday, where the PSP is in my opinion geared towards more mature people. And lets face it the children market is the easiest thing to penetrate, especially since all the things kids are into these days (pokemon, yugiho and all that other garbage on TV) is in game form on the DS and not the PSP, thats their foothold in my opinion

CoMeCloSer
CoMeCloSer

And I predict kevy619 will wake up and realize his predictions were so wrong.

Ozzie234
Ozzie234

So, Wii is selling. That's more of an own goal of Sony than anything else. Microsoft will be up there this time, they did their homework with the 360 and the pricing is right (and will become even righter!). Nintendo should see this as a great freebie opportunity and simply POLLUTE the market with good games for the Wii (and DS for that matter). I see little as is, in fact they are just about to kill the DS by now. And online gaming is the key, whoever gets the best online service and games won. You read it here first. :)

taylormadederek
taylormadederek

Where do you get these number from kevy619? You have no idea what you are saying. Do you think that these analysts just make up numbers? Really....why even bother writing a number.....how about we just wait and see......!

The-Outlaw-Torn
The-Outlaw-Torn

Basically the Wii is selling so much because of its low price, obviously the price tag of $600 for a Ps3 is going to drive people away, i say if sony wants to save the Ps3 they better start putting out more exclusives that are being lost to the 360. Seriously, they should put out God of War 3 or whatever to at least force some people to buy a Ps3, the Ps2 was last gen, they should bring in a hefty price cut to reduce it to around $400, that would certainly catch my attention, and besides I would much rather see sony stay in the race instead of nintendo. Nintendo can also only make good games using Mario, do you know how old that gets when the only good game you can find is mario going on another rehashed adventure or racing around on the DS. Sure the games might be fun but i want to play something else, i am even considering "Touch the Dead" just because it is NOT MARIO!

kevy619
kevy619

meh, the wii can be found in any store now in plenty of supply. Sales will be more like wii - 300, 000 xbox 360 250,000 ps3 70,000. Reasons for my figures? Well the wii has lost a bit of momentum, but is still popular. The xbox 360 will see a boost from the release of the elite version, Forza 2, Halo 3 Beta (to an extent), and Guitar Hero 2. The ps3 did nothing to improve sales last month, why should we expect in increase in sales? I went into wal-mart today and they didnt have any ps3 systems on display anymore, instead the filled that space with the 30 or so God of War 2 copies they still had in the promotional display. That combined with the fact that I havent ever met someone who has bought a ps3, i dont see alot of ps3 systems moving this summer.

Skinn_E_G
Skinn_E_G

EpilepsyKid x-box 360 in japan was already a fad before it was released, and x-box live was a joke over there. if i won an x-box 360, i would trade it in for another wii system with pokemon to go with it. x-box live, a fad indeed! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I don't think "fad" is the word you are looking for. it means extremely popular.

fireemblemrocks
fireemblemrocks

OK now, wii is the best console now, it might have not so good graphics and some games aren't that good, but it has the best gameplay, just see the top-notch games out there... just great, and Nintendo has the true escence of gaming, and PS3 copyed nintendo's gameplay in some parts, it might have great realeses but i prefer a 360 and a wii maybe later i'll try out a PS3.

Ice_man_1985
Ice_man_1985

i hate thoose Analysts, they chang people mind on everything . hell i don't care .

Merodach
Merodach

To kiddoblivion I never said the 360 or the Wii for that matter had "amazing exclusives" I simply said they had exclusives, how amazing they are or how well they do at retail is entirely up to the consumer. Second of all MGS4 and FF13 are not 07 titles so they dont count because I was only speaking of this year. Thirdly I didn't say anything about the 360 or the Wii's exclusives making you ignore PS3's exclusives, I said they will compete, meaning it wont be a land slide victory for anybody since they all have something attractive to offer. Whether you ignore one game over the other is purely your decision. But, since you went the fanboy route with your response to me I'll give you and other fanboys like you a list your gonna love. For every PS3 game coming out i'll list it's competitor. Ninja Gaiden Sigma/June Competitor: Been there done that dont wanna spend 600 to do it again Lair/Summer Competitor: Blue Dragon and Bioshock, Lair is gonna have a hard time taking the spotlight from Bioshock alone, two games makes it unfair Heavenly Sword/Fall possibly Sept Competitor: Mass Effect and Halo, Ha Good luck with that Uncharted/ Winter Competitor:Splinter cell conviction, conviction got equally good previews plus it's a well known top selling franchise against some new guy on a $600 system Rachet and Clank/winter Competitor:Mario Galaxy, in fact this isn't even a competition. Mario is a force of nature, doubt his power and he will crush you. PSP still hasn't recoverd from New Super Mario Bros, which is still selling strong by the way. Playstation Home/fall Competitor: Real life with real girls in it Enjoy fanboys

XxTrillvillexX9
XxTrillvillexX9

Well, I will go ahead and post my predictions for May sales. I think that Guitar Hero II and Forza 2 helped the Xbox 360 some in May. I can't believe the Wii is still doing so well, too. There are no games on that thing that appeal to me (right now). Anyway, here it goes: [DS] 430K [Wii] 300K [360] 220K [PS2] 182K [PSP] 160K [PS3] 75K

