12 percent August game growth predicted

Wedbush Morgan Securities analysts believe the dog days of summer yielded $445 million in software sales, with 420,000 Wiis sold.

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Though the August sales estimates from the NPD Group aren't expected until next week, analysts are already starting to weigh in with their own prognostications. First out of the gate are Wedbush Morgan Securities' Michael Pachter and Edward Woo, who believe August was a good--but not great--month for non-PC game software sales.

After performing a battery of retail sales channel checks, the pair "expect August sales of $445 million (up 12 percent compared to August 2006’s $399 million)." Of that, the pair estimate $135 million was what they term "current generation" software--that is, the PlayStation 2, Xbox, GameCube, and Game Boy Advance. Some $310 million was for "next-generation software"--that is, the DS, Wii, Xbox 360, PlayStation 3, and PlayStation Portable. Of the latter group, it's estimated $115 million of PS3 and Wii software sales were sold during the month, up from $104 million in July.

Pointing out the obvious, Woo and Pachter say August's biggest game was the multiplatform juggernaut Madden NFL 08 (PS2, PS3, Xbox, 360, GC, DS, PSP, PC, Wii). Another EA Sports title, NCAA Football 08 (PS3, 360, PS2, Xbox) also sold well, as did 2K Games' BioShock (360) and the long-awaited Metroid Prime 3: Corruption (Wii) from Nintendo. Woo and Pachter also think the Guitar Hero Encore: Rocks the 80s (PS2) expansion kept cash registers ringing throughout the month.

As far as hardware goes, Wedbush expects 360 sales to increase by 100,000 units from its 179,000 July tally as a result of the August price cut. The firm also sees Wii and PS3 sales dipping slightly from their July high marks.

Wedbush hardware estimates for August:

Wii 420,000
DS 400,000
Xbox 360 240,000
PS2 225,000
PSP 210,000
PS3 150,000
GBA 75,000

Discussion

191 comments
fax555241
fax555241

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

fax555241
fax555241

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Stangr427
Stangr427

7thRonin "these are not called fanboys.. theyre called stupid people" haha you are completely right

jj_696
jj_696

[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]

Jap_BR
Jap_BR

Rect_Pola, I think that the PS2 is still considered current gen because its the cheapest console making it easier for people to own. Here in Brazil for example, the 360 costs U$1250 as well as the PS3 and Wii.

Rect_Pola
Rect_Pola

Right, right... More of the same. Why on earth is GC, PS2, Xbox, & GBA still considered "current gen"? Two of them have been discontinued, another is only minorly holding on before also going out. Analysts have the best jobs ever; they get to suggest stuff without any bearing, not take any fault for being wrong, and still have such importance to command our attention.

ThrillhouseLive
ThrillhouseLive

ps2 are so cheap, i buy them just to hold up the bum leg of my sofa

majin_vegeta300
majin_vegeta300

With those ps2 numbers being posted every month, you think EVERYONE in the known world would have one by now, lol

LosDaddie
LosDaddie

I look forward to yet another month of the Xbox360 out-selling the PS3 :)

-Squirrel-
-Squirrel-

These guys tend to be off quite a bit, but this time their predictions actually seem reasonable. If i changed anything I would say that the DS will be slightly higher cuz I don't think it would be near going under 400K.

andjeff
andjeff

That is because Wii and DS are the best

joeyfine
joeyfine

lemme ask something... who DOESN'T own a DS already? 400,000 sold for the month. jesus! 585,000 sony moved in a month... thats not bad..

condemned100
condemned100

Without the PC or Computer. Game Developers wouldn't be able to Make games for ANY CONSOLE.

KentTalbert
KentTalbert

Screw the consoles...the PC rules all!

gillri
gillri

wii is top, in terms of sales but 360 is top in terms of revenue

condemned100
condemned100

I could Careless About the Nintendo Wii. Not My Style of Console. But PS3 And Xbox 360 (Which I Currently Own). I Have to Have.

Neosword
Neosword

I would agree with most of those estimates, except maybe the GBA.

Crump
Crump

Xbox & Xbox360 DO NOT HAVE TRUE FANS, their just DEVASTATED Sega Dreamcast,and Saturn owners that had no place to go after SONY's PLAYSTATION 1 & 2 DESTROYED Sega!!!! So they picked MS. To them it's more like the "Dreamcast360 v2.0" MS has two problems one, RED RING OF DEATH "RRD" and two THE BIGGEST, more like the "Achilles Heel" it's DVD !!!!!!!!!!!!! Plain and simple Games these days demand more space and 360 WILL FAIL!.....Like it or not!!!!!

smoothn00dle
smoothn00dle

If guys add PS2 and PS3 home consoles together, the total is 375,000. That is really good *v* Think of it like two sku. 360 has three.