Sinical_Rec
Sinical_Rec

because for some reason these fanboys feel as if everything and everyone must bow down to their favored gaming system as if that company's success had anything to do with their bank accounts.

reactionsok
reactionsok

why do fanboys get so worked up that Nintendo is selling so well? They are still going to develop games for the ps3 & xbox - goddamn nerds!

rgjj
rgjj

and to add to that most wii dissaprovers might have some things in common-not old enough to have sessions out up the town and groups crashin at their place,hermits and thier friends are to so no chance of a general get together for a laugh, friends are purely who they've met online wouldnt reckognise each other in a buss stopp lol or generally loners who have no friends or the could jus be the kind that a photo realistic display is enough real life outins for times to come!! ps3 360 are no fun with ur bird!!!

rgjj
rgjj

will some one show umdaukoid or what ever he's called to blast out ne nintendo home grown game with out tryin to compare it to the serious titles he's used to mario strikers god dam it is awesome best laugh in the world wouldnt play it on my own mind but few lads round ur house and pro evo or fifa cannot compare to the multiplayer mayhem and like wise with other title rayman(only good on the wii) monkey ball, wii sports , mario party, etc hey zeldas a class game jus one i've seen an played b4 thier always very similar but for serious gamin on ur OWN stick to another platform

teknicz
teknicz

I thought FF13 was being designed on SquareEnix's crystal emotion engine or something, rather than on PS3 architecture, so that it could easily be multi platform? Anyone else heard about this?

Jab_Jackal
Jab_Jackal

Yeah.. May sales are up because in that month I purchased a PS3 and two games for my birthday. I always make May sales go up.

lowenergycycle
lowenergycycle

@dmish82, TTDog, and anybody else with a brain Precisely! Buying a PS3 right now (or even worse, on release day) was / is just too much of a blind investment. It's a whole lotta money to shell out when there is currently so little going for it. What if you don't particularly enjoy Rally games or First-person Shooters? Right now there is nothing exclusive to the PS3 for you. It's a simple decision then: buy a cheaper console featuring more games. Who cares which one - they are all cheaper and they all have more games. Everything the fanboys say is based on the prediction that their hallowed list of Supergames will: 1) Be good enough to offset the extortionate cost of the PS3 2) Not end up going multi-platform like most games do 3) Actually get released before this generation is over Ok, so point #3 is a bit of a joke, but honestly: How long have we known about MSG4, Killzone and FF13 for? And so far, how much have we seen or been told about either of them? Do they still even exist? They can't just keep on telling all those out-of-pocket Sony lovers who raced out and paid full whack for a PS3 that: "One day you'll have all the best games. One day..."

Cypher_187
Cypher_187

UmonDaisuke Don't forget to add Super Paper Mario into the quality titles for hardcore gamers. The Wii is also built for the casual gamer, and in that respect, there are many many games that will definitely sell, and are of high quality to that category. Wii Play, Wii Sports, Mario Party 8, Elebits, Rayman. Pretty much anything that has a mini-game and it somewhat coherent is good for them.

UmonDaisuke
UmonDaisuke

Wii has MANY quality titles out I can't think of one other title that's considered of high quality other than Zelda.. add the VC games, and we're done. Let's put things into persepctive here, the remote is selling the console now, not the content. Add the cheaper price, and you've got a successful recipe. The PS3 has the higher price, and the same drought of content but without a unique controller. The only console that has the content to justify a purchase (regardless of price) is the 360. The PS3, and to a slightly lesser extent the Wii, still have a long way to go.

dmish82
dmish82

TTDog, lowenergycycle, Couldn't have said it better myself. I have nothing against the PS3 and will probably eventually buy one but as you've both said, there are no quality titles for it at the moment. I think the Wii-haters are upset that the Wii has MANY quality titles out and it's been out for the same amount of time as the PS3. What good are the HD graphics right now if you don't have any games to play?

TTDog
TTDog

"lowenergycycle: @cardiac_cat: "Get a PS3, and enjoy some real gaming. And what, pray tell, are the "real games" that we should be playing? The ones that are supposed to force our hands into shelling out for such an expensive console?" Time to wait for the Sony fanboy national anthem; "Just wait till MGS4 comes out, then you'll see"; "Just wait until FF13 comes out, then you'll see"; "Just wait until Killzone 2 comes out, then you'll see" Don't want to wait, want to play quality games now, when theres 6 or 7 quality PS3 titles out, that appeal to me not to the fanboy masses (so don't start listing stuff like Lair, Warhawk, Heavenly Sword... producing lists like that is just sad and desperate) I'll buy one, but until then I'll sit back and watch Sony announce a dozen or so different things to take away from the fact that there is no games.