iamscott3600
iamscott3600

I really hope that my last comment didn't make me seem like a fanboy. I'm not. I really like the PS3 and have enjoyed games on it from the beginning. I do not own one because of my current financial situation, and because my 360 has all the games I want right now, except for Metroid Prime 3. But if you look at the entire thing objectively, you'll realize that everyone is doing things wrong. It's easy to point the finger at Sony for ripping off the other manufacturer's ideas (i.e., motion sensing, achievements, etc., etc.) and it's easy to say that Microsoft is the bad guy after their dominance of the computer industry for the last two or three decades. Yes, Skiggy, the PS2 beat out the Xbox in the last gen. The main reason for that: brand name. Sony made a console that the third parties could get behind with the original Playstation. It would've been stupid to anticipate that the PS3 would have done any differently prior to launch. That's where their mistakes come into play. All the third party titles are on 360, and usually better. Graphically, Rainbow Six Vegas on 360 blows the PS3 version out of the water. EA didn't even bother to get the PS3 versions of Madden or NCAA to run at 60 FPS. Is there a reason for that? Besides EA favoring the 360? Look, EA had a year to get Madden to run smoothly on PS3, and they had two and a half years to get Madden running well on 360. It's not that they favor Xbox. And Ubisoft seems like they're not even trying to make Sony's system work for themselves. What it seems like--and this is only me guessing--but it seems like the publishers themselves prefer Microsoft. And if that's from dev difficulties on the PS3 or from sales or what, I don't know. But the fact is that the games are all that matter. System sales matter, sure, but they are driven by the games. We all know that Halo 3 will sell systems; but what will sell for Sony? What's coming up on the radar? Their "killer apps" that were supposedly found in Heavenly Sword and Lair just aren't cutting it. They need something that will revolutionize gaming again, something like God of War. And the sad thing is, I don't think they can find it because they're stuck in a rut.

ChargEd
ChargEd

Why don't they start calling the DS, Wii, Xbox 360, PlayStation 3, and PlayStation Portable, the current gen consoles?

Skiggy80
Skiggy80

"NinjaMunkey01 " I laugh at your prediction and I'll tell you why. You stated that the 360 has an extra years time to get ahead. Well isnt that what the PS2 did over the Xbox? I remember having my PS2 a year before the Xbox. That made developers favor the ps2 and that is why the xbox was a failure. Its exactly like whats going on here in the next gen. 360 was out first, developers see the number difference so they are creating more games for the 360. Dont cry about it, all xbox owners had to live with this last gen. I have a ps3 and have only 1 game for it. Ninja Gaiden(which was basically on the xbox) is the only game I own. So far all multiplatform games I have for my 360 because of Live, achievements, better frame rates and graphics. Im sure PS3 will have a few good games but I definately dont agree that it is going to do nearly what the ps2 had and did. No way! Just look at the last few games that came out for 360. Bioshock, MotoGP 07, Two Worlds, Stranglehold and soon Halo 3. 360's library is stellar so far and its only going to get better come the Holiday season. All PS2 owners used to bash on the xbox for its lack of games last gen, well now the PS3 is the underdog and will continue to be the underdog this generation. It would have to out sell the 360 for an entire year straight to produce better console sales. So lets quit the wishful thinking about the ps3's world domination. Its not going to happen. I really hope it does something soon though, cuz I feel like I wasted $800 buying it and its accessories.

Digital-Hero
Digital-Hero

Both of the top systems will be the juggernaut systems this fall. With Wii having Metroid Super Mario Galaxy, and Xbox 360 having Halo 3 and Mass Effect. It's a good time to be a Wii60 owner. PS3...It's just not looking good. LAIR and Heavenly Sword reviews are bombing hard.

dynomitemasta
dynomitemasta

Taurus, did you know that the dreamcast sold around 12 million in it's life-span? It was considered a total failure. I don't think Sony is out of the woods yet. This holiday season could be a make or break for the big black one., Sony has deeper pockets than Sega did, so don't look for them to throw in the towel, even if they don't reach 12 million, just on principle. The sales for the PS3 will double, if they can get it below $379. That won't be before xmas though so, it should be interesting to see how this holiday pans out.

taurus702b
taurus702b

@ Merodach: Does it look like there is going to be another "Dreamcast" among the new systems? I don't think so. I don't play favorites on systems I just buy them and play favorites when it comes to the games. CD/DVD playback is something I don't a care about. So the fanboys complaining about a system not playing CD/DVDs please tell me that your PC and DVD player do the same thing and who listens to CDs anyways.

Agreb91
Agreb91

PS2>PS3 in August. The PS2 is competing with the PS3. Is that good for Sony?

the_undisturbed
the_undisturbed

i wanna see how many consoles and games we're sold this year. every console would have pretty high numbers and the amount of AMAZING games coming this christmas, everybody (includin fanbois >.>) would b happy the only thing that could ruin this christmas is some review that a site makes and the fanbois go ballistic. also, pretty nice estimates, but i dont think the GBA should be included in estimates anymore.... but its sellin so... i guess

Death_Razor
Death_Razor

the 360 price is ok, it still sells better than the ps3 even 2 years after his launch

Doolum
Doolum

Thats a lot of Wii's up there mates.!

troness
troness

The 360 really isn't overpriced. What is it 350 now and it was 400 at launch? The original Playstation was $300 at launch and that was almost ten years ago. Its expensive but thats inflation.