lowenergycycle
lowenergycycle

@cardiac_cat: "Get a PS3, and enjoy some real gaming. And what, pray tell, are the "real games" that we should be playing? The ones that are supposed to force our hands into shelling out for such an expensive console? You know... The exclusives. The games that makes us look at the Xbox360 and Wii and think "Ha! I TOTALLY made the right choice!" .... Well? Fanboys are universally stupid, but PS3 fanboys in particular currently have very little to brag about. Motorstorm and Resistance are NOT worth buying a PS3 for.

dmish82
dmish82

What's with all the Wii haters on here? Just b/c it doesn't have top-notch graphics, doesn't make it a bad system. The 360 & PS3 are good in their own rights if you want HD graphics and first person shooters and the Wii is good in its own rights if you want a fun, different gaming experience. Chill out people!!!

chex81
chex81

analysts are worthless....it's even funnier when their predictions are 90% of the time wrong.

cardiac_cat
cardiac_cat

Man, can we all please just get over this wii crap now?! Why can't you people realize it sucks, i would rather play pinball for free that came on my pc than pay 250 bucks for that paper-weight. Get a PS3, and enjoy some real gaming.

shinrock_live
shinrock_live

yes the hd dvd can do 1080p is the software supports it. thourgh vga or componet.

Pedro7_2000
Pedro7_2000

Pokemon will be in the top 10 for a while (at least all the way through the summer months).

UmonDaisuke
UmonDaisuke

can somebody tell me if the 360 premium edition can play HD-DVD movies at 1080p? Nope. 1080p is only through RGB, or through HDMI if you have the Elite. I wonder how many the GBA will outsell the PS3 by this time? 200,000. Cute, no?

Unkillable
Unkillable

This is going to be one long console war...

TTDog
TTDog

I wonder how many the GBA will outsell the PS3 by this time?

KingKoop
KingKoop

Hmmm a fair bit of reliability on Nintendo there, I see SPM, MP8, Wii Play and Pokemon. Go Ninty!

kiddoblivion
kiddoblivion

Merodach, instead of claiming that Microsoft has these amazing exclusives, please list them. I own a 360 and the only game I'm even mildly excited about is Mass Effect. I'll buy Halo 3 because "as an xbox owner you're supposed to" even though I'm not a fan of FPSs or the franchise. What 360 games are actually going to make me ignore PS3 games like MGS4, FF13 or Uncharted?

LosDaddie
LosDaddie

I hope those hardware sales predictions are correct!

Merodach
Merodach

Hey Ihardwick692, both the Wii and espeacially the 360 have a lot more than just 2 or 3 exclusive games coming out this year. In fact both systems have already had about 3 exclusives released since January while the PS3 besides having motorstorm has had virtually none. I dont know if the PS3's new games are gonna bring more hardware sales along with them and neither do you, what I do know is that for every exclusive Sony has Microsoft and Nintendo have something to compete with it. Sony wont go quietly into the night this gen and neither will the others so hold your judgment until after the holidays

RaiKageRyu
RaiKageRyu

Most of those sales will come from Pokemon. Sad but true.

R3V3N4N7
R3V3N4N7

Slow time for games so I don't know.

blackace
blackace

I'll have to agree with cjnwo4life. I think their hardware sales prediction may be a tad high. Take off about 20K-25K and it should be pretty accurate for all 3 consoles. 360 should definitely break 200,000, but I'd be surprised to see the PS3 get back over 100K this month. I don't see that happening until Aug or Sep. After Sept, we should start to see some huge surges of console sales. This holiday season should be incredible.

lhardwick692
lhardwick692

keep putting all these figures up--and whenever the ps3 games start flurishing the store shelves--you will see the sales start rising above and beyond--and it will be sony that saves the videogame world--not the 360 and sure as hek not the wii-- .. .. ..everyone talking about the wii this and the wii that--i got a wii--and i am about to take w wii wii on it--the games arent even gamecube standard--and the controller is kind of neat but it gets old after while--if they would have made various games with the use of this controller and then a standard controller to play other games then it would be fun and more of a better investment--right now i feel like i have wasted 250 bucks--plus 50 for the zelda game--which i could have played on the gamecube--and i also bought super paper mario which is fun for a while but get old flipping 2-d to 3-d all the time-- .. .. .. .not to mention--nintendo should already showing profits--before the wii's release nintendo execs told the msrp be 99 bucks--they said no--lets put 250 bucks on it and rake in the dough--so their profits should be astronomical-- .. ... .and these companies shouldnt be depending on one or two games to keep it on top--like microsoft is expecting halo 3 to make the 360 sale big--sony has a bunch of games coming out--that they want to push the sales and show the power of the ps3--nt just 2 or 3 games like the 360--and what about the wii--more metroid mario zelda to last through wii lifespan--yippee

taubasil
taubasil

living here in australia there is very little going on with games in the last 3 months.I have 360,ps3 show me the games!!!!!!!Why is there no software for many weeks then a flood in sept,nov,dec WTF as for the ps3 a flood is more like a trickle most games pushed back aonly games worth getting were at launch!!!!!And don't get me started on backward compatability because I support IE buy games and don;t copy them I have many ps2 that STILL don't work yet .I had the same problem with the xbox / xbox 360 change But for what was done to the PAL PS3 It just sucks!!!!!!!!!!