Agermemnon
Agermemnon

These so called prediction sales for systems make me laugh i would rather see what games and there volume are being bought for all formats than this sort of stuff .

I_pWnzz_YoU
I_pWnzz_YoU

i think PS3 and 360 sales would increase with a price drop, Wii's in first cause,well it's fun on the first hand and for a reasonable price ($270 i believe) i own a 360 but i think it's how overpriced the console is, especially PS3.

NinjaMunkey01
NinjaMunkey01

and those saying that the ps2 outselling the ps3 is pathetic what are you on? the ps2 was outselling the 360 for ages! I guess that is also pathetic then. the ps2 is great I still have mine and get games for it, at least sony recognised that the ps2 was still doing well and kept games coming out for it. the xbox was a faliure as soon as the 360 came out the old console was quickley hidden under the carpet and forgotten about. I call that pathetic. It isn't even on this list! or on gamespots toolbar, thats how much of a failure it was. plus the ps3 has been out for a year, the 360 has had ime to build a reputation and sell more consoles. soon sony will be bringing out games that look much better than the 360's and everyone will want a ps3 instead. now thats a real prediction that everyone knows will come true.

NinjaMunkey01
NinjaMunkey01

Why do people get so obsessed with how well consoles are doing? all the consoles are doing fine and have good games. I am looking forward to halo 3 killzone, bioshock and MGS4. oh and the new zelda. a real gamer would want all of these fantastic games and would want all the consoles. despite how each are doing. I like the 360 due to how cheap games are for it and how many there are. I got a wii because of wii sports and games like that then found out how well other games worked on it. I bought the ps3 because it was more powerfull and because of the promise of great graphics (though it will take a while for developers to fully optimise the console, think how many years it took for the ps2 to be optimised). they alll have good features. sony got pricing wrong and they did not get any games out. they did not want this to happen, it just did, they thought that the price was reasonable, but it was not. its like when the xbox came out, MS did not understand what bringing out their console late would bring. just liker with the ps3.

wolfsrainkiba
wolfsrainkiba

well when the ps3 drops on price like the psp and you can see buy the numbers from the psp that sells are growing for the system. It might be same for the ps3 who knows. Buy the way I don't h have a ps3 but I am getting a psp slim next week.

comthitnuong
comthitnuong

I think the GBA numbers should be lowered a bit and they should have a healthy estimate.

Evil_Bill_Gates
Evil_Bill_Gates

Gamespot... a second rate videogame news source who gets all their "breaking news" off of 1up.com's page weeks late, doesn't like people to voice their opinion - especially if you have something negative to say about their "under the table" investor Sony. So they erased my lengthy comment giving an educated analysis of why Playstation 3 sales are lagging behind PS2 a year after launch. So instead, I'll say in short... PS3 = pricey media player w/ games as an afterthought = setup for failure

RKO619FU
RKO619FU

2 Things 1. y is every 1 taking this so seriously they r predictions not actual sales 2. If this were true sales wot does it matter that ps2 is selling better then ps3 thats still money into Sony's pocket now im not a sony fan boy (im a Nintendo 1) these predicted sales for Sony r not bad if u include all 3 of their consoles.

Avenger1324
Avenger1324

PS2 still outselling the PS3 a year after launch - oops

Merodach
Merodach

It matters if a system sells or not because if it doesnt it goes Dreamcast and all its games dissappear. Nobody wants that to happen to their favorite console. Believe it or not all these companies are in the buisness of making money, not the buisness of "play all games, all systems are great" religon. At the end of the day if it dont make dollars it dont make cents to keep producing it. Thats why "real gamers" give a **** about game and console sales.

taurus702b
taurus702b

I don't believe in fanboys because I play all sorts of games on any system. If there is a game I like I would go buy it and I wouldn't care which system its on. I don't even understand fanboys anyways I mean SO WHAT if a system is failing or selling. I mean it is not like you have stock at Sony, Microsoft, or Nintendo. Just shut up which system sucks or kicks ass and just play. Sometimes I have seen people say "PS3 sucks or Wii sucks" and then there is a cool game that comes out on that system and then I would see them play on a system they hated for apparent reason.

Evil_Bill_Gates
Evil_Bill_Gates

[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]

pcgamermike
pcgamermike

nintendo consoles like ds, ds lite, gba and wii are stupid! specially wii is a baby console.. the xbox360 is the best video game console by microsoft and the sony's consoles are the best!!

7thRonin
7thRonin

these are not called fanboys.. theyre called stupid people

HALOISTHEBEST26
HALOISTHEBEST26

lol everyone is getting all angry at me and thinks im a sony fanboy lol calm down i just said it should be selling, not the end of the world lol.